England - Institut für Risikomanagement und Versicherung
Transcription
England - Institut für Risikomanagement und Versicherung
Versicherungen Länder Theorie & Empirie 1 Australien WSJ.com BUSINESS August 21, 2012, 10:38 p.m. ET devastating year for insurers in 2011 following natural disasters and declining yields from financial investments. Suncorp Group Profit Soars on Insurance Rebound The unit's underlying insurance trading ratio rose to 12.1% as a result, up from 10.8% in the previous year and in line with expectations. Overall, the group's gross written premium increased 9.3% for the year to A$7.96 billion, compared with A $7.28 billion in 2011, Suncorp said in the statement. By CAROLINE HENSHAW Suncorp Group Ltd. on Wednesday reported a brisk 60% increase in its fiscal year net profit, as its insurance business recovered after a record year for disasters in 2011. "The general insurance division continues to generate high levels of cash and capital and we forecast a yield of 10% in fiscal 2013 (including A$200 million of special dividends each half)," Credit Suisse said in a note. Net profit after tax at the banking and insurance group rose to 724 million Australian dollars (US$758.2 million) in the 12 months to June 30, up from A$453 million a year earlier. The result missed analysts' consensus forecasts of A$767 million as its banking business weighed down group earnings. Suncorp declared a special dividend of 15 cents a share, in addition to a final dividend of 20 cents, taking its total dividend payments for the year to 55 cents. "We're controlling what we can control and coping with everything else....We are confident that the factors holding us back will now soon abate," Group Chief Executive Patrick Snowball said during an analyst call, referring to the losses in the group's banking business. "The expected release of excess capital has started, and we view this development as a positive endorsement of Suncorp's balance and earnings outlook," said Morningstar's head of banking David Ellis. Shares, however, shrugged off the below-consensus results, as investors cheered the performance of the core general insurance division. Its shares were last trading up 1.7% at A $8.97, outperforming a 0.2% fall in the benchmark index. Suncorp's general insurance division reported an aboveconsensus after-tax profit of A$493 million after surviving a Suncorp said a non-core banking division posted a loss after tax of A$263 million following charges from nonperforming assets, cutting the combined net profit for its banking division to A$26 million from A$84 million in 2011. 2 Australien As of June 30, the non-core bank had provisions of A$408 million and around A$1.5 billion impaired exposures, Suncorp said in a statement. "A resolution around provisioning in the non-core bank could provide considerable share price upside, in our view," said Credit Suisse. Last week, rival QBE reported a below-forecast 13% rise in first-half profit and cut its full-year insurance profit margin forecast, knocking its shares down as much as 11% to twomonth lows. 3 CEE Auf zu den Unterversicherten in Osteuropa loszuschlagen. Westliche Assekuranzkonzerne sehen enormes Absatzpotenzial in den Ländern Zentral- und Osteuropas – und wollen was vom Kuchen abhaben Christian Höller Talanx kündigte an, vor allem in zwei Regionen wachsen zu wollen. Neben Lateinamerika hat das Unternehmen die osteuropäischen Länder als Zukunftsmarkt ausgemacht. „Es gibt in Osteuropa enormen Aufholbedarf“, sagt Christoph Schultes, Analyst der Erste Group: „Schließlich sind die Menschen in der Region weniger versichert als in Westeuropa.“ Die Versicherungsdurchdringung, gemeint ist das Prämienaufkommen im Verhältnis zur Wirtschaftsleistung, liegt in Westeuropa zwischen sechs und zwölf Prozent, in osteuropäischen Ländern wie Rumänien und Serbien sind es nur zwei Prozent. „Je größer das Bruttoinlandsprodukt und der Wohlstand, desto mehr wird versichert“, sagt Schultes. Der Osten hinke hier dem Westen 50 Jahre hinterher. In Westeuropa gibt es für internationale Versicherungskonzerne kaum noch Wachstumspotenzial, deshalb sehen sich die Unternehmen nach Zukäufen in Osteuropa um. Die in Hannover ansässige Talanx-Gruppe hat sich Anfang des Jahres in der Bieterschlacht um den polnischen Anbieter Warta durchgesetzt. Talanx zahlt 770 Mio. Euro und steigt zur Nummer zwei im polnischen Markt auf. Warta betreut in Polen 1,5 Millionen Kunden und kommt auf ein Prämienvolumen von 1 Mrd. Euro. Die Übernahme war für Talanx von strategischer Bedeutung. Während die Banken in den osteuropäischen Ländern wegen der Krise hohe Kreditausfälle verzeichnet haben, läuft das Geschäft der Versicherer stabil. Zwar sind in einigen Staaten wie Ungarn wegen des Konjunkturabschwungs die Prämieneinnahmen gesunken, doch dabei dürfte es sich um eine vorübergehende Entwicklung handeln. In Polen und in Tschechien ist der Aufwärtstrend weiter intakt. Polen gehört in Zentral- und Osteuropa zu den größten Versicherungsmärkten und weist überdurchschnittlich hohe Wachstumsraten auf. Warta war begehrt. Auch die italienische Generali interessierte sich für den Versicherer, ebenso die Vienna Insurance Group (VIG), die deutsche Allianz und die Zurich Insurance Group. Doch Talanx reichte die mit Abstand höchste Offerte ein. Verkäufer war der belgische Finanzkonzern KBC. Dieser hatte zur Bewältigung der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise Staatshilfe in Milliardenhöhe erhalten und sich im Gegenzug verpflichtet, Töchter 4 CEE Der Verkauf von Sachversicherungen wie der Autohaftpflicht erweist sich weitgehend als krisenresistent. Mit zunehmendem Wohlstand steigt auch die Nachfrage nach Lebensversicherungen und Altersvorsorgeprodukten. Nachholbedarf in Osteuropa hat die österreichische UniqaVersicherung. Daher führt die Gesellschaft im Sommer eine Kapitalerhöhung über 500 Mio. Euro durch. Das ist aber nur ein erster Schritt. Für 2013/14 ist eine weitere Finanzspritze geplant. Dann möchte der Konzern mit dem Verkauf neuer Aktien noch einmal einen dreistelligen Millionenbetrag einnehmen. Das Geld soll für Akquisitionen in Zentral- und Osteuropa ausgegeben werden. Innerhalb der nächsten zwei Jahre werde in der Region der Kuchen neu verteilt, sagt Uniqa-Vorstandschef Andreas Brandstetter: „Und da wollen wir dabei sein.“ Er sieht starke Indizien, „dass Marktteilnehmer, die derzeit im Osten aktiv sind, in Asien und Südamerika größeres Potenzial sehen und ihre Ost-Beteiligungen verkaufen“. Wegen strengerer Eigenkapitalvorschriften würden auch „lokale Potentaten“ ihre Versicherungsanteile abgeben. Ziel von Uniqa ist, bis 2020 die Kundenzahl von 7,5 Millionen auf 15 Millionen zu verdoppeln. Ein Großteil der Neukunden soll aus Osteuropa kommen. Das Potenzial sei angesichts der geringen Versicherungsdichte enorm, sagt Brandstetter. Immer mehr internationale Versicherungskonzerne wollen daher ihr Geschäft in der Wachstumsregion ausbauen. Aus Deutschland sind bereits die Allianz und die zu Munich Re gehörende Ergo stark vertreten. Dazu kommen die VIG, die österreichische Uniqa und Generali. Ergo steuert einen Teil des Osteuropageschäfts über eine Holding in Wien. Die Tochter Ergo Austria ist bereits in sechs osteuropäischen Ländern vertreten und hat weitere im Visier. Die VIG ist nach aggressiven Zukäufen zur führenden Versicherung in Zentralund Osteuropa aufgestiegen und mittlerweile in 25 Ländern präsent. Das Geld für die Expansion holte sie sich von der Börse. Während 2011 am Heimatmarkt Österreich die Erlöse stagnierten, ging es in Tschechien, Polen und der Slowakei deutlich aufwärts. „Wir wachsen dort schneller als der Markt“, sagt VIG Chef Günter Geyer. Dass sein Unternehmen bei der polnischen Warta nicht zum Zug gekommen ist, sieht Geyer nicht als Niederlage: „Wir hätten Warta gern gekauft, aber zu den Preisvorstellungen, die wir richtig finden.“ Die Österreicher wollen in Polen jetzt „sehr dynamisch organisch wachsen“. Bereits im Vorjahr steigerte die VIG dort das Prämienvolumen um 28 Prozent. So gibt in Albanien ein Erwachsener jährlich im Schnitt 19 Euro für Versicherungen aus. In anderen Ländern Osteuropas sind es zwischen 100 und 570 Euro – in westeuropäischen Ländern wie Österreich 2000 Euro. FTD.de/beilagen 23.05.2012 Zentral- und Osteuropa A2 5 China Where the state does too little years to come. Optimists think growth in excess of 20% a year is a good bet. China’s insurance industry holds a mirror to the government Jul 21st 2011 | HONG KONG | from the print edition Some of the reasons for this rosy prospect are obvious: China’s size, its growing wealth and the immaturity of the industry (...) all explain its potential. But the fact that the industry has so far to go also reflects two historic shifts in government policy, one which set the market back and the other now propelling it forward. THE insurance industry, designed as it is to smooth over life’s dramas, is meant to be somewhat dull. Insurers themselves mostly conform to this type: they produce modest, consistent returns—steady growth and, to reassure the skittish, a dividend. Things are different in China. Dividends are a trivial component of share prices, and the industry’s growth prospects are breathtaking, not boring. The first shift dates back to the revolution and wiped out the industry. British firms began selling policies in China in 1846. In 1875 a precursor to the current China Merchants group entered the market. AIG was founded in Shanghai in 1919. Small agencies peddling policies speckled the streets of major cities, says Paul French, a Shanghai-based writer. All, however, were tossed out or shut down after the revolution on the premise that the state provided all, so there was no need for a separate intermediary. One measure of its buoyancy is the industry’s resilience in the face of a series of recent setbacks. Concerns over questionable sales practices have prompted regulators to restrict banks’ distribution of life-insurance products, a channel that is responsible for about half of all life sales. If that was not bad enough, the end of subsidies for car purchases introduced during the global crisis removed a main impetus for sales of car-insurance policies. Car insurance is three-quarters of the country’s property and casualty business. Even hard-core communists were gradually convinced of the need for shipping insurance for the country’s tiny foreign trade —no one wanted to allow anything on a boat if there wasn’t a clear way of being reimbursed if it did not arrive. A single company, the People’s Insurance Company of China (PICC), was established as a government monopoly, although the amount of business it did was trivial. Even so life-insurance sales are off by only 5% so far this year, compared with the same period in 2010, and carinsurance sales, after slowing early in the year, seem to be rebounding. In the longer term most analysts are looking at 15% earnings growth for both life and non-life products for 6 China Things began to change in 1988 when China Merchants was able to convince the government that it should be allowed back into the business it had set up for China a century before. It was permitted to establish Ping An Insurance, at first providing coverage for trucks moving goods from a single part of Shenzhen in the south of the country. Eventually, insurance offices were established at the end of each truck route. existent. In the case of a disaster, help is unlikely to come from the courts or from government. That creates a staggeringly large gap for insurers. The most popular life-insurance products tend to be simple: pay a premium for 10-15 years and get a return, plus protection for your family in the case of death. They are useful for retirement, for a child’s education or for an emergency. As investment products, however, they are less attractive than they once were. Banks have recently had to raise reserves: that has created a hunger for deposits which has pushed up what they are willing to pay. It is now common to be offered 3% for a one-year bank deposit and 5.5% for a five-year one. Insurers are allowed to guarantee only a 2.5% return; policies linked to the stockmarket that dangle the promise of much higher returns have disappointed recently. From these modest roots, an extraordinarily valuable industry has emerged. Ping An is now worth $66 billion. PICC has been broken up into at least three bits. One part, China Life, is the only pure insurance company in the world worth more than Ping An; another part, carrying the old PICC name and selling property and casualty insurance, is worth $20 billion; a third will go public soon. Various other insurance companies have emerged as well, often carved out of a state entity. China Pacific, a Shanghai-based firm, is worth $30 billion. Along with these giants there are hundreds of smaller outfits and dozens of foreign-linked ventures, all crowding into what they sense is a growing market. That might hurt if enough customers moved in search of higher returns. But in China many people are only just becoming affluent enough to invest. There is lots of opportunity for agents with a product to flog. China Life has more than 700,000 agents working on its behalf; other firms have armies of salesmen, too. That growth reflects the second great shift in government policy. Having previously dispensed with insurance as redundant in a socialist society, the new China has reversed course. The state is intimately involved in business and many aspects of life, but the provision of social insurance—for illhealth, accidents and old age—is either inadequate or non- 7 China As is often the case in China, foreign firms face huge barriers. With one exception, they are required to enter the country through joint ventures or to hold only tiny, direct stakes. The exception is AIA, which was recently spun out of AIG. Its erstwhile parent was quick to follow China Merchants in successfully pushing for a new licence based on its history, and managed to obtain approvals for five provinces. AIA’s life-insurance operations have the largest market share of any foreign firm as a result, at a trivial-sounding 1%. Even that sliver still accounts for 8% of all its new business, notes Mark Kellock, an analyst with Barclays Capital. Up that share just a little and the impact on AIA would be vast. China’s insurance market may be daunting. Dull it is not. 8 China 9 China FT.com May 29, 2012 12:26 pm Banks are therefore desperate to get on deals; PICC’s $6bnodd offering, expected to be split between Hong Kong and Shanghai, will be critical. If more than 12 banks make the deal, it would be a global record. Cornerstone investors: PICC and choose How many banks do you need to take a company public? There has to be a twist on the old lightbulb joke when PICC, the Chinese insurer, told 14 banks they can work on the Hong Kong aspect of its potential $6bn share sale. Their chances of earning a fee will depend on their ability to produce cornerstone investors. PICC is the latest Hong Kong-bound company to demand guaranteed investors. This trend is not healthy. Companies are keen to “de-risk” deals in choppy markets. Using lots of banks and pre- selling chunks can help. But this allows process management to take over from the art of selling a story. The investment banker version of the lightbulb joke says one is enough to hold the bulb while the world revolves around him. Hong Kong-bound companies seem to think the market revolves around them. Investors outside the cornerstone club should think about the messages – the need for such a comfort blanket, the loss of liquidity – sent by these cosy deals. Cornerstones get agreed allotments of an IPO in return for accepting a lock-up period. Early big-name backers can boost a deal, but tying up large chunks of an offering is like resorting to Plan B before Plan A – convincing investors of your corporate story – has been tried. The practice is prevalent in Asia and it matters because Hong Kong is the world’s biggest listing market, raising a third more equity than New York, its nearest rival, in the past three years. This year cornerstones have taken three-10ths of the listings in Hong Kong. That is more than at any time in the past 15 years, according to Dealogic. Total listings this year, at $3.3bn, are running at only a fifth of 2011 levels. 10 China FT.com May 29, 2012 12:29 pm management business, from AIG following the insurance company’s collapse during the global financial crisis. Mr Li, who is being advised by HSBC, spent several weeks trying to find a consortium partners who would be interested in the Japanese or Korean parts of ING’s Asia business, according to people familiar with his dealings. Richard Li bids for ING’s Asian assets By Paul J Davies in Hong Kong Richard Li has lodged an indicative bid for the south-east Asian businesses of ING’s $6bn Asian insurance operations, which the Dutch financial group is selling after taking government bailout cash during the financial crisis. However, the Dutch group and its advisers in the sale, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, did not allow consortium bids in the first round of bidding, which closed on May 18, because it would prefer to sell the businesses as a single unit. The younger son of Asia’s wealthiest tycoon, Li Ka-shing, is a surprise entrant to the field of bidders, which had been thought to include only strategic interest from insurance companies looking to boost their presence in Asia. Large North American groups MetLife and Manulife are thought to have lodged offers for all the Asian businesses, while Prudential Financial of the US, which had been expected to do so, dropped out days before the deadline without bidding, according to people familiar with the situation. The majority owner of PCCW, the media and telecoms company, has been given a boost by a pledge from his tycoon father that he will financially back his son’s business ventures, giving Richard Li access to extra firepower. However, most other interested parties, including AIA, the panAsian insurer, are expected to avoid the Japanese unit, which has a good life assurance group but an opaque and potentially loss-ridden variable annuity division that writes long-term income guarantees to policy holders. Richard Li has three main business interests – telecoms, property and financial services – according to one close adviser, so the ING insurance arm would fit with that. Mr Li previously owned a Hong Kong-based life assurance company, Pacific Century Life, which he sold to Belgo-Dutch group Fortis. He also bought Pinebridge, a US-based asset 11 China The Korean arm has generated some strong interest from domestic rivals, but the south- east Asian business, which is dominated by a Malaysian unit, is expected to attract the most interest and potentially the highest premium. South-east Asia is seen as promising the highest growth rates as a burgeoning middle class looks to save for the future and protect its improving lifestyles. As a whole, ING’s Asian insurance operations are expected to fetch between $6bn and $7bn. Mr Li, HSBC, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs all declined to comment. 12 China FT.com July 26, 2012 9:32 pm The two buyers plan to provide Chinese investors with a deeper understanding of investment opportunities in Europe in the wake of the financial crisis while developing renminbi products for investors sitting in Europe. China funds near deal for Dexia unit By Anousha Sakoui, Henny Sender and Hugh Carnegy Two Chinese private equity funds are closing in on a deal to buy the asset management arm of Dexia, highlighting the interest of Asian buyers in European financial assets as banks look to restructure in the wake of the financial crisis. Dexia said in June it was in negotiations with three international investors for the sale of Dexia Asset Management, and expected a deal in the coming weeks. It gave no details. If the sale of the business for about €500m is completed, it would mark the last stage of a break- up of the twice-bailedout Belgo-French bank, one of the biggest European victims of successive financial crises during the past four years. People familiar with the matter said New York Life Insurance and Macquarie Group had been among those interested. These companies declined to comment. The sale of DAM will be the last of six Dexia units hived off in a fire sale of assets over the past nine months, which have so far raised €8.7bn. Hony Capital, one of China’s largest private equity groups, teamed up with GCS Capital, a fund founded by former investment banker Guocang Huan, to buy the business, which has about €80bn under management and clients in 25 countries. The selection of a preferred bidder comes after the departure last month of Jean-Luc Dehaene, chairman, and Pierre Mariani, chief executive, who were brought in to rescue Dexia in 2008 after its first bailout. Dexia declined to comment. Meanwhile, Pierre Moscovici, French finance minister, said Paris was close to a deal with the European Commission on last year’s overall €90bn bailout of Dexia by France, Belgium and Luxembourg. The commission has so far temporarily approved only €55bn of the state guarantees. Additional reporting by Paul J Davies The two funds have been selected as Dexia’s preferred bidder, people familiar with the situation said. One of the people said an agreement in principle was reached in talks in Paris on Wednesday and was set to be signed next week. A second person with knowledge of the talks said the group had offered more than €500m for the unit. 13 China CHINA-FLAUTE VERUNSICHERT DAXCHEFS Immerhin: Die Absatzzahlen der deutschen Autohersteller in der weltweit zweitgrößten Volkswirtschaft wachsen weiter zweistellig. Auch Adidas, Bayer und Metro verbuchen ein Plus. Claudia Wanner, Hongkong FTD.de 31.08.12 Die Ergebnisse passen ins weltweite Bild: Vom Luxusjuwelier Tiffany bis zum Baumaschinenexperten Caterpillar haben Konzerne zuletzt in ihren Halbjahreszahlen auf drohende oder bestehende Umsatzrückgänge in der Volksrepublik hingewiesen. Viele deutsche Großkonzerne erwirtschaften inzwischen einen beachtlichen Teil der Umsätze in der Volksrepublik. Das nachlassende Wachstum macht diese Abhängigkeit nun zum Risiko Die Gewinne chinesischer Industrieunternehmen schrumpfen seit Jahresanfang. Im Juli lagen sie um 5,4 Prozent unter dem Vorjahresniveau. Und in einer aktuellen Studie von Goldman Sachs gehören Sorgen über ein schwächeres Wachstum in China zu den Topthemen multinationaler Konzerne. Martin Brudermüller ist vorsichtig geworden. „Mit ein bisschen Lagerabbau, wie es im Moment läuft, ist die Nachfrage schnell bei einer Wachstumsrate von null“, beschrieb der AsienVorstand von BASF vor wenigen Tagen das aktuelle Geschäft in China. Die Kunden seien derzeit sehr vorsichtig. Folgerichtig ist der DAX-Konzern in China – lange Zeit der Boommarkt schlechthin – in den ersten sechs Monaten nicht gewachsen. Die chinesische Regierung hatte mit dem laufenden Fünfjahresplan die geplanten Wachstumsraten heruntergeschraubt; das Ziel für 2012 liegt bei 7,5 Prozent. Doch die Folgen der Schuldenkrise in der EU, die unsicheren Aussichten in den USA und eine Reihe hausgemachter Probleme lassen nach Ansicht vieler Ökonomen auch diese Vorgabe wackeln. Im zweiten Quartal schaffte die Wirtschaft, die die Vorgaben in der Vergangenheit stets locker übertroffen hatte, ein Plus von 7,6 Prozent. BASF ist kein Einzelfall. Die Halbjahreszahlen einer Reihe deutscher DAX-Konzerne belegen, dass das China-Geschäft längst kein Selbstläufer mehr ist. So stagnierten laut einer Analyse der Münchener Strategieberatung EAC nicht nur bei den Ludwigshafenern, sondern auch bei der Deutschen Post und Merck zuletzt die Umsätze in der Volksrepublik. Infineon, Siemens und Thyssen verzeichneten gegenüber dem Vorjahreszeitraum sogar leichte Rückgänge. 14 China Im gebeutelten Europa hört sich das nach viel an. Doch in der Volksrepublik stehen zahlreiche Branchen nach Jahren des Wachstums vor massiven Problemen: Die fehlende Kauflaune in Übersee schwächt die Exporte, zahlreiche Konzerne produzieren derzeit für ihre Lager. Chinas Banken werden vorsichtig und reichen weniger Kredite aus, das drückt auf die Investitionen. Im August ist die Produktion nach ersten Indizes deutlich geschrumpft. Investitionsgüter herstellen, wie etwa ThyssenKrupp oder Siemens. Und trotzdem: Beobachter raten zur Gelassenheit. „Insgesamt ist die Lage in China für die deutschen Konzerne immer noch positiv“, sagt Daniel Berger, Berater bei EAC in Schanghai. Die vielfach geäußerte Sorge, dass „die Party zu Ende ist“, teile er nicht. Schließlich komme das schwächere Wachstum mit Ansage. Dagegen hatte der Société-Générale-Volkswirt Yao Wei die jüngsten Veröffentlichungen zur Industrieproduktion „entsetzlich“ genannt und sein Wachstumsziel in Gefahr gesehen. Ob nun Crash oder gedrosseltes Tempo: Viele deutsche Konzerne werden die Folgen in den Bilanzen spüren. Schließlich sind mit Ausnahme des Energiekonzerns Eon alle DAX-Konzerne in China aktiv. Die Automobilkonzerne und Infineon erwirtschaften dort teilweise deutlich über zehn Prozent der Umsätze. Für den Chiphersteller dürfte es jedoch schwieriger werden, ebenso für Konsumgüterkonzerne und Firmen, die mit dem Bausektor verbunden sind oder 15 China FT.com September 2, 2012 3:46 pm Partners, Citic Capital Partners, CDH Investments and China Everbright. Delisting Chinese groups worry insurers By Paul J Davies in Hong Kong The growing wave of Chinese companies looking to delist from US stock markets is rattling insurers that have sold them millions of dollars worth of cover for defence costs in the event of shareholder lawsuits. Companies looking to delist often do so at relatively low valuations compared with either their past trading history or their original listing price, and in the US it is extremely common for shareholders to file “bump-up” lawsuits that seek to extract a higher price from proposed new buyers. Insurers in Asia and Europe that are exposed through directors’ and officers’ liability policies are looking at ways to exclude this cover, according to lawyers at RPC, the Londonbased firm, though brokers say it would be extremely tough for them to strip it out of existing policies. Robin Huang, leader for financial and professional risks in China at Marsh, the insurance broker, said that about half of the 27 Chinese groups that have launched a deal to go private in the past 18 months have faced litigation or at least investigation from law firms engaged by public shareholders. At least 16 companies with a value of about $4bn have already completed deals to take themselves private – often with private equity backing – as their share prices have performed poorly and the entrepreneurs and executives behind them have struggled to engage US investors and analysts. US insurers have typically excluded cover for the cost of defending such suits for some time already, according to Jeremy Hewitt, a partner at RPC in Singapore. Insurers in Asia and Europe, however, have not until now. US companies typically have D&O cover of about $50m – although that is much larger for the very biggest companies. Chinese companies listed in the US, where D&O cover is mandatory, typically have about $15m-$20m. More than 400 Chinese groups are listed in the US after a wave of reverse mergers and initial public offerings in recent years. Fresh proposals continue to arise, such as this month’s move by Focus Media, a Chinese outdoor advertising group worth $3.5bn, to delist from Nasdaq with funding from Carlyle Capital of the US, alongside Chinese firms FountainVest 16 China Mr Hewitt said that excluding such cover from existing policies in the event that a company goes private would be a “matter for commercial negotiation”. “If a company delists then that constitutes a material change of control, which a company would have to notify its insurer about. This could then be used to change the terms of cover,” he said. Mr Huang of Marsh said that it would be very tough to exclude defence costs from “bump-up” suits on existing policies. “But at annual renewal, insurers are now more commonly looking to exclude any liability related to going private,” he said. “Sometimes if there is only a low share price or a large holding controlled by an original owner insurers will look to exclude cover or at least apply sub-limits.” Murray Wood, regional managing director for Asia at Aon Risk Solution, said he was not yet seeing any insurers impose “bump-up” exclusions on clients, but he was seeing other specific exclusions related to privatisation deals. “The market in general is wary of privatisation long-tail risk,” he said. “So long as there is adequate pre-renewal communication between the brokers, underwriters and the ‘insureds’, very few insurers will insist on these exclusions without reasons.” 17 China China China Private equity in China A big reason for this success is Hony’s political connections. Mr Zhao is a networking master. That giant table took up over half the ballroom because it allowed even semi-important officials to feel loved. But more important than all the small connections is a big one: Hony is an offshoot of Legend Holdings, a quasi-governmental investment firm, which also controls Lenovo, a computer maker. Hony ahoy Hony Capital wants to help Chinese firms go global Sep 1st 2012 | WUHAN | The Economist from the print edition JOHN ZHAO, the boss of China’s Hony Capital, doesn’t do understated. At the annual general meeting (AGM) of the private-equity firm, held this week in Wuhan, he arranged for a bedecked circular conference table so enormous that even a Chinese guest whispered that it was “worthy of the central committee”. The firm’s AGM last year is remembered for a huge outdoor projection on a building in Shanghai’s Bund district, showing a gold-laden ship called “Hony” sailing homeward past foreign landmarks. Many conservative investors, such as risk- averse funds of funds, are reassured by the fact that Liu Chuanzhi, Legend’s founder and the doyen of China’s entrepreneurs, remains actively involved in Hony. “You just don’t know who else to trust in China,” confides a foreigner who has invested in Hony. The firm cannot rely on reputation forever. Its early funds have performed well: one is on its way to returning over ten times invested capital. But newer (and far bigger) funds have yet to sparkle. Returns on a $1.4 billion Hony fund raised in 2008 are so far below 6%, estimates PitchBook, a research firm. An investor captures the emerging sentiment: “You took all my money, where are the returns?” Mr Zhao has reason to brag. In recent years billions have flooded into the more-than-5,000 private-equity firms that focus on China (...), but Hony has emerged as the top dog. It has raised more money since its founding in 2003 than any rival in China, according to Preqin, a research firm. It counts as investors the Gates Foundation, Goldman Sachs, China’s giant National Social Security Fund and government pension funds from across North America. Its latest dollar and yuan-denominated funds have raised $2.4 billion and $1.6 billion respectively. 20 China But even Hony’s rivals acknowledge its strengths. The Asian boss of a Western private-equity firm praises Hony’s sophisticated approach to managing its portfolio and its investors, as well as its almost un-Chinese transparency. “It looks the most like a Western institutional fund,” he says, adding that there have been too few investment cycles to judge performance—not just of Hony but of the entire sector. As entrepreneurial as they are, Mr Zhao observes, many small and mid- sized firms in China lack much of what is common in the West, in particular good management, proper accounting and savvy marketing. By helping them acquire such skills, Mr Zhao says, two-thirds of the 70 or so firms in which Hony has invested so far have met or beaten expectations and nearly all have seen improving profits. Such claims are impossible to validate, but outside experts reckon that Hony has been unusually adept at improving a firm’s operations. Mr Zhao is also prepared to be flexible in search of returns. The firm’s early tack was to reform inefficient state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Now it focuses on helping Chinese firms expand abroad. Soon Hony may become an “asset manager”, says Mr Zhao, although he does not offer details. (Hony is rumoured to be close to winning the asset- management business of Dexia, a deeply troubled European bank.) The unifying thread seems to be his unshakable faith that the “Chinese are inherently entrepreneurial”. The logic behind Hony’s shift towards helping Chinese firms venture abroad is less obvious. In 2008 it advised Zoomlion, a struggling heavy- equipment SOE that it had previously helped restructure, on its acquisition of CIFA, an Italian firm. The deal was ill–timed, coming on the eve of the financial crisis. But it still made good strategic sense, according to a case study about the purchase by Josh Lerner of Harvard Business School. His own life is evidence. Early in his career he turned down a job as a bureaucrat to work for a radio factory in Nanjing. Overcoming resistance from old-timers, he persuaded his boss to let him try something new. Armed with a suitcase filled with thousands of yuan, he went off to Shanghai’s Jiao Tong University, found an academic who had invented a promising medical device, bought the rights and got it built. A few years in America strengthened his trust in risk-taking capitalism. Zoomlion gained new distribution networks in Africa and the Americas; with Hony’s help, CIFA was able to shift manufacturing to China, where its parent now offers the Italian firm’s kit as a premium product. As a result, Zoomlion’s revenues have shot up more than tenfold since 2006, to $7.4 billion in 2011; its profits are up more than twentyfold, to $1.3 billion. 21 China Sceptics think such success will be hard to repeat. Why, they ask, should a Chinese SOE wanting to enter, say, Germany need a Chinese private-equity firm’s help—rather than that of big Western firms which have better knowledge of the target market? That is not what matters most, Mr Zhao counters: Chinese firms have a very strong culture and little experience working with outsiders, which he thinks gives Hony a decisive edge. He points to Bain Capital’s failed attempt to help Huawei, a telecoms firm, enter America as an example. “I’m going to be riding on the wave of Chinese firms going global,” Mr Zhao insists. But even if he is right, he cannot relax. Investors will not wait forever for the good ship Hony to bring them that promised golden bounty. from the print edition | Finance and economics 22 China 23 China FTD.de 25.09.2012, 11:40 Streit: Erzrivalen ABN Amro , den die Belgier im Herbst 2007 zusammen mit der Royal Bank of Scotland und Spaniens Santander für 72 Mrd. Euro erworben hatten. Im Zuge der Kriseneskalation nach der Lehman-Pleite im September 2008 dann war Fortis endgültig zusammengebrochen und musste von Belgien, Luxemburg und den Niederlanden gerettet werden. In jenem Jahr erwirtschaftete die Gruppe rund 28 Mrd. Euro Verlust. China zerrt Belgien vor Gericht Vor fünf Jahren investierte der chinesische Lebensversicherer Ping An 1,8 Mrd. Euro in den Finanzkonzern Fortis. Ein Jahr später war Fortis verstaatlicht und das Geld weg. Jetzt fordert Ping An vor Gericht von Belgien die Rückzahlung. von Tim Bartz Jetzt also will Ping An sein Geld zurückbekommen, und Schauplatz der Auseinandersetzung ist das Internationale Zentrum zur Beilegung von Investitionsstreitigkeiten (International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, ICSID) in Washington, das Teil der Weltbank ist - und äußerst verschwiegen. Der Zusammenbruch seines einstigen Finanzkonzerns Fortis lässt das schuldengeplagte Belgien nicht los. Zwar gehört das Bankgeschäft heute der französischen Bank BNP Paribas , und die verbliebene Versicherungssparte Ageas, die je zur Hälfte von Belgien und den Niederlanden getragen wird, wirtschaftet einigermaßen erfolgreich vor sich hin. Doch die Spätfolgen des Kollapses im Krisenherbst 2008 holen die Flamen und Wallonen jetzt wieder ein: In Deutschland hatte das ICSID im April 2009 zumindest zeitweise eine gewisse Berühmtheit erlangt: Seinerzeit hatte Vattenfall die Bundesrepublik auf 1,4 Mrd. Euro Schadensersatz verklagt. Grund waren die Auflagen, die die Hamburger Umweltbehörde dem skandinavischen Energieversorger auferlegt hatte, um im Gegenzug den Bau des Kohlekraftwerks Moorburg zu genehmigen. Das Verfahren wurde einvernehmlich beigelegt, die Details der Einigung sind bis heute nicht bekannt, das Kohlekraftwerk in Moorburg soll Mitte 2014 in Betrieb gehen. Ping An, Chinas zweitgrößter Lebensversicherer, klagt gegen Belgien vor einem internationalen Schiedsgericht. Ping An will jenes Geld zurück, das der staatlich kontrollierte Konzern im November 2007 in Fortis-Aktien investiert hatte. Vor knapp fünf Jahren hatten die Chinesen für damals 1,8 Mrd. Euro fünf Prozent der Fortis-Aktien erworben, nach der Verstaatlichung des Unternehmens aber Totalverlust erlitten. So verschluckte sich Fortis erst am Kauf des niederländischen 24 China Wie der Fachdienst Investment Arbitration Reporter und die Financial Times berichten, ist die in der vergangenen Woche eingereichte Klage von Ping An die erste eines chinesischen Unternehmens beim ICSID überhaupt. Im Mai hatte die Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) den amerikanischen Ableger der Bank of East Asia erworben. Und die China Construction Bank hat vollmundig angekündigt, für Zukäufe oder Beteiligungen an europäischen Geldhäusern bis zu 12 Mrd. Euro ausgeben zu wollen. Ping An und Fortis haben nicht das erste Mal Ärger miteinander: So hatte der Versicherer 2009 gleich zweimal versucht, die Übernahme des belgischen Fortis-Geschäfts durch BNP und damit die Zerschlagung des Unternehmens zu torpedieren, war damit aber gescheitert. 2008, nach dem Zusammenbruch von Fortis, hatte Ping An die Hilfe der chinesischen Regierung gesucht, um von den Beneluxregierungen Geld zurückzubekommen - ebenfalls vergeblich. Dass Ping An nun Belgien vor Gericht zerrt, nährt Befürchtungen, dass China mit Investitionen in Unternehmen im dauerkrisengeplagten Westen zurückhaltender wird. Dabei schien es zuletzt so, als könnten die Chinesen von Finanzdienstleistern in Europa und den USA nicht genug bekommen: Vergangene Woche hatte die chinesische Fosun Gruppe zusammen mit den Vermögensverwaltern Kleinwort Benson und Blackrock sowie BMW-Großaktionär Stefan Quandt die Übernahme der Frankfurter Privatbank BHF vereinbart. 25 China FT.com Last updated: September 24, 2012 1:31 pm Ping An registered the request for arbitration proceedings last week. Its application was first reported by the Investment Arbitration Reporter news service. Ping An in arbitration claim over Fortis By Simon Rabinovitch in Beijing and James Fontanella-Khan in Brussels Details of its arbitration request are not yet public but Ping An had a public feud with the Belgian government in 2009 when it sold control of Fortis’s Belgian banking operations to France’s BNP Paribas. Ping An, which held almost 5 per cent of Fortis, voted against the sale. Ping An, China’s second-biggest insurer, has filed an international arbitration claim against Belgium in an attempt to recoup losses from its investment in Fortis, the now defunct financial services group. At the time Ping An said in a statement: “The process with which Fortis was nationalised and its assets disposed violated basic principles of corporate governance and has hurt shareholders’ legal rights”. It added that it would “protect its legal rights”. It is the first time that a mainland Chinese company has turned to the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, an arbitration institution under the World Bank that handles clashes between investors and states. Ping An wrote off Rmb22.8bn of its Rmb23.9bn investment in Fortis, a Belgian-Dutch group, when it was dismantled and nationalised in 2008. In 2008, when Fortis imploded, Ping An had enlisted the help of the Chinese government in pressing for compensation from the governments of Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. The nearly 100 per cent paper loss was the worst of several high-profile foreign investments made by Chinese financial institutions just before global markets crashed. Scarred by that experience, Chinese investors have been very reluctant to enter the market for US and European banking assets even as their prices have tumbled since then. Ping An’s decision to file a formal arbitration claim against Belgium suggests that its efforts to negotiate a settlement have failed. A Hong Kong investor previously brought a claim against Peru to the World Bank’s arbitration centre, but Ping An is the first mainland Chinese company to do so. 26 China A Belgian government official said that they were not aware of the claim and therefore declined to comment on the matter. The collapse of what was then Belgium’s leading banking and insurance group affected more than 3,000 retail investors. Fortis shareholders lost up to 90 per cent of their investments after the bank was nationalised by Belgian and Dutch governments. China Construction Bank, the world’s second biggest by market value, told the Financial Times last week that it was scouring Europe for good banks to buy. Fortis’ troubles began in April 2007 when the Belgian financial group was forced to raise cash to pay for the €24bn takeover of ABN Amro, the Dutch bank it had acquired along with Santander of Spain and the Royal Bank of Scotland. The acquisition of ABN stretched Fortis’ balance sheet at a time when global liquidity retreated because of the subprime crisis. The Belgian and Dutch governments were later forced to nationalise the group’s banking operations in October 2008 to avoid the collapse of their respective banking sectors, a move that was firmly opposed by shareholders. There have been signs in recent months that Chinese banks have been cautiously rediscovering their appetite for financial investments in the US and Europe. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the world’s biggest bank by market value, bought the US arm of Bank of East Asia in May. 27 China Lex/FT.com September 24, 2012 9:09 pm One irony worth noting, however, is that international arbitration can actually be good for business. Ping An – tussle with Brussels Who are you gonna call when a government takes your money? Investors sometimes forget that the flip side of potentially supernormal returns is extreme risk, and one of the biggest risks of all is when governments simply expropriate assets. For example, South American countries, helped by the likes of Venezuela and Argentina, account for 30 per cent of all cases registered with the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, the arbitration body that deals with fights between investors and states. In the late 1980s, Argentina used to sign bilateral investment treaties in order to spur foreign interest. The message: you have a chance of getting your money back! Likewise, if Ping An receives a fair hearing now – or, heaven forbid, actually receives compensation for its Fortis loss – Chinese companies will be reminded that overseas investing at the very least comes with the ultimate in checks and balances. Perhaps it is not surprising, then, that China Construction Bank, the world’s second largest by market value, is said to be shopping for a European bank. Ping An’s pain does not seem to have put the Chinese off. The only thing worse than risk is not having the right to be heard. Unsurprisingly, the developing world makes up the bulk of governments taken to task by companies. Just 6 per cent of cases concern North American and western European countries. That said, the latest claim is against Belgium, filed by Ping An last week. China’s second-biggest insurer is peeved that its 5 per cent stake in Fortis was wiped out when the Dutch-Belgian bancassurer was broken up and nationalised in 2008. Forget the irony of a Chinese company complaining that it has been compromised by a state-backed directive. More important is that Ping An is refusing to be seen as just a silent money pit, unlike those Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds that seem to love quietly losing billions. 28 China WSJ.com BUSINESS September 25, 2012, 12:48 a.m. ET The Investment Arbitration Reporter news service reported on Saturday that Ping An filed the request for arbitration last week with the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes, a body under the World Bank. Ping An Files Claim Over Fortis Loss Ping An Insurance (Group) Co. of China Ltd. has filed an international arbitration claim in a bid to recover losses arising from its investment in nationalized Belgian-Dutch financial services group Fortis NV, after negotiations with the Belgian government failed. Ping An first invested in Fortis in October 2007, and eventually built up a stake of about 5%. The investment was meant to pave the way for the purchase of half of the financial service giant's asset-management unit. That plan was scrapped as Fortis fell victim to the global financial crisis. China's second-largest life insurer by premiums declined to say how much compensation it is seeking or give further details of the claim. Ping An had to write down most of its 23.87 billion yuan ($3.78 billion) investment in Fortis when the company was nationalized and sold off during the 2008 financial crisis. The Chinese insurer reported a 99% plunge in net profit in 2008 after taking a 22.79 billion yuan impairment charge on the investment. Ping An has also feuded with Belgian authorities over the government's decision to sell part of Fortis's banking operations to BNP Paribas SA. "We have been trying very hard to negotiate with the Belgian government through different channels on compensation for our investment losses in Fortis. Regretfully, these negotiations have not been successful," Ping An spokesman Sheng Ruisheng said Tuesday. —Grace Zhu in Beijing and Fiona Law in Hong Kong contributed to this article. "The Belgian government's misconduct toward Fortis back in 2008 violated the legitimate rights and undermined interests of Fortis investors. We have no alternative but to defend Ping An's rights through legal action," Mr. Sheng said. 29 China Reuters/Christian Krämer 26.09.2012 09:57 Uhr China – einen Marktanteil von weit über 90 Prozent. "Gegen die kommt man nicht an. Die haben teilweise eine halbe Million Vertreter und dominieren den Markt." "Volkseigentum muss nicht versichert werden" Bei der Münchener-Rück -Tochter Ergo ist man deswegen überaus vorsichtig, hat sich nun aber - 20 Jahre nachdem die ersten ausländischen Versicherer nach China kamen entschieden, zumindest in einer Provinz aktiv zu werden. Zu spät? Ergo-Vorstand Jochen Messemer wiegelt ab: "Man muss sich genau überlegen, wo man sich dem Wettbewerb stellen will." Autos von Audi und BMW sind in China heiß begehrt und Statussymbol schlechthin, T-Shirts und Schuhe von Adidas Kult und ebenso gefragt. Doch nicht alle Unternehmen sind im Reich der Mitte so vom Erfolg verwöhnt. Die deutschen Versicherer beispielsweise spielen nur eine Nebenrolle, selbst die Allianz - immerhin Europas Marktführer - tritt auf der Stelle. Andere Anbieter trauen sich den Sprung in den riesigen, aber hart umkämpften Markt nicht zu oder gehen sehr behutsam vor. Volkseigentum muss nicht versichert werden Im kommunistischen China gab es zwischen 1959 und 1979 überhaupt keine Versicherungen. "Früher gab es nur Volkseigentum, warum sollte man dann etwas versichern?", erinnert sich Benno von Canstein, Allianz-Repräsentant in Peking. Potenzial ist zweifelsfrei da, wie Top-Manager der Branche betonen. Nur es auszuschöpfen, ist bislang kaum einer ausländischen Firma gelungen. Das wird sich wohl auch in den nächsten Jahren nicht ändern. Ende der 70er Jahre wurde die Branche dann aufgebaut, die ersten Ausländer kamen aber erst Anfang der 90er Jahre in den Markt, damals begrenzt auf die Metropole Schanghai. Alle ausländischen Anbieter überdächten ihre Situation, sagt Allianz-Vorstand Manuel Bauer, der beim Münchner DAXKonzern für die Märkte in Asien und Osteuropa zuständig ist. "Es gibt niemanden, der alleine stark genug ist." Seitdem wird der Markt immer mehr geöffnet, momentan zum Beispiel bei den bislang abgeschotteten Kfz-Haftpflichtpolicen. Die lokalen Schwergewichte - Firmen wie China Life , Ping An oder China Pacific Insurance (CPIC) - kämen noch immer auf 30 China "Als ausländisches Unternehmen in China erfolgreich tätig zu sein, ist aber kein Sonntagsspaziergang, sondern eher eine Bergwanderung mit alpiner Herausforderung", sagt von Canstein. "Bis zur Profitabilität braucht man, konservativ gerechnet, im Sachgeschäft fünf bis sieben Jahre. In der Lebensversicherung sind es sogar zwölf bis 15 Jahre." Der Markt ändert sich aber - und Ausländer werden mittlerweile ganz gerne gesehen. Die Regulierungsbehörden legten einen stärkeren Fokus auf langfristige Altersvorsorgeprodukte, sagt Ergo-Vorstand Messemer, weil staatliche Absicherung fehle. Lebensversicherungen spielten eine wichtigere Rolle. Allerdings entfalle ein Anteil von gut 95 Prozent auf lokale Anbieter. "Der Wettbewerb verschärft sich, auch in der Lebensversicherung, weil es ein sehr stark wachsender Markt ist." Da müsse man einen langen Atem haben, auch wenn es in Europa ähnlich lange dauere. Die Allianz hat in den späten 90er Jahren mit einem Joint Venture in der Lebensversicherung angefangen und ist heute in neun Provinzen aktiv. Zusätzlich bietet sie in zwei weiteren Provinzen Schaden/Unfall-Policen an. Die Ergo konzentriert sich auf die Provinz Shandong an der Ostküste, die Partner-Region Bayerns, mit ihren 96 Millionen Einwohnern. "Dort sind nicht alle großen Anbieter vertreten, und die Wettbewerbsintensität ist eine andere", sagt Messemer. "Die Menschen dort haben noch nicht so viele Versicherungsprodukte wie in Peking oder Schanghai." Ergo will in den kommenden fünf Jahren zu den zehn bis 15 größten Anbietern gehören und auf Prämieneinnahmen von umgerechnet 50 bis 70 Millionen Euro kommen - bescheidene Ziele. Denn der Konzern kam vergangenes Jahr auf Beiträge von insgesamt 20 Milliarden Euro und investiert im Reich der Mitte zusammen mit dem lokalen Partner SSAIH rund 72 Millionen Euro. Klingt wenig, ist aber viel. "Die Marktanteile der ausländischen Anbieter gehen leicht zurück, stagnieren bestenfalls", warnt Allianz-Vorstand Bauer. Dementsprechend vorsichtig müsse man agieren. Hinzu kommen bürokratische Hürden: "In China muss für jede Provinz eine eigene Lizenz beantragt werden; eine nach der anderen." Das dauere mittlerweile noch sechs bis acht Monate. "Also nimmt man sich erst mal die großen, lukrativsten Provinzen vor, rund um Peking, Schanghai oder Guangzhou zum Beispiel." In den späten 90er Jahren waren es teilweise noch eineinhalb Jahre für eine Lizenz und allein acht Monate für manche Produkte. Lebensversicherung statt Rente 31 China Da ist die Allianz schon weiter. Unter die Top 5 zu kommen, hält Vorstand Bauer aber für unrealistisch. Ziel müsse es vielmehr sein, stärkste ausländische Firma zu werden. Die Allianz hat zuletzt ihren Vertrieb in China umgebaut, nach eigenen Angaben erfolgreichere Vertreter rekrutiert. Die Münchner kooperieren zudem mit CPIC, einem der Platzhirsche. Prozent. Im Gegensatz zu deutschen Autos oder Turnschuhen seien Versicherungsprodukte viel erklärungsbedürftiger, strenger reguliert und notwendigerweise auf die lokalen Bedürfnisse zugeschnitten, sagt Ergo-Vorstand Messemer. "Das ist bei Autos anders." Sie seien mehr oder weniger gleich und in China heiß begehrt. "Da geht es stärker um Image und Prestige." Erfolgreiche Hersteller wie VW oder Audi blickten zudem auf eine jahrzehntelange Historie in China zurück. Die Allianz versucht vor allem, über neue Produkte zu punkten und im Wettbewerb zu bestehen. "Wir haben zum Beispiel damals als erste in China eine sogenannte verbundene Leben-Police angeboten, bei der der Ehepartner mit abgesichert ist", sagt China-Kenner von Canstein. "Das kam gut an bei den Kunden, wurde dann aber auch schnell kopiert von der Konkurrenz." Warum ziehen sich ausländische Versicherer dann nicht zurück und investieren ihr Geld lieber an anderer Stelle? So mancher Anbieter geht diesen Weg. Für Talanx, Deutschlands Nummer drei, ist die Expansion ins Ausland eines der wichtigsten Argumente beim anstehenden Börsengang. Nur China spielt dabei keine Rolle. Der Markt sei im Privat- und Firmenkundengeschäft zu schwierig, sagt Talanx-Vorstand Torsten Leue. "Deshalb legen wir im Ausland den Fokus auf unsere strategischen Zielmärkte Zentral- und Osteuropa sowie Lateinamerika. Dort beobachten wir attraktive Wachstumsraten bei gleichzeitig weniger schwierigen Lizenzierungsverfahren als in China." Das größte Problem bleibe der Vertrieb. Hier sei die lokale Konkurrenz zahlenmäßig überlegen und zudem landesweit vertreten. "Mit Banken kann man Kooperationen eingehen, aber das ersetzt nicht den Breitenvertrieb über Vertreter, sondern ergänzt ihn allenfalls. Da gibt es keine Überholspur." Nur Prestige-Produkte gefragt Die nackten Zahlen sind ernüchternd. In der Lebensversicherung lag der Marktanteil der Ausländer vor drei Jahren noch bei sieben Prozent. Mitte 2012 sind es gerade noch vier Prozent. In der Sachversicherung sind es erst 1,2 32 China Doch für die Allianz und jetzt auch die Ergo bietet das BoomLand ein zu großes Potenzial, um einfach aufzugeben. Weil China - angesichts der Ein-Kind-Politik - überaltere, würden Lebens- und Krankenversicherungen immer wichtiger. "Pro Kopf haben die Chinesen 2010 im Schnitt 158 Dollar für Versicherungen ausgegeben", rechnet von Canstein vor. Der globale Schnitt liege bei 627 Dollar, in Deutschland seien es 1928 Euro (derzeit knapp 2500 Dollar). Langfristige Altersvorsorge wird aber auch in China immer wichtiger. Die durchschnittliche Lebenserwartung liegt derzeit bei etwa 72 Jahren, viele gehen aber schon mit Mitte 50, Anfang 60 in den Ruhestand. Dann hilft die Familie finanziell aus. Bei der eigenen Vorsorge wurden bisher Immobilien und Aktien vielfach Lebensversicherungen vorgezogen. Gerade aber an der Börse hätten sich nicht wenige Anleger verspekuliert, sagt von Canstein. "Das hat den ein oder anderen vorsichtig werden lassen." In diese Lücke wollen die Deutschen mit Solidität und ihrer Tradition von oft mehr als 100 Jahren vorstoßen. Ob es gelingt, bleibt offen. China - die zweitgrößte Volkswirtschaft der Welt - liege in dieser Kategorie nur auf Platz 61. "Da ist also noch enormes Aufholpotenzial." Die wirtschaftlich stärkeren Küstenregionen mit ihren rund 300 Millionen Einwohnern böten die besten Chancen. Fraglich ist nur, ob deutsche oder amerikanische Firmen mit ihren Produkten, die zu Hause erprobt sind, auch den Geschmack der Chinesen treffen. "Generell investieren Chinesen gerne kurzfristig, wenn sie Geld haben", sagt Allianz-Vorstand Bauer. Der langfristige Schutzgedanke sei - ganz anders als in Deutschland, wo Verträge meist auf Jahrzehnte angelegt sind - eher limitiert. "Man schaut auch sehr genau darauf, was eine Lebensversicherung kurzfristig an Erträgen abwirft und ist bereit, den Anbieter öfter zu wechseln, wenn man lukrativere Angebote findet." 33 China FTD.de 02.10.2012, 11:29 Erdbebenversicherung: Öffentlich-private Partnerschaften ermöglichen das Abdecken möglicher Gebäudeschäden, was private Anbieter zu normalen Preisen nicht leisten können. Das zeigt sich am Beispiel Neuseeland: Dort zieht die staatliche Erdbebenkommission Prämien ein und kauft Rückversicherungsschutz bei Munich Re und anderen Anbietern. Dank dieses Systems waren mehr als 80 Prozent der Schäden von 16 Mrd. Dollar versichert, die durch das Erdbeben von Christchurch im Februar 2011 verursacht wurden. Munich Re sieht China in der Pflicht Nur die wenigsten Bauten in China sind gegen Schäden durch Naturkatastrophen versichert. Die Regierung soll gemeinsam mit privaten Anbietern Erdbebenversicherungen anbieten, fordert der weltweit größte Rückversicherer Munich Re. von Paul Davies Mehr Zusammenarbeit des Staates mit privaten Anbietern in der Erdbebenversicherung: Das wünscht sich Munich Re Chef Nikolaus von Bomhard von Chinas Regierung. Auf diese Weise könnten Wirtschaft und Menschen im bevölkerungsreichsten Land der Welt besser geschützt werden, sagte er der Financial Times. Wie von Bomhard weiter sagte, wurden die Versicherer 2011 von den Überflutungen in Thailand überrascht. Sie hätten viel länger gedauert und deutlich höhere Schäden angerichtet als erwartet, sagte der Konzernchef. Chinas Anfälligkeit für Naturkatastrophen könnte in ähnlicher Weise unterschätzt werden. "China sieht sich zahlreichen Katastrophenrisiken gegenüber", sagte von Bomhard. "Wir sind der Ansicht, dass es insbesondere für Erdbebenrisiken eine öffentlich-private Partnerschaft geben sollte." Zwar wachse Chinas Versicherungsbranche rasch, sagte von Bomhard weiter. Aber die Wohngebäudeversicherung sei nach wie vor kaum verbreitet. Lediglich fünf Prozent der Gewerbeund Industriegebäude verfügten über Versicherungsschutz. Bereits 2003 hatte Chinas Staatsrat Vorschläge der Erdbebenbehörde und der Versicherungsaufsicht für einen nationalen Erdbebenpool gebilligt. Aber auch heute, fast zehn Jahre später, gibt es immer noch kein Versicherungssystem für das Risiko. Laut dem Munich-Re-Konkurrenten Swiss Re sind von den möglichen Erdbebenschäden in China, die rund 990 Mrd. Yuan (122 Mrd. Euro) betragen, gerade einmal 9 Mrd. Yuan versichert. "Das Bewusstsein, gegenüber Katastrophen exponiert zu sein, muss sich in vielen Teilen Asiens noch entwickeln", sagte von Bomhard. 34 China Dabei wächst die Assekuranz in China kräftig. So schätzt Munich Re, dass die Volksrepublik 2020 gemessen an den Prämieneinnahmen nach den USA weltweit der zweitgrößte Markt für Versicherungen sein wird. Der DAX-Konzern selbst wachse in China jährlich um fast 20 Prozent, wie von Bomhard sagte. Das liege vor allem am Kapitalbedarf der dortigen Versicherer. Die rasch wachsenden Unternehmen, vor allem die Kfz-Versicherer, müssen zusätzliche Risiken mit mehr Kapital unterlegen. Der schnellste Weg dazu ist oft die Rückversicherung. Hinter dem Wachstum in der Autoversicherung stecken die Landflucht der Chinesen, die immer stärker in die Städte drängen, sowie der steigende Wohlstand der Bevölkerung. Dahinter bleibt das Absichern privater Gebäude deutlich zurück. Dabei ist das Land besonders stark von Erdbeben bedroht. So forderte das Erdbeben in der Provinz Sichuan 2008 rund 100.000 Todesopfer, der volkswirtschaftliche Schaden belief sich auf 66 Mrd. Euro. Munich Re zufolge war das Beben sogar das drittteuerste aller Zeiten. Die Versicherer mussten allerdings trotzdem nur 300 Mio. Dollar zahlen - kaum jemand war versichert. 35 England FT.com July 13, 2011 12:01 am Andrew Morrell, head of Direct Line Home Insurance, said that, worryingly, more serious crimes such as assault are also going unreported, both where people have witnessed an assault or been a victim of one. Crime maps ‘hit reporting of crime’ By Nicholas Timmins, Public Policy Editor Millions of people have stopped reporting crime since the government put “crime maps” on line because they fear it will damage their property value, according to a survey by Direct Line Home Insurance. Back in 2008 before the crime maps were launched, the Royal Institute for Chartered Surveyors said it feared that to publicise high crime areas “could literally wipe thousands off house prices overnight”. Mr Morell said that “with a struggling housing market, home owners are concerned about anything that could prevent a potential property sale or rental” but householders could struggle to claim on insurance without a crime reference number. The disclosure comes the day after Oliver Letwin, the Cabinet Office minister, praised the value of the crime maps as he launched the government’s public services white paper, declaring that “many people said ... that no one would be interested in them” but that “millions” have now started to use them since their publication in February. The Home Office said: “It is the crime that impacts negatively upon communities. Crime maps will allow residents to hold their local police to account for the level of crime and antisocial behaviour in their neighbourhood, pushing police to tackle crime which really affects the local community.” An internet poll of more than 2,600 UK adults conducted for the home insurer found that 11 per cent of respondents – equivalent to some 5m people nationwide – say they have seen a crime or antisocial behaviour but have not reported it “because they were scared it would drive away potential purchasers or renters” once it was recorded on line. Of those not reporting crime, 75 per cent had ignored antisocial behaviour such as drug dealing or vandalism, Direct Line said. Nearly half of those saying they had not reported a crime claimed to have seen vehicles stolen or vandalised. 36 England FT.com August 29, 2011 11:22 pm in 33 defendants pleading guilty to a variety of offences in connection with £5.3m in insurance and mortgage fraud. The insurance industry has stepped up its work on fraudulent claims, which have risen dramatically in recent years. Insurers pinpoint ‘crash-for-cash’ hotspots By Jane Croft, Law Courts Correspondent Motorists in Birmingham, Sheffield and Manchester are the most likely to be targeted by “crash-for-cash” fraudsters, research shows. About 4 per cent of claims by cost in 2009 were fraudulent – similar to 2008, but twice the figure of five years ago. Association of British Insurers’ figures show that 122,000 fraudulent claims worth £840m were uncovered in 2009, up 14 per cent on 2008. Motor insurance fraud formed the largest share, at £410m. Household claims were the most frequent, at 62,000 cases. The Insurance Fraud Bureau, a company-funded body that aims to clamp down on organised fraud, analysed data pooled from insurers to pinpoint fraudulent activity, including networks of criminals targeting motorists. Crash-for-cash insurance scams involve criminals staging traffic accidents and then submitting false insurance claims for damage to vehicles and whiplash injuries. In June, insurers agreed to spend £8.2m funding a specialist police unit dedicated to cracking down on insurance fraud, which costs an estimated £2bn each year. The bureau’s software uses a risk scorecard to generate networks of high fraud risk activity based on its access to 128m insurance records. The software can identify the number of claimants in each network by postcode area and district, generating fraud hotspots. The analysis is run on a quarterly basis using industry data spanning a six-month period. A new unit of 35 specialist fraud detectives and police support staff will be operated by the City of London police’s economic crime directorate and will focus on opportunist fraudsters as well as organised criminal gangs. Police have already targeted some “hot spots”. Luton, which in the fourth quarter of 2008 was fourth on the list, has dropped out of the top 20 following a police investigation that resulted 37 England Resolution buys Bupa business for £165m However, John Tiner, chief executive of Resolution’s management company, said the smaller size of the Bupa deal did not mean that bigger acquisitions were now proving elusive. By Adam Jones, FT.com Published: October 15 2010 09:03 | Last updated: October 15 2010 09:03 “You shouldn’t read anything into this other than that this deal makes a lot of sense for this business,” he said. Resolution, the FTSE 100 insurer, has agreed to pay £165m to acquire Bupa’s income protection, life assurance and critical illness cover business. Resolution said the Bupa deal would bring an immediate financial bonus in the form of a release of reserves valued at £63m on a post-tax basis, mainly from Friends Provident. Both companies added that they were also looking at ways in which they could distribute the other’s products. It added that the acquisition would strengthen Friends Provident’s position in the corporate market for income protection products, while also boosting Resolution’s share of the market for individual protection products. Bupa, the privately-owned insurer and healthcare company, said on Friday that it was selling the unit, known as Bupa Health Assurance, as part of a strategic refocus on healthcare products and services. Mr Tiner said the talks over a potential cross-distribution arrangement were at an early stage. ... For Resolution, the purchase is the latest in a series of deals it has struck since floating in 2008 as a vehicle for the consolidation of UK life assurance companies and, potentially, other financial services businesses. It bought Friends Provident for £1.9bn last year and in recent weeks completed the acquisition of most of Axa’s UK life assurance and savings arm for up to £2.75bn. 38 England FT.com April 26, 2012 5:41 pm forecasts,” said Peter Eliot at Berenberg Bank. “There is a notable absence of this [in the] statement this time.” Admiral shares fall despite sales rise By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Eamonn Flanagan at Shore Capital said he was disappointed that the group, which owns price-comparison website Confused.com, declined to provide a figure for ancillary sources of income such as referral fees. “We suspect that this figure is under increasing pressure,” he said. Admiral’s efforts to persuade the City that it has bounced back from a profit warning hit a snag as investors looked past the car insurer’s stable customer claims and questioned UK sales figures. Shares in the FTSE 100 company fell as much as 4.1 per cent on Thursday even after Admiral disclosed a 9 per cent yearon-year rise in group sales to £586m in the first quarter. The Cardiff-based group provided further evidence suggesting the spike in claims that prompted the earnings alert in November was an anomaly. Claims trends had reverted to the norm in the past two quarters, it said. The figures come after data from the AA this week showed UK car insurance premiums fell 1.1 per cent during the first three months of the year, the first substantial quarter-on- quarter decline in three years. ... Henry Engelhardt, founder and chief executive, added: “Our expectations for the full year remain positive and unchanged.” In spite of the reassurance, several analysts remained jittery. Admiral insured 3m UK cars as of the end of March. That was up from 2.7m a year ago but little changed from the previous quarter. The 5 per cent annualised growth rate was at the lower end of the group’s targeted range, analysts said. “Admiral usually gives guidance in its interim management statement on whether it is on track to meet analyst earnings 39 England ● FT Comment With brokers still forecasting an 8 per cent rise in pre-tax profits this year following a 13 per cent improvement in 2011, Mr Engelhardt could be forgiven for feeling that bears are picking holes in a reasonable-looking set of numbers. Yet the City remains nervous after the profit warning, while the stock’s premium rating makes investors hard to please. After outperforming the FTSE 350 non-life insurance index by 28 percentage points since the profit warning, the shares trade on more than 13 times prospective earnings per share of 90p. The income-hungry will be tempted by a tasty dividend yield of almost 7 per cent. But although the shares are on almost half the extravagant multiple reached in 2010, the chunky premium to the sector (which trades on 9 times earnings) still looks demanding. 40 England FT.com April 23, 2012 12:03 am week. Barclays set aside £1bn last year to cover such costs, £435m of which had been consumed by the end of 2011, according to its annual report. Including Barclays, the five biggest UK banks have set aside about £6bn to cover compensation costs. Claimants in dark about insurance claim fees By Daniel Schäfer in London A quarter of consumers seeking compensation for mis-sold payment protection insurance do not know that claims management companies take large fees for pursuing claims, a survey has found. Claims management companies typically take a 25 per cent cut of the compensation, plus value added tax. But a quarter of consumers are unaware of this, according to research published on Monday. In January. the Financial Services Compensation Scheme said that more than three- quarters of PPI compensation claims it had received in the past four years had been submitted through a claims management company. This comes despite an analysis by the FSCS showing that there is no material difference to the success rate of claims made by individuals. Only half of a group of 2,000 UK consumers surveyed by MoneySavingExpert.com and Which?, the consumer finance advisory groups, knew that using such services would be no more successful than making the claims themselves. Banks’ mis-selling of PPI, which covers loan repayments if a borrower falls ill or loses their job, sparked one of the biggest consumer scandals in decades. Compensation claims have surged since UK banks last year dropped a legal challenge against regulatory scrutiny of the way they dealt with PPI complaints. Martin Lewis, founder of MoneySavingExpert.com said: “Sadly, PPI has become a cash bonanza for unscrupulous claims companies.” The consumer advice group is about to launch a radio campaign and is staging a “PPI summit” on Monday with banks and regulators to increase consumer awareness about how to claim back money themselves. Barclays said in a regulatory filing last month that it had observed an increase in complaint volumes in recent weeks. The rise could prompt the bank to increase its provision for PPI compensation when it will announce quarterly results this 41 England FT.com April 25, 2012 12:56 am Simon Douglas, director of AA insurance, said: “My fear is that if prices do continue to drop, we’ll see a repeat of 2009, when industry losses led to premiums suddenly rocketing up following a long period of little movement.” Young female drivers see insurance rise By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Young women have not benefited from the recent decline in motor insurance premiums that most other UK drivers have enjoyed, months before a Brussels ruling introduces “gender neutral” pricing. The index is based on the five cheapest quotes. On a “market average” basis, premiums remained roughly flat during the quarter. “While a few insurers are heavily discounting to attract new business, others have continued to increase premiums,” the AA said. Premiums rose 4.8 per cent for women aged between 17 and 22 in the first three months of the year and 1.6 per cent for those aged between 23 and 29, the AA’s Shoparound Index showed. The premium falls come after MPs spoke out about the rising number of personal injury claims, which the industry argues is a crucial reason why rates rose sharply over several months. David Cameron, the prime minister, has vowed to clamp down on what he calls a “damaging compensation culture” and plans to extend a scheme capping legal fees. But the index fell 1.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter overall, suggesting that insurers are starting to increase prices for women before sex discrimination rules take effect at the end of the year. Insurers have also called on the government to act against the risks involved in insuring young drivers by setting a zeroalcohol limit and imposing a tougher learning regime. That was the first significant overall decline in three years. Men in their 50s enjoyed the biggest reduction in the first quarter, with a 7.7 per cent fall. Although premiums rose 7.7 per cent across the market on a year-on-year basis, that was significantly less than last year’s 40 per cent rise. But the AA cautioned that the recent fall in rates was unlikely to be sustained. 42 England FT.com May 1, 2012 8:17 pm to encourage people to go through this fast-track process rather than pursuing more costly legal routes. This year the Commons transport committee found that diagnoses of injuries were “subjective” and were open to exploitation. MPs to urge car insurers to cut premiums By Jim Pickard and Alistair Gray Ministers will on Wednesday seek to drive down car insurance premiums through a crackdown on whiplash claims, which have been described as an “epidemic” by the industry. At a summit hosted by Justine Greening, transport secretary, she will urge insurers to cut their premiums for younger drivers, saying the casualty rate has improved markedly in recent years. Otto Thoresen, director-general of the Association of British Insurers, said insurers faced up to £2bn of unnecessary costs which needed to be brought down before companies could offer motorists better deals. Reform was needed, he said, to “tackle the whiplash claims epidemic and excessive legal costs that riddle our compensation system”. “Taking radical action in these areas, as well as improving the road safety of young drivers, will reduce the costs of motor insurance.” Ms Greening will ask companies to follow the example of Cooperative Insurance, which fits “black box” systems into cars to monitor young drivers’ behaviour in return for lower premiums. Insurers insist they are not profiteering, saying that in 2010 the industry paid out about £1.16 in claims and expenses for every £1 garnered in premiums. The cost of car insurance has nearly doubled since 2008 to £971 earlier this year. Drivers aged between 17 and 22 have the highest premiums, at £2,977 for a man and £1,682 for a woman. Meanwhile Ken Clarke, justice secretary, will announce several measures which could deter fake whiplash injury claims. Personal injury claims from traffic accidents have risen by 70 per cent in the past six years, despite the general downward trend in motor accidents. Mr Clarke will launch a consultation on setting up an independent panel to assess whiplash claims, which have rocketed to more than 1,500 a day. He will consult on raising the threshold for small personal claims from £1,000 to £5,000 43 England David Cameron vowed in February to get to grips with a “damaging compensation culture” amid public rage about the spiralling motor premiums. But Liberal Democrat peers have accused ministers of hypocrisy for blocking measures that would prevent insurers buying or selling customers’ details to market legal services to them. 44 England FTD.de 01.05.2012, 13:08 Geld für Entschädigungen: Kreditausfälle um 31 Prozent auf 1,7 Mrd. Pfund (2,1 Mrd. Euro) sank. An der Londoner Börse gewann die Lloyds-Aktie um die Mittagszeit rund 3,6 Prozent. Betrugsfälle schmälern Lloyds-Gewinn Jahrelang haben britische Großbanken ihren Kunden dubiose Versicherungen verkauft, teilweise sogar ohne sie darüber zu informieren. Nun holt der Skandal die Geldhäuser, deren Reputation nach der Finanzkrise ohnehin am Boden ist, mit aller Macht ein. von Tim Bartz Insgesamt hat Lloyds wegen des Skandals um die sogenannte Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) bereits 3,2 Mrd. Pfund (3,9 Mrd. Euro) zurücklegen müssen, um etwaige Kundenansprüche zu befriedigen. Lloyds, Barclays, HSBC und Royal Bank of Scotland hatten Millionen Kunden über gut zehn Jahre hinweg bei der Vergabe von Krediten unbrauchbare Restschuldversicherungen verkauft. Sie springen ein, sobald der Schuldner krank oder arbeitslos wird, müssen aber aufgrund zahlloser Klauseln selten zahlen, wenn es ernst wird. Die teilverstaatlichte britische Lloyds Banking Group ist operativ gut ins neue Jahr gestartet, leidet aber nach wie vor unter den Entschädigungszahlungen wegen unlauterer Beratungspraktiken. Weil sie, wie andere britische Geldhäuser auch, Kunden ohne Rechtsgrundlage teure Kreditausfallversicherungen aufgeschwatzt hatte, musste die Bank, die zu 40 Prozent dem Steuerzahler gehört, 375 Mio. Pfund Sterling (460 Mio. Euro) für Entschädigungszahlungen zurückstellen. Verhandlungen über Verkauf von 632 Filialen Der Oberste Gerichtshof in London hatte im Mai 2011 die Überprüfung sämtlicher Restschuldversicherungen angeordnet. Inzwischen hat die Branche ihren Widerstand gegen Regressansprüche der Kunden aufgegeben. Insgesamt wird deren Volumen auf bis zu 8 Mrd. Pfund (9,8 Mrd. Euro) geschätzt. Barclays hat dafür, einschließlich der jüngsten Dotierung im ersten Quartal von 300 Mio. Pfund (368 Mio. Euro), insgesamt 1,3 Mrd. Pfund (1,6 Mrd. Euro) zurückgestellt, auch HSBC ist betroffen. Das schmälerte den Gewinn im ersten Quartal, der mit 288 Mio. Pfund (353 Mio. Euro) vor Steuern gleichwohl zufriedenstellend ausfiel. Im vierten Quartal 2011 hatte Lloyds zwar sogar 316 Mio. Pfund (388 Mio. Euro) verdient, im ersten Jahresviertel 2011 war allerdings ein Verlust von 3,5 Mrd. Pfund (4,3 Mrd. Euro) angefallen. Lloyds konnte auch deshalb einen Quartalsgewinn ausweisen, weil die Risikovorsorge für 45 England Bankckef António Horta-Osório sagte, dass es sich bei den PPI um Betrug gehandelt habe, "den wir gestoppt haben". Dass Lloyds überhaupt diese Versicherungen verkauft habe, sei "nicht akzeptabel. Horta-Osório ist seit März 2011 LloydsChef und hatte sich bereits im November völlig überraschend in eine mehrwöchige Auszeit begeben und gesundheitliche Gründe angeführt. In Branchenkreisen hieß es seinerzeit, Horta-Osório sei körperlich und geistig erschöpft. Zu Beginn dieses Jahres war er an die Lloyds-Spitze zurückgekehrt. In der vergangenen Woche hatte Lloyds Verhandlungen mit der neu gegründeten Bank NBNK Investments über den Verkauf von 632 Filialen in Aussicht gestellt. Daneben werde weiterhin erwogen, das Filialnetz an die Börse zu bringen, sagte Horta-Osorio. Das Geldhaus muss die Filialen im Gegenzug für Staatshilfen in der Finanzkrise und auf Geheiß der europäischen Wettbewerbshüter abgeben. 46 England FT.com May 3, 2012 10:57 am However, he said L&G’s UK retail savings arm had a quieter quarter, which the company blamed on a “challenging macroeconomic climate” that had impeded the ability of customers to invest and save. L&G posts flat sales on weak UK demand By Adam Jones Legal & General posted flat first-quarter sales on Thursday as international growth was offset by weaker demand for its savings products from UK retail investors. Overall, sales of savings products during the quarter were down 6 per cent on the same period a year earlier at £300m. However, international sales rose 37 per cent to £56m, driven by term assurance in the US, the Netherlands and France. In April the company said it had enjoyed continued strong flows of institutional money into L&GIM but it said retail investment conditions remained challenging. The UK-headquartered insurer said sales in the three months to March 31 were £434m on an annual premium equivalent basis, compared with £433m a year earlier, in line with market expectations. L&G gave no update on the process of recruiting a successor to Mr Breedon, who is retiring from the insurer at the end of 2012. ... However, assets under management at its Legal & General Investment Management arm rose 3 per cent year on year to £383bn, reflecting net inflows of £2.6bn, driven by US and UK institutional investors. “We are seeing in particular growing interest from US pension funds for our products,” said Tim Breedon, chief executive. In the US, L&G said it was winning funds earmarked for investment in fixed-income products such as bonds, as well as “liability driven investment”, where the need to meet upcoming liabilities is prioritised over maximising returns. The demand reflected the healthier state of the US economy relative to Europe, Mr Breedon said, adding it was increasing staffing at its US outpost in Chicago. 47 England FT.com April 30, 2012 9:02 pm Mr Truell set up Tungsten with his brother Danny, chief investment officer of The Wellcome Trust, one of the UK’s largest charities. Tungsten plans to list by the end of May. Michael Spencer, chief executive of the interdealer broker Icap, and Peter Kiernan, a former head of UK banking at Lazard, are among the individuals to agree to become board members. Possible Direct Line purchaser emerges By Alistair Gray and Sharlene Goff Edi Truell’s new bid vehicle has approached Royal Bank of Scotland about a possible multi-billion pound purchase of its Direct Line insurance arm. Lloyds Banking Group on Monday denied a report in the London Evening Standard that Tungsten made a takeover approach for Scottish Widows, its life assurance and pensions business. Meanwhile, people with knowledge of the process said Tungsten had not made a formal bid for Direct Line. Direct Line is Britain’s biggest personal motor insurer by number of policies. Its brands include Churchill and car breakdown service Green Flag. Tungsten, co-founded by the founder of private equity group Duke Street Capital, has made an informal expression of interest in the business, which analysts estimate could sell for up to £4bn. The state-backed bank had received approaches from several other parties – mainly private equity groups – in recent months, people familiar with the matter said. However, RBS still plans to float Direct Line towards the end of this year, believing it can extract a better price by going down the initial public offering route than it could by selling the business to a private equity buyer. The home and motor insurer swung into profit in 2011, posting an annual operating profit of £454m after rising bodily injury claims pushed it to a £295m loss a year earlier. Ahead of the expected IPO the group has quit unprofitable businesses, reduced the number of sites from which it operates and cut its exposure to riskier areas. Analysts have questioned the ability of private equity buyers to raise the required funds and meet increasingly demanding capital requirements. RBS was ordered to dispose of its insurance arm as part of a far-reaching state aid agreement settled after the bank received £45bn of government support following its near collapse in 2008. Direct Line raised £500m through a bond sale in April, the latest step in its plan to spin off from RBS. 48 England FT.com LOMBARD April 30, 2012 10:45 pm pressure from regulators to sell this strong brand. Mr Flanagan believes it would fetch less than an embedded value of £6bn. But the buy would still be a big stretch for Tungsten, albeit that it might pay partly in shares. Tungsten could give RBS and Lloyds a Plan B By Jonathan Guthrie Wrong, however, to discount both rumours as no more than low-cost marketing for the Tungsten float. Other recognised qualities of entrepreneurs are tenacity and an inability to take No for an answer. Despite initial scepticism, NBNK, Lord Levene’s bid vehicle, is in talks to buy 632 Lloyds branches. Tungsten could give RBS and Lloyds useful options if their priorities change. ... Boldness is a good quality in an entrepreneur. So the rumoured interest of financier Edi Truell in Direct Line and Scottish Widows is to his credit. However, the owners – Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds, respectively – have slung cold water on the gossip, saying they have no intention of selling to Tungsten, the cash shell that the financier plans to float by the end of May, or to anyone else. RBS is at least readying Direct Line for an initial public offering of its own, at the insistence of European trustbusters. The first tranche of shares is due to hit the market this autumn. That gives Mr Truell an outside chance of intervening. Eamonn Flanagan of Shore Capital values the motor insurer at close to its net asset value of £4.5bn. Assuming Tungsten can raise a mooted £1bn in equity for a deal, debt might supply the balance. Buying Scottish Widows may be where Mr Truell’s aspirations really shade into pipe dreaming. The life and pensions company, bought for about £7bn in 2000, makes solid returns for the struggling bank – some £886m in pre-tax profits in the UK alone last year. Lloyds is under no current 49 England FT.com May 18, 2012 11:43 pm John Latter, UK casualty claims director at Zurich, said genuine victims should have access to justice but added that as little as half of claimants pursue their cases to settlement. “What we’re seeing is a drive to commoditise these claims – regardless of their merits,” he said. “Something recently has shifted.” The issue of potentially false whiplash claims has risen up the political agenda and is widely blamed for a sharp rise in motorists’ premiums. David Cameron, prime minister, has vowed to get to grips with Britain’s supposed “compensation culture”. Yet noise- induced hearing loss claims have attracted scant attention. Insurers face rise in deafness claims By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Deafness has become “the new whiplash” for insurance groups, who are complaining of a sharp rise in claims from employees seeking compensation for hearing problems arising from noisy workplaces. Zurich, one of Europe’s biggest insurance companies, said the number of UK deafness claims jumped nearly 25 per cent in 2011, while a leading law firm estimated total UK claims at 35,000 last year. Insurers argue that many of the emerging deafness claims are spurious – like neck injuries supposedly endured in car accidents. They suspect lawyers and claims management companies are helping to fuel the increase by offering gimmicks, including free hearing aids, if claims are pursued. Loud music fears While work-induced deafness is generally associated with Britain’s manufacturing heyday, experts are increasingly concerned by a contemporary phenomenon: the decibel levels assaulting the eardrums in nightclubs and music venues, writes Sarah Neville. This is bad enough for those who limit their exposure to Jim Byard, head of disease at Weightmans, a law firm, maintains that such cases are “unquestionably one of the most lucrative areas for claimant lawyers.” Unlike in road traffic accident cases, he said, they are able to recover success fees and hourly rates rather than fixed costs from the insurer. However, personal injury lawyers and charities suggested a recent legal change, which lowered the noise threshold above which employees may seek compensation, could be behind the rise. More than 1m employees in Britain are exposed to levels of noise that puts their hearing at risk, according to the Health and Safety Executive. About 17,000 already suffer deafness or other ear conditions caused by excessive noise at work. 50 England “Some claims management companies advertise ‘cash back’ or other inducements such as iPhones and hearing aids if claimants ‘sign up’,” he added. He added of claimants: “They may have seen adverts [to make claims], but they are people who have been exposed to noise – probably, the vast majority, in breach of the employer’s duty of care.” Defence lawyers said claims were being made by people who have worked in a variety of settings, from bars to shops, as well as those with industrial backgrounds such as miners, dockers and car plant workers. They maintain the historic nature of many of the cases means employers can lack the necessary paperwork to defend themselves. Damages can cover compensation for hearing loss or tinnitus, as well as costs of hearing aids but successful claimants need to demonstrate that their problems have been caused by excessive workplace noise. “Like many industrial disease cases you’ve got other competing causes, potentially,” said Cenric Clement-Evans, a member of the Association of Personal Injury Lawyer’s executive committee. “But a medical assessor would look at things like shooting, DIY, music.” Lawyers said awards made in deafness cases were relatively low compared with those in car accidents, for which victims who sustain life-changing injuries can receive multimillion pound payouts. Nor is it necessary to cross the portals of a club to run a heightened risk of damaged hearing. A poll of 1,000 people found 83 per cent had experienced ringing or buzzing in their ears and 87 per cent listened to personal music players Ms Harrison said volumes on MP3 players could reach levels similar to being close to a pneumatic. “While people wouldn’t choose to stand near a drill for very long, many spend hours listening to music at the same dangerous level, without realising that this could damage their hearing over time,” she added leisure hours. For the sector’s employees, for whom there is little let-up, it can be far more serious. The charity Action on Hearing Loss points to a change in the law four years ago requiring employers in the music and entertainment sectors to provide hearing protection if staff are exposed to noise that exceeds 85 decibels. In nightclubs and live music venues levels can rise to 110 decibels – “about the same as an aeroplane taking off”, says director Emma Harrison. Mr Clement-Evans said that of all the cases he has been involved in, one of the highest involved an award of £165,000. “The poor man’s tinnitus was so bad that he developed psychiatric problems and actively considered suicide,” he said. 51 England FT.com May 22, 2012 6:42 pm £138m, giving earnings per share of 34.6p. The dividend was increased by 10 per cent to 11.3p. HomeServe to shrink services in UK By Gill Plimmer But with the FSA engaged in a broader crackdown on insurance type policies, the inquiry had been widely anticipated by investors. CPP, the identity protection insurer, is also awaiting the outcome of a long-running investigation by the regulator, while banks are being forced to pay out billion of pounds in compensation over missold payment protection insurance. Shares in HomeServe, the home repairs group, fell 29 per cent on Tuesday as the company said that it was shrinking its UK operations because of a formal investigation by regulators. The company, which insures nearly 3m people in the UK against burst pipes, broken-down boilers and problems with electrical appliances, said it was cutting back its operations while it awaits the outcome of a Financial Services Authority investigation into alleged mis-selling practices. HomeServe could face a large fine or be forced to pay compensation to customers if it is found they were mis-sold policies. Mr Harpin, who founded the business in 1993 as a joint venture with South Staffordshire Water, said that the FSA’s investigation could take months and the group would focus on growing international operations instead. Customer numbers in the UK have already fallen 9 per cent in the past financial year and this could reduce a further 18 per cent to 2.2m in the year ending March 31 2013, he said. The warning prompted analysts at UBS, Barclays and Peel Hunt to cut earnings estimates for the year ahead by 20 per cent or more. ... The formal investigation will come as a blow to Richard Harpin, the company’s chief executive, who had attempted to head off the inquiry by announcing a temporary suspension of sales and marketing activity after discussions began with the FSA last October. HomeServe’s UK revenues fell £5.4m to £353.5m in the year to March 31 as bad publicity took its toll, according to full-year results released on Tuesday. Overall revenues rose 14 per cent to £535m, while pre-tax profit was up 32 per cent at 52 England The company is planning to cut a further 250 staff from its 2,500 UK workforce and reduce the range of products sold so that it can focus on its core trade of plumbing and boiler repairs. “In the UK we are planning to create a smaller, better-focused business from which we can grow in a year’s time,” Mr Harpin said. It has also been overhauling its sales procedures, introducing penalties for sales staff that receive follow-up complaints, and improving the clarity of sales and marketing material, he said. HomeServe is also compensating customers who received poor service and were left without heating in the bitter winter of 2010. Last month the telecoms regulator Ofcom fined the company £750m for breaching its rules on silent and abandoned calls. Despite the troubles in its domestic market, HomeServe confirmed that it was expanding its overseas operations. The number of international customers rose 14 per cent to 2.2m at March 31 while revenues in the US grew 56 per cent to £82.3m. The group is targeting France, Italy and Spain for growth. 53 England FT.com May 31, 2012 11:01 am Regulators are concerned about the conduct of insurers when their customers are involved in accidents for which they are not to blame. The costs of repairs and courtesy cars, to which the crash victim is entitled, are borne by the at-fault driver’s insurer. However, the victim’s insurer can earn a fee - up to £400 - by selling their customer’s contact details to mechanics and car hire companies. If the victim takes services from these companies, the cost to the at-fault driver’s insurer can be up to three times higher than usual. The cost of replacement vehicles in such cases was on average £560 more expensive than normal market rates, the watchdog found. Drivers would receive replacement vehicles for longer than required, for example. Car insurance market faces full competition probe By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Motor insurers are facing a two-year antitrust investigation after a consumer watchdog warned that their “dysfunctional” relationships with repair garages and vehicle hire companies was pushing up premiums. Motorists are paying as much as £225m a year more than they should for insurance because of practices that “prevent, restrict or distort competition”, the Office of Fair Trading warned. The OFT found similar problems in insurers’ relationships with paint suppliers and parts suppliers. Some insurers have agreements with approved repairers to charge higher labour rates, for example. These additional costs are ultimately passed on to consumers through higher premiums. The car insurance market has already been under intense regulatory and political scrutiny in recent months but so far much of the focus has been on personal injury claims. The OFT has now provisionally decided to refer the related issue of insurers’ arrangements with mechanics and replacement car providers to the Competition Commission. The Association of British Insurers said that its members would welcome the regulators’ intervention but investors in some insurance companies reacted with concern. Shares in Admiral, the motor insurer, fell 7.2 per cent following the announcement. Admiral garners about 60 per cent of its profit from referral fees and other sources of ancillary income. However John Fingleton, chief executive of the OFT, warned: “There does not appear to be an appropriate, quick fix to these problems.” 54 England The OFT said it was still consulting with interested parties and expected to reach a final decision on the referral by October, although people close to the situation said it was almost certain it would do so. The Competition Commission has wide-ranging powers to change market structures and change the way products are sold. It could also recommend ministers extend the ban on referral fees, already planned for personal injury cases. 55 England FT.com May 27, 2012 7:31 pm Whiplash is caused when the head moves suddenly forwards, backwards or sideways, damaging ligaments and tendons in the neck. It is difficult to diagnose and doctors must rely on the patient’s description of symptoms and the accident that caused it. Liverpool is whiplash capital of Britain By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Liverpool has emerged as the whiplash capital of Britain, where the government has recorded more than one compensation claim for neck injuries sustained in a traffic accident for every 50 residents. The data show that nine of the 10 postal areas with the lowest number of whiplash compensation claims per head were in Scotland, where the legal system imposes stricter controls on referral fees. There were only three claims for every 1,000 residents in the Edinburgh and Dundee areas in the year to March 31 2011. This compared with 22 in Liverpool and 21 in Uxbridge, west London. A “heat map” drawn up by the Financial Times after a freedom of information request, shows a wide geographical disparity in alleged whiplash injuries, with 20 times more compensation claims per head in Liverpool, Uxbridge and Oldham than some other parts of the country. Only one area in the bottom 10 – around the City of London – was in England. Personal injury lawyers suggested regional variations in accident rates helped explain the figures – but insurers said they provided one of the clearest signs yet of fraudulent claims. “I don’t believe people in Scotland have significantly stronger necks,” said Dominic Clayden, claims director at Aviva. Insurers blamed, in large part, companies that manage claims for encouraging accident victims to apply for compensation. “Claims management companies have gone to economically deprived areas where people are vulnerable,” said Adrian Brown, chief executive of UK and western Europe for RSA, whose brands include More Than. Ministers have pledged to crack down on Britain’s supposed compensation culture and have highlighted whiplash as one of the biggest problems. They plan to ban so-called referral fees, which personal injury lawyers pay to insurance companies and other parties to gather the contact details of accident victims. 56 England Data provided by Towers Watson, the consultancy, show a high density of claims management companies in the whiplash hotspot areas of north-west England and around Greater London. that some people in high risk or complicated cases won’t be able to get their claim off the ground.” Insurers have responded to wide variations in whiplash claims levels by raising premiums, particularly in those areas. However, underwriting remains lossmaking overall. The industry paid out £1.06 in claims and expenses for every £1 it earned in premiums in 2011. ”There’s a whole marketing campaign to get people to claim,” said Mr Clayden. “There’s text messaging, endless adverts on telly and in the newspaper.” The whiplash figures were obtained from the Department for Work and Pensions by Exane BNP Paribas, the investment group, under freedom of information legislation. They were adjusted for population by Experian, the analytics consultancy, and show a 4 per cent annual reduction in nationwide claims to 543,000. However, insurers said this reflected fewer accidents, down in part to less driving activity as a result of the recession. The companies also make money by investing the premium income and from ancillary sources – such as referral fees, a practice that hurts the industry overall but helps individual insurers recoup underwriting losses. Insurers are also facing criticism for the extent of regional pricing variations. Jack Straw, the former justice secretary who led a campaign against referral fees, has urged insurers to stop determining premium rates on postcodes. “Insurers are essentially saying, ‘Because you live two doors down from somebody who’s a high risk, we’re going to penalise you’. This is simply unacceptable.” Insurers said they would like to challenge more claims but concerns about legal fees made them more likely to settle out of court. Ministers have pledged to cap the fees for personal injury claims. The Labour MP said the social costs of high motor insurance were “very serious” and may even be exacerbating Britain’s youth unemployment problem. “There is no doubt they make people much less mobile. People need motor cars to get to work.” However, lawyers have urged caution. “There are some spurious claims around but you’ve got to make sure that people who are injured can be properly represented,” said John Spencer, director of Spencers solicitors. “I’m concerned 57 England But insurers have hit back. “We operate in one of the most competitive motor insurance markets in the world,” said Mr Clayden. “The reality is insurance is very neutral – we will ultimately charge people for the risk they present us.” Insurers have also complained claims management companies are encouraging individuals to make claims in other areas. The common symptoms of whiplash include pain, stiffness, swelling and tenderness in the neck, reduced neck movement and headaches. It is hard for a doctor to make a definitive diagnosis of whiplash, because the injuries cannot be seen on an MRI scan, CT scan or X-ray (unless they are so severe that the spine is fractured or dislocated). So the doctor must rely on the patient’s description of symptoms and his or her account of the accident that caused it - which may or may not be accurate. Zurich said this month the number of UK claims from employees seeking compensation for hearing problems arising from noisy workplaces jumped by about 25 per cent on 2011. Additional reporting by Clive Cookson Whiplash is a genuine and widespread cause of neck injury, when the head suddenly and unexpectedly moves forwards, backwards or sideways. This damages the ligaments and tendons in the neck. If you are in a car hit from behind, the head will jolt backwards before whipping forwards. The collision need not be severe for someone to develop whiplash, with neck pain and associated injuries. 58 England 59 England FT.com June 4, 2012 9:47 pm property lending. Now lenders are coming under strain to retreat further from writing new loans. Regulatory changes being swept in under Basel III – the third accord in a sequential improving of global banking regulation – will force banks to hold more capital against loans secured on property. The funding gap has opened the door to a new breed of debt providers, though, and insurers, pension funds and specialist debt funds are all on the hunt for the best deals. New lenders move in after banks retreat By Ed Hammond, Property Correspondent When Legal & General announced last year that it was going to start lending to property companies there was no shortage of eager applicants. The insurer’s newly formed lending team held talks with 150 prospective borrowers before settling last month on a £121m loan to Unite, the UK student housing developer. In issuing its maiden loan to the sector, L&G joined a growing list of new lenders trying to seize the opportunity created by the collapse of traditional bank finance. “It is not a short-term phenomenon – the banks will be out of the picture for some time and the funding gap to fill is huge,” says Bill Hughes, managing director of L&G Property. However, while the relationship between property companies and esoteric sources of debt is likely to blossom with the banks largely sidelined, the profligate lending habits which helped fuel the boom, and resulting collapse of the market, are unlikely to resurface. In the UK, there is £213bn of debt secured against commercial property – the vast majority of which sits on the balance sheets of banks. Moreover, 72 per cent, or £153bn, of it must be refinanced by the end of 2016. This overhang has created huge pressure. In its recent study of lending attitudes, De Montfort University found that just 44 per cent of banks intended to increase lending to property companies during 2012, compared with 57 per cent at the start of 2011. “Banks had a very aggressive lending profile. In contrast, insurers will be highly discriminatory and will not take risk that is excessive in relation to the characteristics of the underlying real estate. Any loan will be based on a very intrusive and thorough assessment of all associated risks,” says Mr Hughes. The strain is being felt by banks across Europe. Last year, Société Générale and Eurohypo, once significant sources of capital to the property market, announced that they would halt 60 England “We are making the connection between understanding lending and a full assessment of the collateral. The last wave of lending was desktop lending. As well as fully understanding the risk of default, we will really understand bricks and mortar,” he adds. basis. It stacks up in its own right in a market where margins are exceptionally good because of what the banks are doing,” Mr Skinner adds. Another class of lenders looking to cash in on the funding gap are specialist debt providers. Aeriance Investments, for instance, recently launched a £100m fund to provide bridging loans for upmarket residential property transactions to make the most of what it termed the “current dislocation in the shortterm real estate lending sector in the UK”. The way loans are structured is another important difference in the way many of the funds stepping in to meet the shortfall approach the market. Insurers, as well as pension funds and some long-term debt funds, are predisposed to holding long-dated loans to match their liabilities. As well as typically being longer term than the banks in their lending appetite, insurers and pension funds are more likely to structure loans with fixed rates of interest and clauses to discourage early repayment. In spite of the rush of new entrants into the property lending market, the shortfall in debt finance is likely to remain an issue for some time. Even the most optimistic property executives admit that the combined weight of insurers, pension funds and other providers of lending will be small beer compared with the quantities of debt that were available in the years before the crash. However, the banks’ pullback means even those lenders traditionally concerned with providing longer-term financing are taking up some of the less risky short-term opportunities. “Insurers have always been in the long-term lending space, but the retrenchment of bank lending has really opened up the short-term market for us, too,” says David Skinner, head of investment strategy and research at Aviva Real Estate. “Given the prospects for returns in other fixed-income instruments, such as gilts or asset backed securities, real estate lending looks good on a total return and a risk adjusted 61 England FT.com June 17, 2012 10:22 pm you’re more comfortable dealing with averages,” said Simon Gadd, annuities managing director at Legal & General. Life assurers push for medical records By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent “It has taken a number of years for this [medical underwriting] to penetrate the individual annuity market. The defined benefits pension scheme is much, much earlier in that journey. But I suspect in five years’ time there will have been a reasonable number of deals where some form of medical underwriting has been done.” Life assurers are stepping up efforts to persuade UK pension fund trustees to gather health records from their members, saying the disclosures could reduce the cost of bulk annuity transfers by up to 15 per cent. Some insurers are even considering offering scheme members gift vouchers worth about £20 to overcome scepticism about why they should provide the confidential details, people close to the transactions under consideration said. Medical underwriting is already commonplace in the individual annuity market. Legal & General has been focusing on seeking to obtain medical details for a small number of individuals – such as former senior directors – who account for a high proportion of some schemes’ liabilities. The FTSE 100 insurer has completed some bulk annuity deals that have involved this level of disclosure. Retirees who have built defined contribution pension pots can enjoy higher annuity income by agreeing to disclose medical conditions or habits such as smoking that reduce their life expectancy. Doctors typically receive fees of about £100 for providing health records with the consent of their patients. Until now, however, medical underwriting has been virtually unheard of for bulk annuity deals, under which insurers assume the longevity and investment risk for corporate defined benefit schemes. Members of such schemes have no obvious financial incentive to provide the detailed personal information. The insurers have traditionally relied on basic information about members such as age, postcode and estimated wealth. “You’re dealing with a group of people, so Meanwhile, companies that provide so-called enhanced annuities for individual pensioners – under which they secure health details – are looking at entering the bulk annuity market. They include Partnership and Just Retirement. 62 England Will Hale, director at Partnership, said the group had been in talks with about 30 schemes and maintained it was likely to sign its first deal “within weeks”. “There’s no obvious immediate [financial] uplift for members in the DB scheme,” he said. “But actually we found that we’ve almost had between a 90 and 100 per cent take up of the engagement in the [health] questionnaires.” 63 England Lex/FT.com Last updated: June 27, 2012 4:03 pm tax profits in 2011. But here too there is pressure. The Office of Fair Trading recently launched an investigation into the insurers’ relationships with repair garages and car hire companies. UK motor insurers: take cover Meerkats, opera singers, toy dogs and telephones on wheels. UK insurers leave no stone unturned when it comes to finding ways to market their products. You have to wonder why they bother. Investors could soon have a whole new range of ways to play the UK motor insurance market. RBS is planning to float its Direct Line business this year, while smaller rivals Esure and Hastings are also looking at listing. Anyone planning to invest should take a close look at the core business. Investment returns and ancillary income are all well and good, but unless the company can get its underwriting right, investors should drive straight by. According to Ernst & Young, the motor insurance industry will not make underwriting profits either this year or next. Although the combined ratio of claims to premiums fell from 122 per cent to 106 per cent in 2011, the industry will not manage in the short term to push it below the 100 per cent mark that would signify profitability. That is no surprise – it has failed to make an underwriting profit since 1994. A combination of claims inflation and the marketing menagerie that keeps customers shopping around is to blame. The insurers’ response to the dismal underwriting environment is to look for profits elsewhere. For years that meant relying on investment returns to keep the show on the road, but finding good homes for cash is tough these days. The other avenue is to push on ancillary revenues such as referral fees from personal injury lawyers. At Admiral, the only pure-play motor insurer on the UK stock market, ancillary income accounted for 58 per cent of UK pre- 64 England FT.com July 6, 2012 10:59 pm The FSCS was set up in 2001 to protect retail investors and banking customers. The scheme, which is funded by a levy on companies, guarantees retail investments up to £50,000, and deposits up to £85,000, if a financial company fails. Mis-sold PPI doubles FSCS claims By Elaine Moore The number of claims made on the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) in the last year has more than doubled due to mis-sold payment protection insurance. In April members of the scheme were hit with a £44m increase in the annual levy paid to the FSCS, mainly due to a small number of investment failures such as MF Global and CF Arch Cru. But despite a dramatic rise in claims the overall cost of repaying customers of failed financial companies fell to £347m, down from £535m paid out the previous year. The FSCS said that high value claims relating to major banking failures in previous years, including Icesave and Bradford & Bingley, had mostly been dealt with and had been replaced with smaller, although more numerous, claims for PPI. The way in which the scheme arranged to compensate customers of the defunct companies has been heavily criticised by UK financial companies which say the levy system is unfair. Although Keydata’s fellow investment “intermediaries” were the first to meet the cost of compensation their contribution was capped at £100. The rest of the £226m owed was paid by fund managers, who were considered the group closest to intermediaries. Around two-thirds of the 97,000 claims made to the financial services safety net in 2011/12 related to a single subprime lender, Welcome Financial Services. Welcome, which boasted that it would “give a warm welcome whatever your credit history” was declared in default last year, mainly due to the backlog of compensation claims for mis-sold PPI policies. The FSCS expects PPI claims to continue to rise in 2012/13, following the decision by UK courts allowing consumers to reclaim mis-sold policies. 65 England Guy Sears, director of wholesale at the Investment Management Association, said that the way in which companies were grouped together by the regulator did not make sense. “We support the need for a well funded compensation scheme,” he said. “But our principal concern is who bears the burden of funding. The levy from Keydata is equivalent to a significant tax on our industry. As fund managers we bear responsibility for other fund managers, but the feeling is that being grouped with intermediaries is wrong.” 66 England FT.com Last updated: July 8, 2012 6:39 pm The ABI said it expected the cost of the floods to be the highest since the flash floods in the summer of 2007, leading to £3bn being paid out in claims. Insurers face hefty bill as floods continue By Alice Ross Insurers also paid out £175m after flooding in Cumbria in 2009, which saw 1,000 homes affected. UK insurers are bracing themselves for the biggest payouts for flood damage since the summer of 2007, as heavy rainfall continues. Many regions are still on high alert for floods this week, after heavy rain that has seen areas in the south west of England receive a month’s rainfall within the space of a day. Analysts have warned that this summer’s floods could see insurers raise their premiums for such damage again, with some insurers raising home insurance premiums by 10 per cent following the 2007 floods. The insurance industry expects the cost of the bad weather that has seen 18,000 properties receive flood alerts in recent days to run into hundreds of millions of pounds. The Environment Agency has three grades of flood warnings for regions. Severe flood warnings – in which there is a risk of danger to life – had all been removed by Sunday. Temporary accommodation for people forced to leave their homes because of flood damage as well as the cost of repairing property are among the claims that insurance companies are expecting. However, 22 regions in the Midlands, the north east and the south west remained on a flood warning – where problems are expected and immediate action is required. Another 103 regions were on flood alert at the weekend, with residents warned to be prepared for possible flooding. “At the moment we are estimating low hundreds of millions but that could change depending on when the rain recedes,” said the Association of British Insurers. “It’s too early to tell at this point as we have to wait for the flood waters to recede before we can estimate the damage.” The north west was the only region to have all its flood warnings and alerts removed by the weekend, while the Midlands remained the region most at risk. 67 England The agency removed 148 flood warnings and flood alerts over the weekend. However, it has warned that flood risks could increase again during the week as more rain showers affect England and Wales. It said that parts of east Devon and west Dorset received 75-120mm of rain in just 24 hours, levels that were above the average rainfall in an entire month. The floods played havoc at Silverstone, forcing organisers for the British grand prix to request that ticket-holders for Saturday’s practice and qualifying session not to show up because the public parking areas were saturated. The qualifying session had to be aborted, but Formula 1 organisers were able to return to business as usual for the race on Sunday, when a crowd of 125,000 was expected. The Met Office is warning that long spells of hot and sunny weather “look very unlikely”, with “below average sunshine amounts” forecast in the south for late July and early August. 68 England FT.com July 20, 2012 10:12 am in the form of a share buyback in October and the rest was supposed to be returned in the first half of this year. However, the group put the plans on hold in March. At the time, Resolution said it would take into account “the impact of planned management actions to further optimise capital”, as well as financial market performance, in determining whether it would press ahead at a later date. Resolution cancels plan to return £250m By Alistair Gray and Adam Jones Resolution has cancelled a plan to return £250m to shareholders, blaming the external environment for a decision that wiped out almost 7 per cent of the life insurer’s market capitalisation. The disclosure on Friday that the company had scrapped the payment pushed the shares down 15.4p to 212.5p, leaving them trading at about half of book value. The group, the brainchild of insurance entrepreneur Clive Cowdery, said it would be “inappropriate” to pay out the sum given jittery markets and regulatory pressure. The decision puzzled some analysts, however, who questioned the extent to which the factors cited by the group, which has also undergone a series of recent management changes, were to blame. Mike Biggs, chairman, said he understood that investors would be disappointed. But the company added its capital position was “robust”, with an estimated £1.9bn surplus at June 30, and that its dividend policy remained unchanged. The move comes at an important juncture for Resolution, which is under pressure to improve returns. Several other FTSE 100 companies, including GlaxoSmithKline, Johnson Matthey and Severn Trent, have all confirmed plans to pay special dividends or buy back shares this year. “Markets have performed adequately,” said Trevor Moss at Berenberg Bank. “One is still left none the wiser as to what is going on ... It is easy to be fed up with Resolution and seemingly the constant changing of goalposts.” Resolution has been examining plans to split into two businesses, one containing historic insurance policies, the other still writing new business. However, some analysts have urged the company to reconsider, questioning the purpose of the break-up. Resolution said about a year ago it would return a total of £500m to investors. The first tranche of £250m was distributed 69 England Resolution started life as a cash shell in 2008 and then bought three insurance businesses: Friends Provident, most of Axa’s UK life assurance operations and Bupa Health Assurance. The company made an approach for Phoenix last year and several analysts expect it to take another look at its rival. The company has also been scouring for other potential deals across western europe and North America, people with knowledge of the matter said. Resolution said it would give a detailed update on its cash and capital position with its interim results on August 15. 70 England FT.com July 25, 2012 8:34 pm case, that meant investment “intermediaries” chipped in first, but their contributions were capped at £100m so investment managers were on the hook for the rest. FSA proposes compensation shake-up By Brooke Masters, chief regulation correspondent The proposal issued on Wednesday still requires each subsector to look after its own losses, but then it slices up any remaining bills based on how the industry will be supervised when the FSA is broken up next year. The Financial Services Authority, the City watchdog, has proposed an overhaul of the scheme that compensates retail customers when financial firms fail which would essentially split off the protection of depositors and insurance policy holders from that of other investors. The Financial Services Compensation Scheme, which pays out up to £85,000 to bank depositors and £50,000 to investors who are caught up in failed firms, is funded by levies on the broader industry. It has paid out more than £26bn to more than 4.5m consumers since it was set up in 2001. Banks and insurers, who will be supervised by the Prudential Regulatory Authority, will form one compensation pool, and everyone else – investment managers and various kinds of intermediaries such as brokers and independent financial advisers which come under the Financial Conduct Authority – will form another. The scheme is widely seen as critical to maintaining investor confidence in the City, but the funding mechanism drew harsh criticism last year. Investment managers were angry that they – rather than the entire financial services industry – were required to help fund a special £326m interim levy to reimburse clients of the defunct investment group Keydata. In an effort to limit the need for large, quick infusions of extra cash, the FSA proposal also allows the scheme to use a longer, three-year time horizon when setting out the annual levy for each sector. However, the result would be that investment managers – rather than banks and insurers – would still have had to pay for Keydata. Groups like Rathbone Brothers and Brewin Dolphin urged the FSA, to review the mechanism, which essentially taps the competitors of a failed firm first and then parts of the sector that the FSA considers to be closely related. In Keydata’s 71 England Richard Saunders, chief executive of the Investment Management Association, called the proposals “shocking and astonishing”. “While it is essential that consumers receive any compensation they are due speedily and in full, the financing burden needs to fall on firms in a fair and equitable way,” he said. “These proposals expose different types of firms to completely different liabilities in a totally inequitable way.” But Sheila Nicholl, FSA director of conduct policy, said: “Compensation funding inevitably means that different sectors have competing interests. Our role has been to walk the middle ground and produce a workable solution that we believe the entire industry can afford and live with.” 72 England FT.com August 7, 2012 10:19 am By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent He was speaking as L&G increased its interim dividend by 18 per cent, with pre-tax profits up from £471m to £525m in the six months to the end of June. The new chief executive of Legal & General has signalled a greater willingness to make acquisitions, saying the FTSE 100 group would consider “bolt-on” purchases of asset management and general insurance companies. L&G wrote £2.32bn worth of premiums in the first half, down slightly on £2.38bn a year earlier. However, a 22 per cent improvement in investment returns to £9.47bn helped total revenue rise 16 per cent to £12bn. Presenting his first set of results since taking over from Tim Breedon at the end of June, Nigel Wilson said there would be “a lot more opportunities to accelerate our growth through bolton acquisitions ... I think it [can be] a useful way for businesses to grow.” L&G said it had restated its 2011 results due to what the company called “more prudent” actuarial assumptions. The company generated £407m of net cash in the period, broadly flat on a year earlier. L&G willing to make bolt-on acquisitions Legal & General nevertheless declared an interim dividend of 1.96p, an 18 per cent improvement from the year before, payable from diluted earnings per share of 6.85p (6.03p). Mr Breedon, who stepped down after 25 years at the life, pensions and investment group, has been sceptical about mergers and acquisitions in the sector. Trevor Moss at Berenberg Bank said: “While the company continues to ramp up dividends ... I still think that [it] has sufficient excess capital to look at both capital options – small bolt-on acquisitions or capital repatriation to shareholders.” However, Mr Wilson, formerly finance director, said he was not planning to depart radically from the company’s strategy. “Tim and I looked at a number of acquisitions together over the last few years,” he said. “We’ve just always been disciplined about what we want to buy. “If we do buy things, and I wouldn’t take it as a given but we’ll certainly be looking ... they won’t be departures from our core business.” 73 England The earnings improvement was driven by L&G’s risk division, which sells insurance and annuities and where operating profits rose 15 per cent to £272m. The profits improvement was more modest at LGIM, the investment management business, and the savings division, which provides unit trusts, ISAs, bonds, index trackers and pensions. At LGIM they ticked up 2 per cent to £117m while at the savings operation they rose 7 per cent to £73m. Mr Wilson added he was keen on expansion of the insurer’s fund management business internationally, highlighting the US and Asia in particular. Operating profit at the international business was flat at £64m. Meanwhile, operating profit at the general insurance business fell from £17m to £8m, including the hit from summer flooding as well as freezing weather and storms earlier in the year. ... 74 England FT.com August 6, 2012 7:37 pm Ms Winchester added that the lending market on student housing was focused on large- scale loans secured against well-located portfolios. “But debt remains restricted for new entrants, single property deals and projects outside of London”. Investment in student accommodation doubles By Ed Hammond, Property Correspondent Investment in student accommodation more than doubled to £800m during the first six months of the year, underlining the international and domestic appetite for low-risk property assets. The lack of student housing has forced many students into private rented accommodation – usually a more expensive alternative. The number of students in private rental property has risen by 155,000 since 2007, according to CBRE. Meanwhile, the average vacancy rate of student housing is about 1 per cent. The spending surge in the sector, up from £375m for the same period a year earlier, comes as long-term investors, such as pension funds and insurers, move to meet the financing shortfall created by the slowdown in bank lending. This combination of a supply shortfall and rising numbers of university applicants has attracted a spate of big deals this year. Student housing is among a handful of niche property types viewed by investors as exceptionally low risk, according to a new report from CBRE, the property services group. The market suffers from chronic under-supply, while the level of accommodation under construction is not sufficient to meet expected demand from UK and foreign students. In April, Legal & General, the insurer, made its first foray into property lending and provided Unite, the UK’s largest developer and manager of student housing by units, with a £121m loan. The move is the start of what L&G hopes will become a multibillion-pound lending business, much of which will be directed at the student housing market. “There is no shortage of investor demand, but the market is hampered by a shortage of new high-quality development opportunities,” said Jo Winchester, head of student housing advisory at CBRE. 75 England A week later, M&G, the fund management arm of the UK insurer Prudential completed one of the largest commercial property lending deals of the year when it agreed to finance a £266m acquisition of a central London student housing portfolio. The arrival of new lenders in the student housing sector reflects a trend across the property industry, as the slowdown in bank lending creates opportunities. The role of banks is expected to decline further, as changes to global banking regulation require lenders to increase the amount of capital held against loans secured on commercial property. “We are seeing very strong demand for student housing from investors not just across the UK, but globally,” said Charlie Cunningham, chief executive of Fresh Start Living, the student housing provider. 76 England FT.com August 8, 2012 6:50 pm The OFT has pointed to a limited number of big healthcare private providers – as well as health insurers – and highlighted “pockets of particularly high concentration” in some areas. Health insurers face patient exodus By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Bupa said on Wednesday that the numbers leaving underscored the need for structural changes. “Medical inflation has been running materially higher than consumer inflation,” said Stuart Fletcher, Bupa’s chief executive. “When incomes are under pressure and costs are going up less people are feeling able to take private medical insurance.” The UK’s biggest health insurer has warned that treatment costs have become so expensive that hundreds of thousands of people are abandoning private medical cover. Bupa said on Wednesday that it had lost 142,000 customers in the UK – 5 per cent of its total – during the first half of the year compared with 2011, blaming in large part a lack of competition between hospitals for ramping up costs. “Frankly a lack of competition and effective control of prices charged by providers is an important factor.” “The Competition Commission has the power to require either divestment or changes in the [way] those hospitals conduct their business.” Other health insurers had endured a similar exodus, Bupa said, with the overall number of people who have individual medical insurance cover now standing at its lowest level since 1995. Mr Fletcher said the lack of competition was most acute in central London, where HCA had “a very high” concentration. Individuals from all demographics were turning their back on the private sector in favour of the NHS, Bupa maintained. The figures come as the Competition Commission begins an investigation into the private healthcare market. The Office of Fair Trading earlier this year said it had uncovered evidence that suggested some practices in the sector “prevent, restrict or distort competition”. In a statement, HCA, which operates six hospitals in central London, said: “London is a very competitive market with eight different independent providers including Bupa, which has its own hospital, plus a substantial number of NHS private units.” It added: “Approximately a third of HCA’s patients are from overseas and of the UK business most patients have private medical insurance. 77 England “The number of patients with PMI [private medical insurance] coming to us is actually increasing.” Other private providers in the UK include Spire Healthcare, Ramsay Healthcare, BMI Healthcare and Nuffield Health. Bupa previously operated hospitals itself in the UK but sold 25 of them to Cinven, the private equity house, for £1.44bn five years ago to focus on its insurance business. It now operates only one in the country, the Bupa Cromwell Hospital, in west London. The group has been expanding internationally and now does about two-thirds of business outside the UK, including in Australia, Spain and the US. Pressure in the UK contributed to a 22 per cent fall in first-half profits at Bupa’s Europe and North America operations. Across the group, however, pre-tax profits were up 5 per cent at £255.3m. Bupa is a private company, not a provident, a mutual nor a charity. However, it is without share capital, meaning it has no shareholders, and profits are reinvested back into the organisation. 78 England FT.com August 15, 2012 11:47 am A contract between the two entities was renewed last December and stays in effect until 2013. Resolution abandons plans to split By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent One top 10 shareholder said on Wednesday he had been concerned that several funds could ultimately have been forced to sell their holdings if Resolution kept the structure, as the company risked losing its premium listing. Resolution is to scrap its complex corporate structure in the face of regulatory pressure as part of revamp under which the FTSE 100 life insurer has also abandoned plans to break itself up. “There was an accountability issue and it was quite a significant cloud over the share price,” the shareholder said. “They’ve addressed that and there is a sense of relief. They’re making the best of a bad situation.” The listed company, comprised entirely of non- executive directors and domiciled in Guernsey, is to stop outsourcing its leadership to an external London-based entity run by founder Clive Cowdery. As a result of the shake-up, Mr Cowdery will join the board of the listed entity for the first time. The move comes after the Financial Services Authority this year pledged to crack down on unconventional corporate structures, which threatened Resolution’s position in the FTSE 100. John Tiner, a former head of the FSA and chief executive of the advisory company Resolution Operations, is to leave. He had previously criticised the City watchdog’s planned clampdown, saying the case down had not been made for it. The FSA has said these “externally managed companies” in effect placed management “beyond the reach of some of the key controls and protections for shareholders”. However, Mr Cowdery on Wednesday downplayed the regulatory threat. He linked the changing management to other developments. Resolution Limited pays an annual fee of about £20m to Resolution Operations, an arrangement one analyst described as akin to having an “investment bank on a retainer”. 79 England Resolution is cancelling proposals to split its “back book” – the part of the group that no longer writes new policies – from the one that continues to write new business. Resolution is also to review its Guernsey domicile. Another top 10 shareholder said: “This is a sensible cleaning up of the strategy.” The company, which had previously downplayed the prospect of pursuing further deals, went further on Wednesday by saying it would “no longer seek acquisitions” whatsoever in the UK. Shares in Resolution, which have underperformed the FTSE 350 life insurance index by 29 per cent over the past year, rose 2.9 per cent to close at 226.3p. “This structure was always temporary,” said Mr Cowdery. He added: “From the moment it becomes clear that we do not need to keep a separate team working on acquisition or planning an exit event, let’s get on with a normalised structure and take off the table something that might cause a distraction.” Andy Briggs, chief executive of Friends Life, will become the group’s chief executive and Tim Tookey, formerly of Lloyds Banking Group who joined the company last year, will become finance director. Amid Hussain, analyst at Jefferies, said he questioned “the need for the unusually high .!.!. number of executive directors on a board for what will essentially be a conventional life insurance business – further streamlining of the board is likely.” 80 England FT.com August 15, 2012 6:52 pm trade at a 40 per cent discount to book value, with the UK life assurance sector on a slight premium, underscoring investors’ disappointment. Resolution battles to console investors By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Resolution recently cancelled a plan to return £250m to shareholders. After Clive Cowdery fetched the tidy sum of about £5bn selling his first Resolution vehicle four years ago, backers of his new venture had high hopes that the insurance entrepreneur could repeat the trick. “He started with companies that weren’t top flight – and it’s a really really tough market to sell new business into,” says Kevin Ryan at Investec. “You can’t just sprinkle fairy dust on a life company to turn it round.” But rather than becoming an aggressive consolidation vehicle, Wednesday’s restructuring plan leaves Resolution “mark two” looking more like a conventional UK life insurer – and an outof-favour one at that. Wednesday’s plan, which overhauls the group’s management, aims to address concerns in the City of London about Resolution’s strategy and management structure. Trevor Moss at Berenberg Bank described the company’s plight on Wednesday as trying to “make the best of a cobbled together pack of mis-aligned businesses”. The first Resolution project generated solid returns by mopping up life insurance companies that had closed to new business and selling them on. For months analysts have been questioning the rationale for Resolution’s preferred “exit plan”. The company planned to slice itself into two – a conventional life insurer open to new business, and a so-called run-off vehicle that would manage the existing policies – and float them separately. Its successor had a wider remit, acquiring companies that were still open to new customers. But several brokers cautioned the proposals would release little value. Resolution bought Friends Provident, most of Axa’s UK life assurance operations and a small part of Bupa. But the shares 81 England Investors have had to grapple with a management structure that regulators have indicated raises corporate governance concerns. Investors are likely to be more concerned that the duller Resolution continues to eke out operational improvements. “We are focusing on the operating performance of the business,” says Mr Cowdery. “We don’t need the complex structure that was put in place at the start.” In the context of the strategic changes, the financial results on Wednesday were something of a sideshow. Some headline figures looked lacklustre – interim operating profits fell 58 per cent to £163m and the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £133m. Revenue fell from £3.76bn to £3.57bn as premium income and investment returns came under pressure. But several analysts said Resolution had addressed fears about a weak balance sheet. The company says its capital strength is “robust”, with the underlying business generating £120m of cash in the first half. Resolution is raising its interim dividend by 5 per cent to 7.05p a share. Although the listed company says it will no longer seek acquisitions, Mr Cowdery still has his eye on other projects outside the UK including possible purchases of European insurers. 82 England FT.com August 17, 2012 7:47 pm An accounting disciplinary appeals tribunal fined Ernst & Young £500,000 and ordered it to pay £2.4m in costs two years ago for failing to warn investors properly about the risks. An earlier tribunal had demanded E&Y pay almost £10m in fines and costs. No more action against Equitable actuaries By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Policyholders who lost money after Equitable Life almost collapsed have criticised a disciplinary board’s “deplorable” decision to close a probe into actuaries. Paul Braithwaite, general secretary of the Equitable Members’ Action Group, said of Friday’s decision: “Actuaries have a great deal to answer for in the loss of people’s pensions. “It is weary resignation to the actuarial and accounting professionals closing ranks and saying ‘not me guv’. “The Equitable Life saga alone is enough to make any sensible person think twice about trusting the financial services industry, regulators or the actuarial and accounting professions that service them,” he said. In a brief statement on Friday after an investigation that lasted almost four years, the Accountancy and Actuarial Discipline Board said there was “no realistic prospect” that a tribunal would find against them. The AADB said it would not pursue any further action against an actuary from Ernst & Young, which audited the company’s accounts, and others from the Government Actuary’s Department, which provided advice to regulators. Two years ago ministers said they would set aside about £1.5bn for compensation to policyholders. However, campaigners have criticised the sum as inadequate. At the time of E&Y’s fine, the Joint Disciplinary Scheme, which oversees the auditing profession, said the case gave rise to concerns about the dominance of the Big Four accountancy firms. Campaigners said they were disappointed but not surprised by the decision and that very few individuals had been held accountable for a debacle that left thousands out of pocket. England’s oldest mutual insurer, which had 1.5m policyholders at its peak, closed to new business 12 years ago after being forced to honour expensive guarantees that stretched back 30 years. 83 England However, E&Y said any lessons from its audit of Equitable had “long been learnt and embedded in our audit systems and procedures” and the relevant people involved had retired. E&Y and the Government Actuary’s Department declined to comment on Friday. The Accountancy and Actuarial Discipline Board, which is part of the Financial Reporting Council, said in Friday’s statement it was independent of the professions it disciplines and operated in the public interest. 84 England „ZUSAMMENGESCHUSTERTES PAKET“ Cowdery gründete die erste Resolution-Gruppe. 2008 verkaufte er die Bestände für rund 5 Mrd. Pfund (6,4 Mrd. Euro) weiter – mit hohem Gewinn. FTD.de Herbert Fromme, Köln 17.08.12 Eigentlich wollte die britische Resolution Versicherungsbestände aufkaufen und mit Gewinn weiterverkaufen. Jetzt bleiben die Investoren auf ihnen sitzen Kein Wunder, dass ihm 2008 für die Neuauflage von Resolution viel Kapital zufloss. Er kaufte Friends Provident, den größten Teil von Axa Life und weitere Bestände. Das Geschäftsmodell schien gut, das Spitzenpersonal noch besser. Doch jetzt fürchten große Anleger des Londoner Versicherers Resolution um ihr Geld. Das Modell: Der Versicherer Resolution sitzt auf der Kanalinsel Guernsey mit all ihren Steuervorteilen. Er hat keine Angestellten. Die Arbeit macht als Dienstleister Resolution Operations in London für 20 Mio. Pfund Gebühr pro Jahr. Die Chefs: Clive Cowdery und John Tiner. Immerhin hatte Gründer Clive Cowdery 2008 an strategischer Stelle bei Resolution einen gewissen John Tiner platziert. Der war vorher Chef der Finanzaufsicht Financial Services Authority (FSA). Doch jetzt hat ausgerechnet die FSA dem Geschäftsmodell ein Ende bereitet. Cowdery und die Investoren stehen vor großen Problemen, Tiner geht. Jetzt will die FSA das Spiel stoppen. Durch das Konstrukt sei das Management außerhalb ihrer Kontrolle, die Kunden kaum geschützt. Cowdery muss sich fügen: Die Managementfirma wird mit dem Versicherer verschmolzen. Cowdery war lange Chef der Versicherungstöchter des Mischkonzerns General Electric. Viel Fantasie ist ohnehin nicht mehr in seinem Modell. Die Aktie dümpelt dahin, die niedrigen Zinsen wirken sich negativ aus. Der Halbjahresumsatz sank spürbar auf 3,6 Mrd. Pfund, der Gewinn brach um 58 Prozent auf 163 Mio. Pfund ein. 2004 erkannte er eine strategische Lücke: Immer mehr britische Versicherer wollten Lebensversicherungsbestände loswerden – zu wenig Gewinn, zu viel Ärger mit der Aufsicht, zu viel gebundenes Kapital. 85 England Cowderys Ausstiegsplan, nämlich neue Börsengänge einmal des Teils mit aktivem Geschäft und separat des Teils nur mit Abwicklung, hat kaum Chancen. Jetzt muss Resolution weitermachen, mit einem „zusammengeschusterten Paket von nicht zueinanderpassenden Unternehmensteilen“, wie Analyst Trevor Moss von der Berenberg Bank der Financial Times sagte. 86 England FT.com September 5, 2012 2:50 pm By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent On top of the closure of a call centre in Stockton-on-Tees, further job losses are expected to be spread across Direct Line’s other UK operations. Royal Bank of Scotland’s insurance arm Direct Line has warned it plans to make about 900 employees redundant as part of a cost-cutting drive ahead of an expected flotation. Just two days after the company set out a target to boost shareholder returns, Direct Line began to detail the “first phase” of its push to save £100m by 2014. The company highlighted plans to reduce costs at its head office in Bromley, which employs more than 2,000 people. The insurer, which has 14 other sites across the country with big centres in Croydon, Leeds and Glasgow, also indicated it was targeting savings in marketing, IT and various other back office functions. The north-east of England is likely to endure the worst of the job losses as the home and motor insurer plans to close a site in Teeside that employs 500 people. “This is yet another knife in the back of Teesside,” said Alex Cunningham, Labour MP for Stockton North. “The state-owned RBS has targeted our region.” The Direct Line workers are not represented by a union, unlike those in other parts of RBS. The company said it had begun a consultation with affected employees. Direct Line to cut 900 jobs The insurer’s headcount has remained broadly static in recent years at about 15,000 – unlike that of RBS overall, which by the end of last year had cut its employee tally by 11 per cent since the start of 2010. RBS is just weeks away from selling the first chunk of shares in a planned stock market launch of Direct Line. The insurer is one of several assets European regulators ordered the partnationalised lender to dispose of after its government bail-out. However, this week several top fund managers told the Financial Times now was a wrong time for a flotation, with one saying the market feared RBS could fetch as little as £1.5bn for the business – about half the sum analysts have expected. Direct Line, whose brands include the eponymous home and motor insurer as well as Churchill and breakdown service Green Flag, said it would try to help the employees find work elsewhere within the group or with other employers. 87 England “We have not made these proposals lightly and fully understand the impact this will have on our people,” said Paul Geddes, chief executive. “As we have done in the past, we will be open and honest, dealing fairly and carefully with those affected.” The planned cuts by Direct Line are the latest blow to UK insurance workers. Two weeks ago Aviva, the FTSE 100 insurer, warned that as many as 800 jobs at its UK business were at risk under a cost-cutting push. 88 England FT.com August 30, 2012 9:31 pm Marcus Barnard, an analyst at Oriel, noted that the number of vehicles insured by the company was up only 1.6 per cent in the UK – by far Admiral’s most important market – since the group’s full-year results. Insurers face pain, Admiral chief says By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent Aggressive pricing and rising customer claims are likely to weigh on UK motor insurers for at least another six months, the founder of Admiral has warned. Speaking after the car insurer disclosed that it had cut UK expansion, Henry Engelhardt said that rivals had yet to “wake up to the fact that they’re getting pinched”. The Cardiff-based company said this was a “sensible response” to the intensifying competition and denied claims by analysts that Admiral’s growth had slowed permanently. “This is a very cyclical industry,” said Mr Engelhardt. “Prices will start to go up again. It’s all about survival of the fittest ... and we are arguably the fittest.” Motor insurers have sought to capitalise on spiralling premiums in recent years, but the increasing competition had recently put prices into reverse, he said. Pre-tax profits rose from £160.6m to £171.8m in the six months to June and diluted earnings per share from 43.2p to 47.2p. Mr Engelhardt, who is also chief executive, cited industry data showing that premium rates had fallen almost a tenth over the past year and added: “I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s still more aggression left in the market. I would expect rates to probably continue to fall ... [for] another year, maybe.” Admiral raised its interim dividend by 15 per cent to 45.1p a share – worth about £15m to Mr Engelhardt, who holds a 13 per cent stake in the company. However, several analysts said Admiral’s profits were benefiting from previous expansion and warned that the group would struggle to hit full-year earnings forecasts.... Admiral insured 3.5m vehicles as of the end of June. Although this represented an 11 per cent increase over the past 12 months, the rate of growth was down sharply on the 33 per cent achieved the previous year. 89 England Profits from the domestic operations helped to offset losses at Admiral’s fledgling international businesses in Spain, Italy, France and North America, which widened to £8.9m. Mr Engelhardt said: “In general, you need a six to 10-year timeframe to create a profitable business. Our oldest business is not yet six years old ... we’re quite a number of years away.” Revenue from insurance premiums rose from £425.2m to £560.5m. Admiral cedes an unusually high amount of this – more than half – to reinsurers. Net sales rose 15 per cent to £488.4m. Shares fell 34p to £11.62. 90 England FT.com September 8, 2012 12:03 am One senior broker involved said: “The man and women in the street will certainly be given the chance to buy this deal. If it gets a good write up in the press, your average pensioner or saver with a bit of money will probably want to buy.” Another person familiar with the IPO said a so-called ‘retail allocation’ was a “strong possibility”. RBS declined to comment. Direct Line IPO may include public By Alistair Gray and David Oakley Royal Bank of Scotland is sounding out retail stockbrokers about offering shares in Direct Line to the public, when the part-nationalised bank floats its insurance business, said people with knowledge of the plan. Direct Line plans to file a formal intention to float as early as next week, although a final decision has not yet been taken, people familiar with the matter said. The unusual move – an echo of Margaret Thatcher’s “Tell Sid” privatisations – would give individuals the chance to buy shares directly in what is set to be the biggest flotation of a British company in six years. The shares are expected to be sold in chunks and the first tranche – a minority stake – may not involve retail investors. European regulators are forcing RBS to sell Direct Line, whose brands include Churchill and Green Flag, to meet rules on state aid, following the bank’s government bailout. Few companies that have listed in London in recent times have offered shares directly to private investors, meaning small savers have to wait to buy them on the secondary market. But they have given the bank until the end of 2014 to divest its entire stake in the insurer. Brokers say involving retail clients in initial public offerings can be more time-consuming and expensive than dealing exclusively with prospective institutional investors. This week Direct Line, which is Britain’s biggest motor insurer by number of policies, set targets to improve its profitability and announced plans for 900 redundancies, in an attempt to save £100m by 2014. However, people involved in the Direct Line process said RBS was much more receptive to the idea – partly because the Direct Line brand is well-known among consumers, but also because of the bank’s part-nationalised status. 91 England Analysts said RBS should fetch about £3bn for Direct Line, putting it in the FTSE 100. However, one major City fund manager said on Friday: “Buyers – whether they are institutional or retail – will want it at a discount.” 92 England England England England England England FT.com September 16, 2012 4:57 pm However, insurance companies are facing a potentially bigger upheaval than those in other sectors. Mutual insurers warn over rules switch By Alistair Gray, Insurance Correspondent For the private insurers GAAP is aligned with existing solvency standards. These are being phased out in favour of the European Union’s so-called Solvency II regime from the start of 2014. However, this is before the switch to the new accounting standard is likely to be introduced, so smaller insurers could be required to collate Solvency I data to meet the standards while also needing to comply with Solvency II. Britain’s mutual insurers have sounded the alarm about plans from accounting standard-setters to change their system of bookkeeping, warning some will struggle to bear the costs. The mutuals, which cover about 7 per cent of the UK insurance market, said they were concerned they would be forced to make “expensive and impractical” changes to their financial statements. The picture is further complicated as IFRS for insurers is itself set to change. The International Accounting Standards Board is trying to agree on a new standard for insurance accounting with the US Financial Accounting Standards Board. “It’s enough that some organisations will begin to look at whether or not they can justify remaining independent,” said Martin Shaw, chief executive of the Association of Financial Mutuals, whose 50-plus members cater for 20m people. A new global standard could make it easier for investors to compare companies in different jurisdictions, ultimately encouraging capital to flow into the sector. However, the smaller UK insurers – less reliant on international capital markets – argue this benefit hardly applies to them. Mr Shaw said the mutuals were also concerned the new standard could require them to make regular re-evaluations, a potentially costly process. The insurers are concerned they will be caught in the middle of various – and possibly incompatible – accounting and regulatory changes that are set to be introduced in the coming years. All private British companies are being required to follow their listed peers and switch from the UK’s Generally Accepted Accounting Principles to a version of International Financial Reporting Standards from 2015. 98 England “We like UK GAAP. It’s something that in an ideal world we would like to see retained,” he said, while recognising there was little or no prospect of that. Mr Shaw added insurers were paying “fairly astronomical rates” for professional services advisers to help them comply with the planned changes. Roger Marshall, chair of the UK Financial Reporting Council’s accounting council, said: “We’re consulting on how to make life easy for small insurers in the interim period when Solvency I gets switched off. “Our main concern is to make sure we don’t put a disproportionate burden on small insurers.” 99 England FTD.de 17.09.2012, 12:14 Wohngebäudeversicherung mit knapp 20 Prozent Anteil. Die Gruppe erzielte 2011 Prämieneinnahmen von 4,2 Mrd. Pfund. Zu ihr gehören auch die Marken Churchill und Green Flag, ein Pannendienst. Autoversicherung: Direct Line geht an die Börse Die britische Großbank Royal Bank of Scotland bringt ihre Tochter Direct Line Group an die Börse. Damit erfüllt sie eine Auflage der EU-Kommission, die staatliche Hilfe für die Bank genehmigt hatte. von Herbert Fromme Analysten schätzen den Wert der Firma auf rund 3 Mrd. Pfund. Im ersten Schritt will RBS 25 Prozent verkaufen. Das teilte die Bank am Freitag mit. Direct Line wäre einer der größten Börsengänge dieses Jahres. Das Scheitern des Börsenganges von Talanx in Deutschland beeindruckt die RBS-Manager nicht. Die Lage in Großbritannien sei nicht vergleichbar. Britische Autofahrer zahlen deutlich mehr für ihre Autoversicherungen als die in Deutschland. Durchschnittlich betrugen die Prämien nach Auskunft des Autoclubs AA Ende 2011 921 Pfund oder 1140 Euro pro Jahr und Fahrzeug - mehr als doppelt soviel wie hierzulande. 2004 zahlte ein britischer Fahrer nur 456 Pfund. Die höchsten Preissteigerungen setzten die Gesellschaften seit 2010 durch. Eigentlich hätte die Bank noch bis Ende 2013 Zeit, mindestens die Hälfte abzugeben, bis Ende 2014 muss der Rest folgen. Für die Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) ist das eine gute Nachricht. Denn mehrheitlich dem Staat gehörende Institut muss sich bis spätestens 2014 von den Versicherungsbeteiligungen trennen. Das verlangt die EUKommission im Gegenzug für die Zustimmung zu staatlichen Hilfen von 45 Mrd. Pfund, mit denen die Bank 2008 und 2009 vor dem Kollaps gerettet werden musste. Dass RBS schon jetzt auf die Tube drückt, hat gute Gründe. Die Bank will die vergleichsweise gute Konjunktur für Autoversicherer mit ihren hohen Preisen ausnutzen, solange es noch geht. Ein großer Brocken dabei ist der Autoversicherer Direct Line, der britische Marktführer in der Kfz- und 100 England Denn die britischen Autoversicherer müssen sich im Moment heftiger Kritik von Verbraucherschützern und Politikern wegen dubioser Provisionspraktiken erwehren. Wenn es schlecht für sie läuft, kommt eine deutliche Verschärfung der Aufsichtsregeln heraus - die teuer wird für die Branche. Eine kleine Rolle spielt die Deutschlandtochter der Direct Line mit Sitz in Teltow bei Berlin. Das Unternehmen kam 2011 auf 162 Mio. Euro Prämieneinnahmen und erzielte einen Minigewinn von 2,2 Mio. Euro, allerdings 0,7 Mio. Euro mehr als im Vorjahr. Das staatliche Office of Fair Trading (OFT) setzte im Mai die Kartellkommission Competition Commission in Marsch, die eine Untersuchung begann. Vor allem die Provisionseinnahmen britischer Autoversicherer stören das OFT. Bei einem Haftpflichtschaden zwischen zwei Fahrzeugen wickelt der Versicherer des nicht verantwortlichen Fahrers den Schaden für ihn ab - mit merkwürdigen Folgen. Der Versicherer lässt den Wagen in einer Werkstatt reparieren, mit der er eine Provisionsvereinbarung hat. Solche Vereinbarungen haben Versicherer auch mit Mietwagenfirmen. Laut OFT kostet ein so zur Verfügung gestellter Leihwagen pro Unfall 560 Pfund mehr als ein privat angemietetes Fahrzeug. Die Werkstattrechnungen liegen im Schnitt155 Pfund pro Reparatur höher. Diese Provisionseinnahmen von Werkstätten und Autovermietern sind aber wichtige Gewinnquellen für britische Versicherer. Werden sie verboten, geraten die Ergebnisse unter Druck - mit negativen Folgen für das Interesse von Anlegern am Börsengang. 101 England FT.com September 21, 2012 5:23 pm The sale equates to little more than half of the company’s book value and 5 times 2011 earnings, according to Exane BNP Paribas – discounts to the wider UK general insurance sector. Ageas agrees deal for Groupama UK arm By Alistair Gray Ageas has moved to bulk up its presence in the British general insurance market with an agreement to buy the UK operations of Groupama, the troubled French mutual, for £116m. François Boissin, Exane BNP Paribas analyst, said Ageas investors would be reassured by the price and strategic fit. “Investors were concerned about acquisition risk and excess cash deployment after expensive acquisitions over the past years,” he added. The Belgian financial services group, formerly known as Fortis, said the acquisition would make it the fifth-biggest nonlife insurer in the UK with a 5 per cent market share. Groupama has already sold its Spanish unit to Grupo Catalana Occidente and property and casualty assets of its Gan Eurocourtage brokerage business to Germany’s Allianz. Groupama has run into some of the most notable financial difficulties of internationally significant European insurers in recent months, after enduring losses on Greek sovereign debt and stock market investments. The French group, which until last year was the 15th largest in Europe by premiums, put its UK business up for sale to shore up its capital position. The UK business employs more than 600 people. Eamonn Flanagan, analyst at Shore Capital, said redundancies “have to be inevitable, it’s a sad thing. “This is not a highly aggressive, high-growth business.” Ageas said it was too early to say whether jobs would go. 102 Europa CEA member associations Netherlands (NL) — Verbond van Verzekeraars Norway (NO) — Finansnæringens Fellesorganisasjon (FNO) Poland (PL) — Polska Izba Ubezpieczeń (PIU) Portugal (PT) — Associação Portuguesa de Seguradores (APS) Romania (RO) — Uniunea Naţională a Societăţilor de Asigurare şi Reasigurare (Unsar) Slovakia (SK) — Slovenská asociácia poist’ovní Slovenia (SI) — Slovensko Zavarovalno Združenje (SZZ) Spain (ES) — Unión Española de Entidades Aseguradoras y Reaseguradoras (Unespa) Sweden (SE) — Sveriges Försäkringsförbund Switzerland (CH) — Schweizerischer Versicherungsverband (ASA/SVV) Turkey (TR) — Türkiye Sigorta ve Reasürans Şirketleri Birliği United Kingdom (UK) — The British Insurers’ European Committee: Association of British Insurers (ABI) International Underwriting Association of London (IUA) Lloyd’s Quelle: CEA European Insurance - Key Facts September 2010 Austria (AT) — Versicherungsverband Österreich (VVO) Belgium (BE) — Assuralia Bulgaria (BG) — Association of Bulgarian Insurers (ABZ) Croatia (HR) — Hrvatski ured za osiguranje Cyprus (CY) — Insurance Association of Cyprus Czech Republic (CZ) — Česká asociace pojišt’oven (ČAP) Denmark (DK) — Forsikring & Pension (F&P) Estonia (EE) — Eesti Kindlustusseltside Liit Finland (FI) — Finanssialan Keskusliitto France (FR) — Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurances (FFSA) Germany (DE) — Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (GDV) Greece (GR) — Hellenic Association of Insurance Companies Hungary (HU) — Magyar Biztosítók Szövetsége (MABISZ) Iceland (IS) — Samtök Fjármálafyrirtækja (SFF) Ireland (IE) — Irish Insurance Federation (IIF) Italy (IT) — Associazione Nazionale fra le Imprese Assicuratrici (Ania) Latvia (LV) — Latvijas Apdrošinātāju asociācija (LAA) Liechtenstein (LI) — Liechtensteinischer Versicherungsverband Lithuania (LT) — Lietuvos draudikų asociacija Luxembourg (LU) — Association des Compagnies d’Assurances (ACA) Malta (MT) — Malta Insurance Association 103 Europa 104 Europa 105 Europa 106 Europa 107 Frankreich EUREKO SELLS IMPÉRIO FRANCE TO SMABTP GROUP Within the framework of SMAvieBTP, Império will be dedicated to the continuation of its strategy serving the Portuguese community. © 2011 eureko Zeist, 21 December 2010 Eureko today announces that it signed an agreement involving the sale of Império France to SMABTP group. Império France is Eureko’s smallest operating company outside The Netherlands. Closing of the deal is foreseen in the first half of 2011. Finalisation of the transaction is subject to approval by the regulatory authorities. The sale of Império fits within Eureko’s international strategy. Império serves a niche market – the Portuguese community in France - and distributes its products through its partner, Banque BCP, and a network of agents. As a consequence, Império is a typical example of a company which does not entirely fit in Eureko’s international strategy. After the sale, Império will be better positioned to ensure its future development. SMATBP group comprises two mutual insurance companies: SMABTP, specialized in goods damages and liabilities and SMAvieBTP, dedicated to persons insurance (savings, pensions, health). The company aims to increase its client database. 108 Griechenland Versicherungsdurchdringung 2005 in Prozent AIG, ING, Eureko, Credit Agricole, AXA Allianz liegt auf Platz 12, die Victoria Hellas auf Rang 20 Großbritannien 12,7 Belgien 10,2 Frankreich 9,8 EU-Durchschnitt 8,5 Portugal 7,8 Deutschland 6,8 Spanien 5,7 Griechenland 2,2 Quelle: Verband der griechischen Versicherungsunternehmen (EAEE) in 1996: 139 Versicherungsgesellschaften in 2006: 95 Versicherungsgesellschaften im Lebensbereich kontrollieren die zehn führenden Unternehmen fast 90 Prozent des Marktes Ausländische Versicherer kontrollieren rund 25 Prozent des Nicht-Leben-Sektors und 45 Prozent des Lebensversicherungsmarktes Rangliste 1. 2.EFG Eurolife (EFG Eurobank, zweitgrößtes griechisches Kreditinstitut) viele Griechen sind drastisch unterversichert bei der Versicherungsdurchdringung wird das Prämienaufkommen in Relation zum BIP gesetzt. Griechenland liegt noch unter dem Niveau von Schwellenländern wie Estland, Polen und der Slowakei. Mentalität: größere Sorglosigkeit mit mehr Mut zum Risiko kein Vertrauen in Versicherer aber das Rentensystem steht vor dem Kollaps die AXA übernahm im Oktober 2006 die Athener Alpha Insurance, eine Tochter der Alpha Bank, dem drittgrößten griechischen Kreditinstitut, für 255 Mio.Euro, Marktanteil 4% Szenario in 2050: das Rentensystem trägt 35 Prozent des Haushaltsdefizits und treibt die Staatsverschuldung auf 450 Prozent des BIP unter den ersten zehn der griechischen Versicherungsbranche sind nach der Übernahme der Alpha Insurance bereits fünf ausländische Konzerne vertreten - 109 Indien FT.com July 27, 2012 9:51 am the rest of us,” says Andy Kuper, co-founder and president of Leapfrog Investments, a two-year-old, US-based private equity fund dedicated to promoting micro-insurance. Micro-insurers target India’s poor By Amy Kazmin in New Delhi Leapfrog – which raised $135m from investors like the Soros Economic Development Fund, the International Finance Corporation; and JPMorgan – has invested $15m in an arm of the Shriram group and is now helping design the firm design new micro-insurance products, and expanded its distribution of policies. Losing a breadwinner on India’s notoriously dangerous roads is a real risk. So Indian truck drivers that own their own vehicles are being offered low-cost life assurance to protect their working class families in the event of a tragedy. The Shriram group, India’s biggest truck finance company that helps independent truckers buy their own vehicles, began offering them insurance five years ago. “The poor live on the edge,” Mr Kuper says. “Any sudden, unexpected event – the death of a breadwinner or illness – can precipitate them falling ever deeper into poverty. If you can put a safety net – a floor – under those people, you can literally end the cycle of poverty.” It has not been an easy sell. Though monthly premiums range from only $13.50-$25, many truckers earning less than $400 per month are put off by the idea of paying for benefits they may never claim. The spurt in selling low-cost insurance in the developing world is rooted in the global microfinance explosion, which demonstrated the commercial potential of profit-oriented financial services for the poor. “These guys have no experience with life insurance,” says G.S. Sundararajan, managing director of Shriram Capital. “In their hierarchy of payments, insurance will never be there.” Yet rather than give up, Shriram has now designed a new life assurance policy – with lower premiums and higher payouts – that it hopes will be more attractive to its target market. “The poor are systematically more vulnerable to shocks than 110 Indien Confronting saturation in developed markets, many global insurance companies see microinsurance as a new frontier, although getting models right is not easy. “You should not be getting a company selling a broken bones policy with an osteoporosis exclusion,” he says. “It’s not fair to the policy holder to make it complex.” Swiss Re, the reinsurer, estimates the potential market for microinsurance policies to protect the poor against such risks as death, accidents, illness, crop failure and nature disasters could be as high as 4bn people, generating up to $40bn in premiums. Distribution is another challenge. Typically, insurers rely on commission-based sales agents. But now companies are testing innovative channels – such as churches, retail stores, trade unions, employers, and even governments – to reach their large numbers of people in their target market in more cost-effective ways. The International Labour Organisation recently estimated that about 500m people already have some form of microinsurance policies, many from global insurers such as Zurich, Allianz and AIG. South Africa’s Sanlam is distributing funeral insurance – a locally popular type of life assurance to cover high funeral costs – to members of the Zion Christian Church, while the country’s Old Mutual sells accident and funeral insurance policies through Shoprite, a large food retailer targeting low income consumers. “Micro-insurance is a very useful proposition for insurance companies,” says Clarence Wong, chief economist in Asia for Swiss Re. “They are going to tap into a group of people who will be richer in future, and will be buyers of conventional insurance. So it’s a long-term strategy. And the success of microfinance has helped ease concern about the viability of micro-insurance.” Some experts, such as David Dror, chairman of the New Delhi-based MicroInsurance Academy, are sceptical that commercial insurers can offer genuine protection to the poor. Mr Kuper believes micro-insurance must be simple, so poorlyeducated customers can clearly understand their policies, without analysing pages of fine print. 111 Indien “Most insurance businesses float products not on know-yourcustomer, or true knowledge, but on ‘will it, or will it not, generate profits?’” says Mr Dror, whose organisation promotes community-based micro-insurance schemes in rural India. “Unless we have a re-engineering of business processes of insurance – to make it driven by demand, based on local input and creating a stake for people to be in it – micro-insurance cannot work.” Leapfrog’s Mr Kuper argues that only commercial insurers have the muscle to bring the benefits of insurance to large numbers of people. He says the fund’s portfolio companies in Asia and Africa have reached 8m people, of whom 6.5m are below the poverty line, and 5m are women and children. “We’ve got to start doing this stuff at scale,” says Mr Kuper. “We can’t keep sitting with small schemes that help a few people, and are really nice, but fundamentally leave 99 per cent of the people untouched.” 112 Indien WSJ.com BUSINESS Updated July 11, 2012, 10:04 p.m. ET chairman and managing director of state-owned Shipping Corp. of India, the country's biggest shipper of crude from Iran. India is taking other steps, including asking Iran's state-owned shipping company to deliver oil in its vessels, but it is unlikely Iran will have sufficient spare capacity, industry executives say. Insurance Woes Slow India Deals for Iran Oil By SANTANU CHOUDHURY And ANIRBAN CHOWDHURY NEW DELHI—India has been forced to seek its own arrangements to insure its purchases of Iranian oil, officials said, even as it reduces imports under pressure from U.S. and European Union sanctions. The problems facing India show the effectiveness of policies aimed at squeezing Iran financially in a bid to force the country to take measures that guarantee its nuclear program isn't being used for weapons development. Tehran says the program is for peaceful purposes. Indian state-owned insurers, shipping lines and government officials met to discuss the situation in Mumbai on Wednesday. India's state-run insurance firms have agreed to offer coverage of up to $50 million for each Indian ship carrying Iranian crude. The state-run General Insurance Corp. will reinsure the cargoes. Such coverage is much lower than the up to $1 billion that European insurers would normally give per ship to cover third-party claims in the event of an oil spill or other accident. Iranian oil output tumbled to its lowest level in more than 20 years last month as U.S. and European sanctions clamped down on the Islamic Republic's export markets, a monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries showed Wednesday. U.S. and European sanctions drove Iran's oil production down by 188,500 barrels a day in June, to 2.96 million barrels a day, according to data OPEC analysts gathered from secondary sources. The last time Iran's annual average production fell below three million barrels a day was 1990. New OPEC forecasts suggest world markets will be able to cope well with lower Iranian oil supplies through 2013. But Indian industry executives involved in Wednesday's meeting said they had little other choice as European insurance companies have pulled out of the Iran oil trade. An EU embargo on Iranian oil imports, which took effect on July 1, also stops European firms from insuring Iranian shipments. "Our exposure would run into billions of dollars, but since there haven't been many insurance claims in the last several years, we have taken a pragmatic view," said Sabyasachi Hajara, 113 Indien The International Energy Agency estimating lost production is costing the country $8 billion in lost revenue per quarter. The U.S. sanctions threaten to penalize buyers of Iranian crude if they fail to adequately cut back on imports of Iranian oil. The U.S. determined that India, China and other big buyers of Iranian oil have complied. said it had stopped transporting Iranian crude from July 1 because of insurance concerns. Others said the move to rely more on state-owned Indian insurance companies could be risky. "I don't think anybody would like to compromise on the insurance cover," said Deepak Mahurkar, an oil and gas analyst with PricewaterhouseCoopers India. "So, I would say that companies would work overnight to ensure that covers are available from some of the other reinsurers." Washington says it will reassess in six months whether countries have continued to reduce purchases. Indian shipments from Iran fell 5.7% in the financial year ended March 31 to slightly under 350,000 barrels a day. Iran is now India's fourth-largest supplier of crude, down from No. 2 last year. An executive at an Indian private shipping company said India's attempts to insure vessels could work despite the $50 million insurance coverage. "This figure is low but we can call it a workable solution," the executive said. "Liabilities in case of an accident in Indian or Iranian waters is also less than in U.S. waters." The country aims to further cut Iranian imports by 11% to about 15.5 million tons in the year to end March 2013. But officials say they need to still buy Iranian crude until they can ramp up alternative imports from nations such as Saudi Arabia and Iraq. The Indian shipping industry was also pushed to accept low insurance coverage because it doesn't want to see its business going to Iranian tankers, the executive said. "The petroleum ministry wants to bring crude in Iranian vessels which will hurt business for Indian ships, so we accepted this figure," he said. —Sarah Kent and Summer Said contributed to this article. ... Indian shippers, such as Shipping Corp. of India, Great Eastern Shipping Co. and Mercator Ltd., handled a total of about six to seven ships carrying Iranian crude every month before the EU ban, said Anil Devli, head of the Indian National Shipowners Association. For some Indian shipping companies, the new insurance coverage is too low. A spokeswoman for Great Eastern Shipping, a private company, 114 Irland FT.com June 21, 2012 12:20 pm The fine, while tiny by US and UK standards, is yet another strike at systems and controls at UBS, which settled with US tax authorities after a long wrangle, suffered a $2bn rogue trading loss last year and is being investigated, along with other banks, for possible manipulation of the London interbank lending rate, known as Libor. UBS received a substantial discount – roughly a third – for co-operating and settling early. “All control weaknesses identified by the CBI have been remediated,” UBS said. “BSIL is a licensed entity operating according to and abiding to the rules and regulations set out by the Irish authorities. The anti-money laundering standards [that] UBS Group applies across its entire organisation are among the strictest worldwide.” Ireland fines UBS for lack of controls By Brooke Masters, Chief Regulation Correspondent UBS’s international life assurance arm has been hit with Ireland’s first ever fine for failing to comply with a 2010 law aimed at preventing financial companies from being used to launder money and finance terrorism. The €65,000 penalty handed out to the Swiss bank’s unit is part of Ireland’s broader effort to strengthen oversight of the banking sector after the financial collapse that forced the country to seek a €67.5bn bailout from the EU and International Monetary Fund. The fine is the first to emerge from a review of industry controls that included visits to Irish insurers, banks, brokers, fund managers and administrators. The transgression was spotted in a December 2010 inspection. “We have identified many instances where firms do not appear to have comprehensively reviewed their business models to assess the impact of the 2010 [law] on their businesses nor devised or deployed effective implementation plans,” Mr Oakes said. “This is serious to us and we want boards of directors to pay attention,” said Peter Oakes, who joined the Central Bank of Ireland to head the enforcement directorate in 2010. Bank supervision was folded back into the Central Bank of Ireland in 2009, and it created a standalone enforcement directorate in 2010 to provide greater deterrence. A new law that year also strengthened anti-money laundering rules and gave the central bank powers of enforcement. Irish regulators found that UBS failed to put in place the necessary controls after the law was passed or instruct its directors on the anti-money laundering rules. 115 Irland Since June 2006, Ireland’s central bank has sanctioned 50 financial companies resulting in €18.5m in fines and nine disqualifications for various other violations. Most of the fines – €11m – have been imposed since the creation of the enforcement directorate. UBS, which uses Ireland as the base for life assurance products aimed at wealthy clients, wrote €688m in gross premiums last year, and was among Ireland’s top 10 insurers in the most recent rankings from the central bank. “Firms must adopt robust and effective policies and procedures to prevent and detect money laundering and terrorist financing including ensuring that policies, procedures and business practices are updated in timely manner on foot of changes to regulatory requirements,” Mr Oakes said. 116 Italien FT.com September 29, 2011 9:12 pm Italian Treasuries, where 10-year BTPs have dropped in prices by more than 5 per cent this year. Italy relaxes capital rules for insurers By Paul J Davies in London and Rachel Sanderson in Milan The amendment relaxes solvency capital calculations when there are unrealised losses on government bonds. Cheuvreux analysts said they believed that ISVAP’s “main goal is to allow insurers to continue to invest” in Italian sovereign debt. Italian insurance companies hold more than €200bn ($271.5bn) in Italian Treasury bonds, more than 10 per cent of the total outstanding. The Italian government has given local insurers a get-out from the pressures of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis by quietly relaxing the rules for recognising the full effect of falling government bond prices. The Italian insurance regulator, ISVAP, said the measure was aimed at “containing the impact of financial asset devaluations, in particularly those from Treasury bills”. Analysts said the move had precedent in 2008, when Italian regulators and others including those in Germany relaxed rules on recognising the full price declines of corporate debt. Groups such as Generali, Fondiaria SAI, Unipol and Mediolanum, as well as the Italian arms of European companies such as Axa, Allianz, ING and Zurich Financial Services, could all benefit from the change, which means they do not have to take a capital charge for all of the unrealised losses on eurozone government bonds. Duncan Russell, analyst at JPMorgan, estimates that if all European insurers calculated their capital on an economic basis – as they will under new capital rules due to be implemented in 2013-14 – they would have had their collective capital cut by about €40bn, or 10 per cent, mainly due to Italian and Greek debt. However, for the large multinational insurers there is unlikely to be a significant impact at the group level, Axa and Allianz said. The move, which was pushed through in an amendment to the government’s austerity measures on Tuesday but has not been officially announced, follows a sharp decline in prices of 117 Italien However, he added that there was no consistency across Europe under the current Solvency I capital regime and that some countries such as France were already allowing their insurers to do similar things. “What it is showing us is that insurance capital requirements and available capital are still a mess – ie no one knows what to do,” he said. “The hope was that Solvency II would help, but even that now is looking less and less like the answer because of some of the assumptions. For an industry that is all about balance sheet and ‘renting’ capital to your clients, that’s quite a problem.” Italian insurers have all had share price gains of more than 10 per cent over this week since the regulator said the rule change should be finalised, with Unipol up 20 per cent since last Friday’s close. Specifically, the rule change permits 30 per cent of the solvency capital requirement to be made up by the difference between the market value and the acquisition costs of securities when the unrealised losses are at least 75 per cent of eurozone government bonds. This rises to 40 per cent of the total solvency capital in the case that all of the unrealised losses are in eurozone Treasury bills. The previous limit was 20 per cent. 118 Italien FTD.de 17.04.2012, 21:00 ...: nicht nur um das Erschaffen eines neuen Schwergewichts auf dem Versicherungsmarkt, sondern auch um Kredite in Milliardenhöhe, die Mediobanca und Unicredit als Gläubiger von Fondiaria-Sai im Feuer stehen haben. Hochzeit auf Italienisch ... Die Karten auf dem Versicherungsmarkt in Italien werden neu gemischt. Unipol aus Bologna will den Konkurrenten Fonsai schlucken - und damit zur Nummer Zwei hinter Generali werden. von Tobias Bayer Mailand Die Versicherungsgesellschaft weist eine gefährlich dünne Eigenkapitaldecke auf, die Solvenzquote sank unter die als kritisch geltende Marke von 100 Prozent. Die Quote misst, wie gut die Zahlungsverpflichtungen mit Eigenmitteln unterlegt sind. Über den Ausweg Unipol - das Unternehmen gilt als solide kapitalisiert - könnten die Banken ihren Einsatz retten. Die Fusion der Versicherer Unipol und Fondiaria zu Italiens zweitgrößter Versicherungsgesellschaft hinter Generali steht kurz vor dem Abschluss. Unipol aus Bologna einigte sich nach zähen Verhandlungen am Montagabend mit der Muttergesellschaft des Rivalen Fondiaria-Sai über die Konditionen für eine Kapitalerhöhung von 400 Mio. Euro. Am Ende der komplexen Transaktion strebt Unipol knapp 67 Prozent am gemeinsamen Unternehmen an. Die Kontrollgremien von Fondiaria-Sai und der Gesellschaft Milano Assicurazioni, die ebenfalls Teil des Zusammenschlusses ist, sollen sich am Donnerstag und Freitag treffen, hieß es am Dienstag. Eine wegweisende Entscheidung könnte Ende der Woche fallen. Sollten alle Beteiligten grünes Licht geben, würde die Ära von Salvatore Ligresti zu Ende gehen. Der 80-Jährige steht hinter Premafin, der Muttergesellschaft von Fondiaria-Sai. Er wird wegen seines großen Einflusses "Don Salvatore" genannt. Aus einfachen Verhältnissen stammend schaffte der Sizilianer den Aufstieg in die Mailänder Gesellschaft. Der Freund des ehemaligen Ministerpräsidenten Silvio Berlusconi installierte in den Führungsgremien Vertraute und seine drei Kinder, die deswegen hohe Honorare einstreichen konnten. Mit Spannung wird erwartet, wie viel Ligresti selbst bei dem Verkauf seines hoch verschuldeten Imperiums verdienen wird. Die Offerte von Unipol zeigt schon einmal auf, wie viel Wert vernichtet wurde. Premafin schrieb die Beteiligung an Fondiaria-Sai zuletzt von 7 Euro auf 3,95 Euro je Aktie herab. Das Ringen um Unipol und Fondiaria-Sai hält die italienische Finanzszene seit Wochen in Atem. Bei dem Zusammenschluss von insgesamt vier Parteien - Unipol, Premafin, Fondiaria-Sai und Milano Assicurazioni - geht es 119 Italien Unipol bietet nun 0,195 Euro je Premafin-Aktie. Das entspricht wiederum 3,38 Euro je Fondiaria-Sai-Aktie, was einem Abschlag von 14 Prozent gegenüber dem bereits nach unten revidierten Kurs gleichkommt. Die Bedingungen für den Aktientausch nach der Kapitalerhöhung sind noch zu verhandeln. Die Konkurrenz gibt sich gelassen. Lorenzo Pellicioli, der im Beirat von Generali sitzt, sieht den Zusammenschluss zwischen Unipol und Fondiaria-Sai als Chance: "Je mehr sich die Rivalen schwächen, desto besser ist das für uns", sagte er am Dienstag. Die Fusion könnte auch noch am Widerstand der Aufsichtsbehörden und der Staatsanwaltschaften scheitern. Die italienische Börsenaufsicht Consob fordert Auskünfte zu den Zahlungen an das ehemalige Topmanagement von Fondiaria-Sai - dabei geht es vor allem um die Entlohnung von Ex-Vorstandschef Fausto Marchionni - und hat Nachfragen zu dem ein oder anderen Bilanzposten, insbesondere zu den Reserven und zu firmeneigenen Geschäften. Bis Donnerstag müssen die Informationen vorliegen. Die Mailänder Staatsanwaltschaft hegt den Verdacht, dass Ligresti die Insolvenz verschleppt haben könnte. Die Ermittler haben nach Informationen der Nachrichtenagentur Reuters bei den beiden Gesellschaften Sinergia und Imco, die zusammen 20 Prozent an Premafin halten, ein Kapitalloch von 100 Mio. Euro ausgemacht. Sie dringen nun darauf, dass ein Insolvenzverfahren eingeleitet werde, hieß es am Dienstag. Der Staatsanwalt Luigi Orsi eröffnete im vergangenen Jahr ein Verfahren, weil er auf mehrere Ungereimtheiten gestoßen war. 120 Italien 121 Italien Lex/FT.com April 27, 2012 5:11 pm Only in Italy Mario Monti, Italy’s technocrat prime minister, is ambitiously trying to dismantle the convoluted web of cross-shareholdings and board-level influence that have become such a drag on corporate Italy. This week’s law barring directors of banks and insurers from board seats at other financial sector companies has sent ripples through Italian boardrooms. But such is the allure of power that some directors are going to absurd lengths to hang on to it. Take Marina Berlusconi, who manages Fininvest, her father Silvio’s holding company. Fininvest owns 36 per cent of Italian bancassurer Mediolanum. So the new law means that Ms Berlusconi has had to vacate her board seat at influential Milanese bank Mediobanca. Never mind. She has simply proposed that her brother Pier Silvio takes her place. 122 Italien FT.com May 14, 2012 7:55 pm amassed a combined 8 per cent stake in the insurer in February. Buyout chief takes on Italian heavyweights By Eric Sylvers Mr Arpe, former chief executive of Italian bank Capitalia, says that if he succeeds in gaining control of Fondiaria-Sai he will be doing nothing short of altering the way corporate Italy works and how it is perceived abroad. Having had a hand in organising the financing that allowed Olivetti to buy Telecom Italia in 1999, a !60bn deal that at the time was Europe’s biggest hostile takeover, Matteo Arpe knows something about the mean streets of corporate Italy. Thirteen years ago Mr Arpe, who was then aged 34 was running Mediobanca’s investment banking business, was on the winning side. Now he is again front and centre in an Italian corporate takeover clash, only this time he has lined up against his former employer as well as a host of other heavyweights that include UniCredit, Italy’s largest bank by assets. “If we succeed here this could be a sign to the international community just as the new Monti government has been a sign,” says Mr Arpe, referring to Mario Monti, the technocratic prime minister who took over from Silvio Berlusconi late last year with the job of restoring Italy’s image abroad while saving the country from a sovereign default. “This would show change is possible in Italy and that the fence that rings the country can be breached.” Mr Arpe’s private equity fund and an allied fund last week offered to inject as much as !400m into Fondiaria-Sai, Italy’s second-largest insurer by premiums, as part of a capital increase worth at least !800m. The funds would end up with a controlling stake of between 35 per cent and 45 per cent. Breaching that fence will not be easy. Fondiaria-Sai, controlled by heavily indebted Premafin, the holding company of the Ligresti family, has all but signed up for the other deal. At a board meeting on Tuesday, Fondiaria-Sai will consider the offer made by the two funds – Mr Arpe’s Sator and Palladio Finanziaria – as well as a competing offer involving three capital increases and a four-way merger that seemed destined to pass uncontested until Sator and Palladio 123 Italien Under that proposal, Unipol, Italy’s third-biggest insurer, would take a controlling stake in Premafin and would then participate in a capital increase by Fondiaria-Sai to take control of it. Unipol then would fold Premafin, Fondiaria-Sai and a small subsidiary, Milano Assicurazioni, into itself. Milano Assicurazioni following the four-way merger. While Italian law requires a buyout offer for all remaining shares when new ownership passes the 30 per cent threshold, Consob could waive the requirement if the market regulator rules the tie-up is a “rescue”. If Consob requires the full buyout it could scuttle the Unipol plan since the insurance company is already stretched on the financing. “The four-way merger has a very complex structure that is not very clear and it gives you the impression this is an example of old style Italy,” says Thomas Noack, an analyst with WestLB AG in Düsseldorf. “You don’t see a clear picture and there are so many parties involved that it is hard to evaluate.” With countermeasures expected on both sides, it is too early to say if Mr Arpe will be celebrating a victory or if the jubilations will be done at the headquarters of his former employer and current foe Mediobanca. Turin-based Fondiaria-Sai insures almost one in four cars in Italy, making it the market leader. The company, with a market valueof about !500m, has almost !11bn in total premiums and 20 per cent of the country’s non-life business. Mr Arpe dismisses any suggestion that Italy’s insurance regulator, ISVAP, might block his offer on the grounds that private equity groups should not own insurance companies. “We have already successfully taken over a bank and that is even more delicate than an insurer,” says Mr Arpe. “We don’t use leverage, we are long-term investors, we are managers not looking for a quick sale.” Separately on Tuesday, Consob, Italy’s market regulator, may say whether Unipol must buy out minority shareholders in 124 Italien FT.com May 18, 2012 12:04 pm point controlled by Unipol, would then participate in a Fondiaria-Sai capital increase. Unipol and the newly capitalised Fondiaria-Sai would then merge with Premafin and a small Fondiaria-Sai subsidiary, Milano Assicurazioni. Fondiaria moves ahead with merger plan By Eric Sylvers in Milan Fondiaria-Sai, the Italian insurer, has rebuffed an offer from two private equity funds and is moving forward with plans for a four-way merger that will create a company it says will be better able to take on market leader Generali. The two funds had said they were trying to open a dialogue with Fondiaria-Sai and that their offer was non-binding, meaning the contested insurance company could continue to discuss the particulars of the four-way merger. Those particulars are proving to be a sticking point, with the companies involved unable to reach an agreement on the percentages each party will own following the deal. Following a board meeting that began on Thursday afternoon and finished early on Friday morning, Fondiaria-Sai said that while it would continue “to look into the terms of the offer” from the two funds, Sator and Palladio, once an agreement on the merger is reached it would move forward with that plan. After the board meeting concluded, Fondiaria-Sai sent a letter to Premafin, Milano Assicurazioni and Unipol giving its proposal for the ownership structure of the new company following the merger. Fondiaria said it should have 27.45 per cent of the combined company. Unipol would get 61 per cent of the company, Milano Assicurazioni 10.7 per cent and Premafin 0.85 per cent. Sator and Palladio, which together own 8 per cent of Fondiaria-Sai, have offered to pump as much as !400m of their own money into the insurance company as part of an ! 800m cash call. The funds, which have one representative on Fondiaria-Sai’s board, would end up owning a stake of between 35 per cent and 45 per cent in the insurance company. With Premafin owning a controlling stake in Fondiaria-Sai and with the latter controlling Milan Assicurazioni, the number that has been the main sticking point is how much Unipol will have in the new group. Unipol said it had not yet formally received the Fondiaria-Sai offer and would decide what to do once it had. Under the four-way merger, Unipol, Italy’s third-biggest insurer by assets, would take a controlling stake in Premafin, which owns 36 per cent of Fondiaria-Sai. Premafin, at this 125 Italien Unipol has said publicly that it wants a 67 per cent stake in the merged entity, but people briefed on the matter have said it is willing to accept 61.8 per cent. That would indicate that the gap between what Fondiaria-Sai is offering and what Unipol wants is 0.8 percentage points. To avoid further delays to the deal, a decision about the stakes must be decided by Tuesday, when Premafin has a shareholders’ meeting in which the company is expected to approve a cash call worth up to !400m reserved for Unipol. The Fondiaria-Sai board member representing Palladio and Sator, which is run by former Capitalia chief Matteo Arpe, voted against the insurance company’s decision to rebuff the funds. The funds said they had not yet decided what their next move would be.... 126 Italien FT.com June 25, 2012 8:08 pm years and has teetered near insolvency, Mediobanca helped organise the insurer’s rescue. Unipol chief pitches €1.1bn cash call Mr Cimbri says he will pay back €250m to Mediobanca within three years with another €100m reduction in debt coming from loans held in assets he plans to sell to win antitrust approval for the four-way merger. “Having only one creditor is risky and we will address that as quickly as possible,” says Mr Cimbri. “If market conditions permit us to have better results than forecast we’ll reduce the debt even more.” By Eric Sylvers in Milan The chief executive at the helm of a merger between Italy’s second- and third-largest insurers by premiums has pledged to distance the group from the influence of investment bank Mediobanca, its biggest creditor. Carlo Cimbri, chief of Unipol, Italy’s third-largest insurer, will be in London on Tuesday and Wednesday pitching his merger plans as he seeks to persuade investors to take part in a €1.1bn cash call set to be launched next month. Mr Cimbri says the Unipol-led merger will help Italy’s insurance market develop by creating a player better positioned to take on Generali, Europe’s third-biggest insurer and the market leader in Italy. After the merger the new Unipol-Fondiaria-Sai, including the latter’s Milano Assicurazioni unit, will still have only about a third of the premiums of Generali. The funds will allow Unipol, based in Bologna and controlled by a group of local co-operatives, to finance its merger with rival Fondiaria-Sai, Italy’s second-biggest insurer, and its parent company Premafin. Fondiaria-Sai owns 3.8 per cent of Mediobanca, a stake Mr Cimbri promises to sell following the merger, which he says will be completed by the end of the year. Fondiaria- Sai’s 1.1 per cent stake in Generali will also be sold. The four-way merger plan has overcome numerous regulatory and legal hurdles and is now only waiting for the green light from Consob, Italy’s market regulator. A ruling is expected this week. “Unipol is far from the traditional halls of power in Italian finance and above all it is far from Mediobanca,” says Mr Cimbri during an interview in Unipol’s Milan offices. “Unipol is independent now and that will not change after the merger.” Fondiaria-Sai owes Mediobanca €1.1bn and Unipol owes the investment bank another €350m. To protect the money loaned to Fondiaria-Sai, which lost a combined €2bn over the last two 127 Italien FTD.de 16.07.2012, 11:15 Versicherer-Fusion: und einer Konkurrenzofferte der Fonds Sator und Palladio geriet das Fusionsprojekt jedoch zu einer Hängepartie. Eine Kapitalerhöhung der beiden Gesellschaften zu Niedrigkonditionen soll den italienischen Versicherungen die Fusion ermöglichen. Die Emission verwässert die Anteile der Altaktionäre erheblich. Die Börsenaufsicht Consob ist beunruhigt. von Tobias Bayer Nachdem die Börsenaufsicht Consob am Donnerstag grünes Licht gab, scheint der Weg nun frei zu sein. Einfach dürfte es nicht werden, die Kapitalerhöhung durchzubekommen. Um den Investoren den Einstieg schmackhaft zu machen, werden die neuen Aktien regelrecht verramscht. Die Fusion zwischen Unipol und Fondiaria-Sai zum zweitgrößten italienischen Versicherer nach Generali biegt in die Zielgerade ein. An diesem Montag beginnt die Kapitalerhöhung der beiden Gesellschaften, die für den Zusammenschluss erforderlich ist. Unipol und Fondiaria-Sai werden jeweils Aktien im Wert von 1,1 Mrd. Euro ausgeben. Ein Konsortium von elf Banken begleitet die Emission. Fondiaria-Sai bietet die rund 917 Millionen Aktien mit einem Abschlag von knapp 25 Prozent gegenüber dem Kurs vom 5. Juli an, Bezugsrechte herausgerechnet. Unipol wirft die 423 Millionen Aktien mit einem Rabatt von 27 Prozent auf den Markt. Die Emission verwässert die Anteile der Altaktionäre erheblich. Unipol und Fonsai verhökern Aktien Das scheint die Consob zu beunruhigen. In einer Stellungnahme warnte die Behörde vor außergewöhnlichen Preisschwankungen und erinnerte die Marktteilnehmer an das Leerverkaufsverbot. Solch eine Mitteilung der Consob ist äußerst unüblich. Bei Leerverkäufen veräußern Marktakteure Papiere, die sie nicht besitzen - und hoffen, sie später zu niedrigeren Kursen mit Gewinn zurückzukaufen. Es könnte das letzte Kapitel einer Geschichte sein, die Italien seit Monaten in Atem hält. Die angeschlagene Versicherungsgesellschaft Fondiaria-Sai benötigt nach Jahren des Missmanagements der Eigentümerfamilie Ligresti dringend frisches Kapital. Die beiden größten FondiariaGläubiger, Mediobanca und Unicredit, werben seit Monaten um den Zusammenschluss mit Unipol aus Bologna, um ihren Einsatz zu retten. Wegen juristischer Probleme der Ligrestis 128 Italien Für die organisierenden Konsortialbanken - Barclays, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Mediobanca, Nomura, UBS, Unicredit, Banca Akros, Banca Aletti, Banca Carige und Centrobanca - ist die Kapitalerhöhung riskant. "Der Abschlag erscheint mir gar nicht einmal so groß zu sein", sagte ein Mailänder Analyst, der anonym bleiben wollte. "Einige Institute dürften wohl Angst haben, am Ende auf den Aktien sitzen zu bleiben." Transaktionen mit anderen Ligresti-Firmen bescherten dem Versicherer seit 2005 ein Minus von geschätzt 400 Mio. Euro. "Retter" Unipol befindet sich selbst in einer schwierigen Lage. Im ersten Halbjahr übertraf der Versicherer mit einem Nettogewinn von 30 Mio. Euro zwar die Erwartungen der Analysten. Ein Portfolio strukturierer Wertpapiere von 3,5 Mrd. Euro. könnte jedoch einen Verlust von 620 Mio. Euro verursachen. Die Banken drückten deshalb eine Klausel durch, die es ihnen erlaubt, das Konsortium zu verlassen, sollte das Rating Italiens noch einmal um zwei Stufen gesenkt werden zusätzlich zu der Herabstufung durch Moody's am vergangenen Freitag, dem Tag der Vertragsunterzeichnung. Die Banken seien über die Moody's-Entscheidung im Bilde gewesen, hieß es. Die Zeit drängt. Die italienische Versicherungsaufsicht Isvap fordert mit Blick auf die Kunden, die Kapitaldecke von Fondiaria-Sai möglichst schnell zu stärken. Geschieht das nicht, könnte sie eine Sonderverwaltung durchsetzen. Über die vergangenen zwei Jahre häufte Fondiaria-Sai Verluste von rund 2 Mrd. Euro an. Schuld daran war unter anderem das Gebaren des LigrestiClans, der die Gesellschaft ausgenommen haben soll. 129 Italien Schumpeter Italian finance vehicles have been forced into bankruptcy. Mr Ligresti is under criminal investigation. The Economist Aug 7th 2012, 19:32 by D.L. and M.V. | MILAN It might be tempting to view such a public fall from grace as a sign that things are changing for the better in Italy, whose prime minister, Mario Monti, used a recent speech to bemoan the role played by the salotto in ensuring the survival of “Italianness” in business. Circling the yachts SALVATORE LIGRESTI (...) made his fortune in construction. But it was his financial holdings that won the Sicilian entry to the salotto buono—the figurative “good drawing room” where Italy’s top financiers and industrialists fix deals and exchange favours. But subsequent manoeuvres by the remaining members of the inner circle, led by Mediobanca, suggest otherwise. The deal they have stitched together to minimise their potential losses as leading lenders to Ligresti companies is convoluted and inequitable. He bought a stake in Mediobanca, Milan’s equivalent of Goldman Sachs, and since the 1980s he has moved aggressively into insurance, securing control of Fondiaria- SAI (Fonsai), one of Italy’s largest insurers, and Milano Assicurazioni, a smaller rival. Moreover, the companies’ boards and their regulators have helped make sure that a credible alternative plan hatched by upstart private-equity firms never stood a chance. At a time when Italy sorely needs investment, the affair suggests that connections will continue to count as much as competence in Italian finance. Mr Ligresti was convicted in the Tangentopoli bribery scandal of the early 1990s, but soon bounced back. This year, however, the 80-year- old and his high-living family have been brought down to earth again amid judicial probes into market rigging by offshore trusts, secret side- agreements and assetshuffling. Some 40% of the shares in Mr Ligresti’s holding company have been seized by courts, and two other key corporate 130 Italien 131 Italien Mr Ligresti and his three children spun a complex corporate web in which the insurers were controlled by a listed holding company, Premafin, which was itself majority-owned by two family building firms and numerous trusts (see chart). The family did not shy from using its positions in the firms it controlled. were suspected of trying to prop up Premafin’s share price by making large end-of-day purchases. As the Ligresti empire has buckled, Mediobanca and UniCredit, Italy’s largest bank, have tried to engineer a purported rescue of Fonsai, which after three straight years of losses has been ordered by insurance regulators to beef up its solvency ratio. Concerns about related-party transactions between family building companies and Fonsai triggered investigations by the insurer’s statutory auditors. They reported in March that Mr Ligresti had received over €40m for consulting and that his daughter Giulia’s luxury-goods firm, Gilli, had benefited from contracts with the insurer, which had even sponsored a horse owned by another daughter. The deal entails a complex series of mergers and rights issues involving Fonsai, Premafin, Milano and Unipol, a large Bologna-based insurer owned by co-operatives. Earlier this month Fonsai and Unipol completed their capital hikes, raising a combined €2.2 billion. What the Ligrestis received directly was far less than the flows of money from Fonsai to the building companies, such as the insurer’s 2008 purchase of a troubled hotel group from one of them. Despite these inflows, a hole of €110m opened up in the building firms’ accounts. In June a court declared them insolvent and appointed a liquidator to take control of their 20% stake in Premafin, the holding company. But they have had to pay steeply: including an “incentive fee”, banks in the syndicate earned 10% or more of the amount underwritten, three to four times the norm for such offerings. The hefty fees signal that the transaction is a stinker, argue opponents. Chief among them is Matteo Arpe, head of Sator, one of the two Italian private-equity firms (the other being Palladio) that held a combined 8% of Fonsai and put forward the rival bid. Two months earlier, a Milan prosecutor assigned to the case had obtained the seizure of another 20% stake in Premafin, owned by two Bahamas trusts linked to Mr Ligresti. The trusts 132 Italien 133 Italien To some, Mr Arpe’s intervention appeared to be driven by personal enmity. He and Alberto Nagel, Mediobanca's chief executive, had risen together through the investment bank’s ranks (both are 47). Mr Arpe was seen as a possible future boss but left in 1999 after clashing with, among others, Mr Nagel. Relations between them remain frosty. Unipol gets 61% of the combined group, but it is no white knight. The company is saddled with a dicey-looking portfolio of interest-rate derivatives, some of it highly structured (and reportedly sold by JP Morgan). This had incurred €625m of mark-to-market losses as of March 31st. Unipol Banca, its retail bank, was recently downgraded by Moody’s because of its “very high” level of non-performing loans. Some think Unipol is in worse shape than Fonsai, whose woes have as much to do with its forced property entanglements as with any intrinsic weakness. But the alternative plan had advantages, not least simplicity. Instead of being entangled in a complex four-way merger, Fonsai would remain independent and get a new management team. A total of €800m of fresh capital would be injected, half of that coming from the two private-equity firms. Mediobanca’s supporters accused Sator and Palladio of lacking proper funding for their bid and intending to “flip” Fonsai quickly. The debate over who is rescuing who is not purely academic, since under Italian law acquirers can seek a waiver from having to launch a full buyout of minority shareholders if the target is troubled. Unipol secured just such a pass. Fonsai’s shareholders have reason to feel particularly aggrieved since the restructuring calls for Premafin’s hefty debts to be dropped in their laps. Mr Arpe responded by securing a bank guarantee and pointing out that Sator can hold stakes for up to 10 years. But with the financial establishment rallying round the Mediobanca plan, the private- equity firms withdrew their offer on August 1st. Who’s rescuing whom? Backers of the Mediobanca plan say it will create a powerhouse that can better compete with Generali, Italy’s insurance giant. But the deal’s billing as a bail-out of Fonsai is disingenuous. 134 Italien By contrast, the deal is gentle on lenders, which is hardly surprising given that chief among them is Mediobanca itself. It has €1.5 billion of exposure to Fonsai and Unipol, a sum equal to 60% of its market capitalisation. spells out directors’ duty to oppose measures they know to be against the company’s interest. Shareholders never got to vote on the rival plans. Fonsai’s rights-issue prospectus says the board felt it prudent to accept the sub-optimal exchange ratio “to overcome the current uncertainty regarding the future of [Fonsai].” UniCredit, meanwhile, is a big creditor of Premafin. Easy to see, then, why they were at pains to craft a deal, however tortuously structured, that avoided bankruptcies anywhere along the Ligresti chain. Questions also hang over regulators’ role in the affair. A week after conditionally approving the Unipol/Fonsai tie-up, ISVAP, which oversees Italian insurers, sent a letter to Unipol expressing concern that its statutory reserves had dipped far below the level considered adequate. Some question whether Fonsai’s board has stood up forcefully enough for its shareholders. It accepted management’s narrative that there was no viable alternative to the Unipol merger, even after seeing presentations from Goldman Sachs and Ernst & Young that highlighted Unipol’s problems. The only board member who voted against the plan was Salvatore Bragantini, a former regulator. Yet ISVAP waved through the capital increases without requesting the shortfall be disclosed. Curiously, the task of vetting the Unipol deal was moved to a new team within ISVAP after members of the original team questioned the transaction’s viability. According to Mr Bragantini, a committee of nominally independent Fonsai directors reported to the full board that the exchange ratios were outside the range considered reasonable, but recommended they be accepted anyway as there was “no choice”. The first group was later brought back into the process, but too late for it to scupper the other team’s positive evaluation. This was “strange”, he says, because there was a credible, if somewhat speculative, alternative in Sator/Palladio. He says he reminded the board of the article of the Civil Code that 135 Italien Furthermore, ISVAP controversially ruled Sator and Palladio’s joint bid to be a “shareholder pact” rather than a “consultation pact”, which blocked them from raising their stakes in Fonsai above 10% and gave the impression of bias towards the Mediobanca-led plan. The establishment solution rammed through by Mediobanca and its allies is not quite a done deal, however. Sator is likely to bring multiple lawsuits, including over the procedural oddities at ISVAP and against Fonsai’s board for giving its offer short shrift. Smaller shareholders are planning to sue too. Cases could be brought for “false communication” if Unipol’s position turns out to have been worse than presented. The Monti government plans to fold ISVAP’s responsibilities into the Bank of Italy, a move believed by some to be partly motivated by concerns that the regulator has become captured by powerful financial interests. The biggest threat to the deal is the recently opened investigations by a prosecutor and Consob into an alleged secret side-agreement, under which the Ligrestis would support the merger with Unipol in exchange for a cash pay-off of more than €40m and other perks. Mediobanca denies any such pact was signed, though it acknowledges the existence of a list of requests from the Ligrestis, on which Mr Nagel scribbled his initials to show he had read it. If Consob finds that he did reach an agreement with the Ligrestis, it could insist on a full buy-out of Fonsai shareholders. This, in turn, could scupper the merger with Unipol, put Mediobanca’s €1.1 billion of loans at risk and undermine Mr Nagel’s position. If it can’t be proved that the agreement was signed, the flawed Mediobanca-led plan will most likely be consummated and the occupants of the salotto buono will be able to breathe a collective sigh of relief. The role of Consob, the stockmarket watchdog, is also under the spotlight. When the prosecutor investigating the Ligrestis wrote to Consob about Unipol’s problems, it replied that it would examine these more closely after the merger—the equivalent of giving a driving licence to a teenager months before his test. The most financially savvy member of Mr Monti’s cabinet, economic- development minister Corrado Passera, who is a former head of Intesa Sanpaolo, a big bank, nurses deep reservations about the Unipol deal, according to someone familiar with his thinking. But it appears that no one in government—which admittedly has bigger worries—has pushed back against the transaction. 136 Italien UPDATE 1- Caratozzolo's mandate ends on Jan. 31, and his powers regarding legal action supersede those of the insurer's board of directors. 12:23pm IST (...) Fondiaria-SAI had planned to call a shareholders' meeting by Oct. 31 to approve legal action against the former owners and management. Italy regulator takes over stalled Fondiaria probe MILAN, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Italy's insurance sector regulator says Fondiaria-SAI is stalling over legal action against its past management and former owners and is bypassing the insurer to deal with the "serious irregularities" it identified in June. The regulator began an investigation in Oct. 2010 after a complaint by activist fund Amber Capital, which owns less than 2 percent of Fondiaria. Regulator ISVAP says Fondiaria, Italy's second-largest insurer, may have committed serious irregularities in real estate operations and other dealings with the Ligresti family, which controlled the group until recently. Amber said the Ligrestis were benefiting from real estate operations done between different units of the Fondiaria group. Consultancy fees worth around 40 million euros ($50 million) were also paid to Ligresti patriarch Salvatore. The company's actions "were not adequate to enact a change in the situation...in light of...Fondiaria SAI's inertia to cease the violations pointed out and to remove their effects," the regulator was quoted as saying in a statement by the company late on Wednesday. The market capitalisation of Fondiaria has shrunk to 700 million euros from 5 billion five years ago. Smaller insurer Unipol agreed in January to rescue Fondiaria in a complex four-way merger involving three capital increases. ISVAP named Matteo Caratozzolo "to undertake or have others undertake actions including legal action" against the insurer's former owners and its management, the insurer said late on Wednesday. (Reporting by Jennifer Clark; Editing by David Cowell) 137 Japan FT.com July 13, 2012 12:18 am and Prudential Financial of the US, dropped out of the race in the first round. Sale considered of ING Japanese unit By Paul J Davies in Hong Kong Only one Japanese bidder, Dai-Ichi Life, remains, while other large strategic bidders, Manulife of Canada and AIA, the Hong Kong based pan-Asian insurer, are mainly interested in the south-east Asian business and potentially the Korean unit, according to people with knowledge of the process. Sun Life of Canada, which has a much smaller Asian presence, may also still bid. Nomura is working on a potential sale or refinancing for ING’s Japanese business as the final round of bidding for the Dutch group’s Asian insurance operations approaches, according to people familiar with the situation. The Japanese arm and particularly its variable annuity business, which holds billions of dollars worth of difficult to hedge liabilities, has attracted least interest of the three main units up for sale by ING, which also includes its Korean and south-east Asian operations. Mark Wilson, a former chief executive of AIA, is reported to have backing from a consortium including private equity group Blackstone and reinsurer Swiss Re to launch a bid for the full set. However, analysts and bankers with knowledge of the process thought it would be much more difficult for a financial buyer to get regulatory approval in all the different countries. Mr Wilson, who declined to comment, worked very closely with Blackstone’s advisory team on a planned initial public offering of AIA in 2009 when its former parent AIG of the US was looking to raise capital by selling the group. Final bids for the units, which could fetch a combined $7bn, are due on Monday after parties that made it into the second round spent eight weeks doing due diligence and preparing their offers. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, which are the main advisers on the sale, Nomura and ING all declined to comment. That IPO was overtaken by the ultimately abortive bid for the group from Prudential of the UK in 2010. Mr Wilson was ousted from AIA as that process collapsed in acrimony and Mark Tucker, a former chief executive of the Pru, was brought in to pursue a fresh listing of AIA in October 2010. The units are expected to be sold separately, or at least without significant chunks of the Japanese business, after two of the strategic buyers with most experience in Japan, MetLife 138 Japan Blackstone had been approached to work with Richard Li, son of Li Ka-shing, in his bid for the south-east Asian operations of ING, according to a person familiar with the talks. However, it did not believe the unit would be competitive as a standalone business, the person said. Richard Li is preparing a final bid for the south-east Asian unit and has plenty of funding since his billionaire tycoon father pledged financial backing for his son’s business ventures. ING’s Korean arm has attracted separate interest from two leading domestic financial companies, Kookmin and Korea Life. 139 Japan FTD.de 05.07.2011, 12:35 Nippon Life beteiligt sich an Allianz Der japanische Versicherer hatte sich zuletzt an indischen und amerikanischen Versicherern beteiligt. Weil die Bevölkerungszahlen in Japan rückläufig sind, schrumpft der dortige Lebensversicherungsmarkt. Die Versicherer suchen daher außerhalb ihres Heimatmarktes nach neuen Einnahmequellen. Der japanische Versicherer will eine Anleihe der Allianz über 500 Mio. Euro kaufen, die später in Aktien umgewandelt werden kann. Damit würde das Unternehmen zu einem bedeutenden Aktionär des Münchener Konzerns. von Friederike Krieger Die Beteiligung über den Umweg einer Wandelanleihe hat für Nippon Life den Vorteil, dass regelmäßige Zinszahlungen fließen und das Risiko geringer ist als bei einem direkten Aktienkauf. Wenn die Aktien der Allianz abstürzen, würde Nippon Life unmittelbar in Mitleidenschaft gezogen. Bei einer Anleihe gibt es das Geld dagegen zurück, vorausgesetzt die Allianz geht nicht insolvent. Für die Allianz ist von Vorteil, dass der Coco-Bond unter den neuen EU-Regeln Solvency II zum Eigenkapital zählt. Der japanische Versicherer Nippon Life strebt eine langfristige Partnerschaft mit der Allianz an und will sich an dem Unternehmen beteiligen. Die Allianz SE hat dazu erstmals eine nachrangige Wandelanleihe mit einem Volumen von 500 Mio. Euro speziell für Nippon Life ausgegeben. Die Transaktion soll am kommenden Donnerstag abgeschlossen werden. Das Papier, auch Coco-Bond genannt, hat eine Laufzeit von 30 Jahren und wird in den ersten zehn Jahren unter bestimmten Bedingungen automatisch in Allianz-Aktien umgewandelt. Zudem hat Nippon Life die Option, die Anleihe innerhalb dieses Zeitraums in Aktien umzutauschen. Damit würde Nippon Life nach Angaben der Allianz einen Anteil von 1,5 Prozent an dem Münchener Konzern erlangen. "Ziel dieses Investments ist der Aufbau einer langfristigen Partnerschaft zu beiderseitigem Nutzen", sagte Yoshinobu Tsutsui, Präsident von Nippon Life. Konkrete Pläne für die Zusammenarbeit gibt es aber noch nicht. 140 Japan FT.com July 5, 2011 3:43 pm The investment mirrors a broader move by Japanese companies to make overseas acquisitions in the face of a stagnating domestic market, taking advantage of the strong yen. The euro has slumped 30 per cent against the yen since mid 2007. Like other life assurers from mature markets, Nippon Life, one of Japan’s largest private life assurers, which is also known as Nissay, has been looking to emerging markets to gain access to new growth. Earlier this year it bought a 26 per cent stake in India’s Reliance Life Insurance for $680m, the largest foreign direct investment in the country’s insurance industry. However, investments by Japanese life assurers have mostly remained conservative as yet. Nippon Life plans €500m Allianz investment By Lindsay Whipp in Tokyo and Chris Bryant in Frankfurt Nippon Life plans to invest €500m ($725m) in a unit of Allianz, marking the private life assurer’s first investment in a European peer and the first time that the German insurer has issued contingent capital, popularly known as cocos. The purchase of Allianz Financial II’s 30-year convertible subordinated bonds is the assurer’s second overseas acquisition this year. Japan’s life assurance industry, under pressure to find alternative sources of growth due to a saturated and ageing domestic market, is starting to take steps to move overseas. Dai-ichi Life is the only Japanese life assurer that has made an offshore acquisition of more than $1bn, with its $1.2bn takeover of Tower Australia Group that was finalised this year. It has also invested in several emerging Asian markets. Without more detail it is unclear what the real benefits of this deal are for Nippon Life, partly as the transaction is not so big and as the European market is already mature, one analyst said. Nippon Life is a mutual company and it said it has currently no plans to demutualise. Nippon Life said that the transaction was part of its long-term strategy and would help build a strong relationship with Allianz, through which it aims to benefit from co- operation For Allianz, the deal represents a further measure to prepare itself for upcoming Solvency II rules that will require insurers to more closely match their capital to the risks on their bonds. Cocos, bonds that convert to equity once a pre-agreed measure of financial stress has been breached, have grown in popularity as they enable issuers to bolster capital reserves without issuing expensive equity. "With this transaction, we are among the first companies to participate in the growing market for contingent convertible notes,” Michael Diekmann, chief executive of Allianz, said. 141 Japan The Allianz bonds can be converted into equity within 10 years under undisclosed conditions, giving Nippon Life an approximately 1.5 per cent stake in the German insurer. Nippon Life has made similar investments in the past. In 2009 it purchased $500m in a US-based unit of Prudential using a similar convertible bond structure. It also invested $250m in bonds, or surplus notes, of Northwestern Mutual Life last year. Nippon Life has a venture with Schroeder’s of the UK, but this is its first direct investment into a company in the region. 142 Japan WSJ.com DEALS & DEAL MAKERS APRIL 29, 2011, 2:56 A.M. ET further growth, as Japan's population is shrinking and its lifeinsurance industry is seen as saturated. Mitsui Sumitomo to Buy Stake in Indonesian Insurer Japan's largest life insurer, Nippon Life Insurance Co. last month agreed to buy about a 26% stake in India's Relianace Life. Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co. in December agreed to buy Tower Australia Group Ltd. for about ¥99.6 billion, making the insurer a wholly-owned unit. By ATSUKO FUKASE TOKYO—Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. will buy a 50% stake in the life insurance unit of Indonesia's conglomerate Sinar Mas, as parts of its efforts to ramp up business in Asia, a person familiar with the matter said on Friday. Non-life insurers are even more active in overseas acquisitions. Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance bought a 30% stake in Hong Leong Assurance Bhd., the sixth-largest life insurer in Malaysia, while smaller rival Sompo Japan Insurance Inc. acquired a 94% stake in midsize Turkish firm Fiba Sigorta Anonim Sirketi for ¥28.1 billion last year. Japan's second largest life insurer by premium revenue is likely to spend about ¥70 billion ($858.5 million) on the deal and is expected to reach an agreement as early as Monday, the person said. The deal would be one of the biggest acquisitions made by a Japanese nonlife insurer targeting emerging markets. Mitsui Sumitomo's move is the latest in a string of Japanese life and non-life insurers' overseas shopping sprees. In recent years, major insurance companies have been aggressively looking for acquisition or investment targets to 143 Japan Japan’s MS&AD buys stake in Indonesian insurer Last month, Nippon Life, Japan’s largest life insurer by premiums, agreed to buy a 26 per cent stake in India’s Reliance Life for $680m, while in December, Dai-ichi Life Insurance agreed to buy Tower Australia Group for about $1.2bn. In the non-life sector, Tokio Marine, one of Japan’s leading non-life insurance companies, acquired Philadelphia Consolidated, a US property and casualty insurance company, for $4.7bn in 2008. MSI aims to raise the overseas contribution of a targeted Y150bn in core profits in fiscal 2013 to Y30bn, or 20 per cent, from a forecast 10 per cent contribution for the year ended March 2011. By Michiyo Nakamoto in Tokyo, FT.com Published: May 2 2011 12:40 | Last updated: May 2 2011 12:40 MS&AD Insurance Group, Japan’s largest property-casualty insurance group by premiums, is expanding its footprint in Asia with the acquisition of a 50 per cent stake in Sinarmas Life, a leading Indonesian life insurer, for Y67.2bn ($825m). Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance, the core operating unit of MS&AD, will subscribe to new shares in a third-party allotment and will jointly control Sinarmas Life with Sinar Mas Multiartha, a financial holding company of Indonesia’s Sinar Mas Group. The deal is the latest move by SMI, which is largely dependent on its Japanese non-life insurance business, to diversify operations for a greater emphasis on life insurance markets overseas. It is keen to expand its life insurance business in Asia, where it is already one of the largest operators in the non-life insurance markets of China, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Indonesia is an attractive market for Japanese life insurers because of its large population and low penetration of life insurance policies. Although its population is about double Japan’s, the ratio of life insurance premiums to GDP is still very low, at 1 to 2 per cent compared with 7.2 per cent in Japan, MSI said. MSI expects that as Indonesia’s economy grows, its middle class, which represents 40 per cent of the population, will require more life insurance products. Japanese life and non-life insurance companies have increasingly looked abroad for growth in the face of a saturated market at home, where a shrinking population is making it particularly difficult for life insurers to boost profits. “It’s very difficult to grow the top line in the domestic market, so companies with capital resources are going outside Japan,” said Jun Shiota, Daiwa Securities analyst. 144 Japan Last year, the group acquired a stake in Sinatay Life Insurance in China and as well as a 30 per cent holding in the life insurance business of Malaysia’s Hong Leong Financial Group for M$940m. The deal in Indonesia is also MSI’s second involvement with an Islamic insurance, or takaful, company, following its investment last month in a Hong Leong group company that operates a takaful business in Malaysia. Separately, MS&AD slashed its group net profit outlook to Y5bn for the fiscal year ended in March, from Y40bn, citing insurance payments for the March 11 earthquake and tsunami. 145 Japan DJ Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance To Team Up With Spain's Mapfre -Nikkei May 23, 2011 16:37 ET (20:37 GMT) 23/05/2011 21:37 | TOKYO (Nikkei)--Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. will forge a tie-up with Spain's largest insurer, Mapfre SA (MAP.MC), to complement each other's casualty insurance operations in foreign markets, The Nikkei reported early Tuesday. Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance contends that the partnership with Mapfre, which has subsidiaries in 18 South and Central American countries, will help double its premium income in the region in five years. Such income stood at around Y20 billion ($243.9 million) in fiscal 2010. Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance will market Mapfre's products to Japanese companies operating in South and Central America, where it doesn't have any local subsidiaries. The Spanish firm will refer its customers to Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance's products in Asia, where the MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings Inc. (MSADY) unit has subsidiaries in 13 countries. The partners will also mutually reinsure operations as part of risk management. Their risk advisory units will establish a partnership as well. (END) Dow Jones Newswires 146 Japan WSJ.com BUSINESS April 23, 2012, 3:59 a.m. ET But according to consultancy IHS Automotive, auto sales prospects in Asia remain mouth-watering. In ASEAN countries, sales are expected to reach 2.6 million this year, compared with just over 1 million a decade ago, IHS forecasts, adding annual sales could grow to nearly to 4 million in 2019 in the region. Japan Insurers Eye Emerging Markets By ATSUKO FUKASE TOKYO—As auto demand grows in emerging markets, it's not just Japan's car makers scoping out new business chances overseas: the country's insurance companies are also on the lookout for acquisitions. For Kengo Sakurada, president of NKSJ Holdings, Inc., the Southeast Asian market may be ripe with potential. "We may consider M&As as a tool for tapping more auto policies in emerging countries, including Indonesia and Thailand," the head of Japan's third-largest non-life insurer by market capitalization said in a recent interview. Flush with cash and backed by the strong yen, Japanese nonlife insurers see significant growth potential for auto policy demand across Asia at a time when their domestic auto segments are stagnating. He said that although his company has received many deal proposals, it would be considering acquisitions cautiously. Highlighting this caution, NKSJ unit Sompo Japan only spent about ¥50 billion on acquisitions since 2010 despite having said it plans to spend about ¥200 billion on acquisitions through 2014. It's a trend born of necessity. Though Japan auto policies still account for about half of all net premium revenue for the country's non-life insurers, a declining population and comparatively sluggish auto sales are encouraging domestic insurers—sometimes seen as reluctant to venture abroad compared with their international peers—to hit the overseas mergers and acquisitions trail. According to the General Insurance Association of Japan, auto insurance revenue in 2010 totaled about ¥3.4 trillion ($41.82 billion), roughly down 6% from ¥3.7 trillion about a decade ago. Though currently boosted by government incentives to buy fuel-efficient cars, auto sales in Japan have been slack. 147 Japan Sakurada didn't comment on the details of future M&A budgets, and stressed the insurer isn't chasing deals as an end in themselves. "We'll consider deals not as our goal, but as a tool to boost overseas profits" to ¥20 billion a year by 2015 from the current ¥4 billion to ¥5 billion annually. According to a person familiar with the situation, Tokio Marine is in talks to buy MUI Continental Insurance Bhd. for about ¥5 billion from Malayan United Industries Bhd., a publicly traded company in Malaysia, with a view to tapping into the auto insurance business there. NKSJ Holdings was established after the management of Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa was integrated in April 2010. Both units are now expected to fully merge in 2014, NKSJ chairman, Masaya Futamiya said. In 2011, Japan's insurers spent $5.4 billion on overseas deals, according to data provider Dealogic, ranking the industry 5th in terms of value. Any deals may take time to generate significant earnings for an industry that's open to the damaging impact of natural disasters. For the just ended fiscal year, Japan's top three nonlife insurers, Tokio Marine Holdings Inc., NKSJ and MS&AD Holdings Inc. are expected to report weak results that were dented by increased payouts to cover extreme flooding in Thailand last year. But an upcoming deal by Tokio Marine provides a telling sign of the kind of moves Japan's insurers are likely to keep making. 148 Japan FT.com April 12, 2012 3:37 pm forced companies to redesign their products to reduce the fees to consumers embedded in them. Japan insurer to buy stake in Indian venture By Paul J Davies in Hong Kong However, the growth of an emergent middle class and the lack of state welfare means the country has the potential for rapid growth once the regulatory overhaul is complete, according to executives and bankers. Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance will buy a 26 per cent stake in India’s Max New York Life, continuing a run of deals by Japanese life companies across Asia. “There are few insurance markets in the world that present the demographic opportunity of India,” said Donald Lacey, who leads Citigroup’s insurance investment banking practice for Asia and advised MSI on its investment. The Rs27.3bn ($535m) deal comes as a period of regulatory upheaval in India reaches its conclusion. Bankers are forecasting a revival of initial public offering plans by larger partly foreign-owned insurance companies over the next year. Japanese insurers are looking to exploit the strength of the yen to gain access to growth and higher returns overseas while escaping poor growth and low returns on assets at home. Foreign companies are restricted to a maximum of 26 per cent ownership of insurance joint ventures in India and many have been hoping for an increase in this limit before listing their ventures to raise further capital for expansion. MSI itself spent Y67.2bn last year for a 50 per cent stake in Indonesia’s Sinarmas Life just a month after Nippon Life bought 26 per cent of India’s Reliance Life for $680m. Nippon followed that up last month by taking a 5 per cent strategic stake in AIA, the pan-Asian life assurer. Dai-Ichi Life Insurance, another Japanese group, bought Tower Australia for $1.2bn in late 2010. The British insurer Standard Life’s joint venture with HDFC has long been expected to seek a listing and some bankers also say that ICICI’s venture with Prudential of the UK could also seek a listing next year. Sales of life assurance in India have fallen dramatically for a number of companies in the past year after the regulator 149 Japan However, other bankers disagree that there will be a rush of initial public offerings, saying restrictions on foreign ownership are likely to remain unchanged, meaning a listing would be more likely to see a foreign owner diluted in its holdings of a venture. MSI will buy New York Life’s stake in its Indian insurance venture, marking the latest phase in the US company’s exit from Asia after it sold businesses in Hong Kong, China, Thailand and South Korea. The deal is subject to regulatory approval. The remainder of the Indian venture is owned by Max India Limited, which has businesses in insurance and healthcare. Once the deal is completed, the insurer, which has about Rs168bn in assets, will change its name to Max Life Insurance. ... 150 Japan WSJ.com BUSINESS May 25, 2012, 5:50 a.m. ET Spain at the end of March, almost half the ¥839.3 billion they held as of September. Japanese Life Insurers Likely to Maintain JGB Support "We don't expect JGB yields to jump right away, as the yields have stayed low amid uncertainties over the global economy and relatively safe JGBs receiving risk-off demand," a senior official at Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance said. By MEGUMI FUJIKAWA TOKYO—Major Japanese life insurers are likely to keep providing strong support to Japanese government bonds in the near term, as they steadily increase their buying of JGBs while turning away from euro-denominated bonds. "However, we need to manage our portfolio with the risk of yield spikes in mind in the medium- to long-term, given the (Japanese) government's debt problems," he added. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield declined to a nine-year low of 0.815% last week due to risk aversion amid Europe's debt concerns. It stood at 0.885%, as of Friday afternoon. But company officials say they remain alert for any sudden spikes in JGB yields over the medium to long term as Japan continues to grapple with the worst debt situation among industrialized nations. Some analysts point to the possibility that JGB yields will rebound in June when parliamentary discussions over a sales tax increase in Japan are expected to reach their climax before the current session ends on June 21. The combined holdings of domestic bonds by the country's seven biggest life insurers totaled ¥68.965 trillion ($865.3 billion) at the end of the last business year in March, up from ¥61.120 trillion as of the end of March 2011, as they continue to look for safe, long-maturity yen bonds. With Japan's gross debt load at more than triple annual economic output, progress in moves to increase the tax are being closely watched by JGB market players and rating firms as a measure of success in Japan's efforts to sort out its dire finances. The current unpopularity of euro-denominated bonds amid the European debt crisis could also help the flow of money back into domestic bonds. The seven life insurers collectively held ¥448.4 billion of bonds issued by fiscally troubled Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and 151 Japan Fitch Ratings on Tuesday downgraded Japan's sovereign rating to A-plus, citing a "leisurely" approach to solving the country's spiraling debt problems. Meanwhile, the combined core profit of the seven life insurers totaled ¥1.695 trillion as of the end of the last fiscal year. That compares with an aggregate profit of ¥1.466 trillion a year earlier. Core profit is an indicator of life insurers' earnings, which consist of operating income plus interest and dividend gains, and subtracts temporary factors such as capital losses from sales of securities. Thus, it measures earnings in the core life insurance business. 152 Japan BETRÜGER BRINGT JAPANS RENTNER UM MILLIARDEN Tatsächlich aber produzierte AIJ unter Asakawas Leitung mit Derivategeschäften horrende Verluste, wie Japans Börsenaufsicht Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission (SESC) bei einer Untersuchung bereits im März herausfand. Die SESC hatte dem Unternehmen die Lizenz entzogen, nachdem der Skandal Ende Februar durch Recherchen der Wirtschaftszeitung „Nikkei“ aufgeflogen war. FTD.de 20.06.12 Chef von Investmentfirma verhaftet // Sorge um Pensionen Wegen eines milliardenschweren Betrugsskandals hat die Polizei in Tokio den Chef der Investmentfirma AIJ festgenommen. Kazuhiko Asakawa wird vorgeworfen, institutionelle Investoren durch den Verlust von 109 Mrd. Yen (1,1 Mrd. Euro) an Pensionsgeldern betrogen zu haben. Neben ihm verhaftete die Polizei am Dienstag noch zwei weitere Personen im Zusammenhang mit dem Skandal. Betroffen sind fast 100 Pensionsfonds vor allem von kleineren Unternehmen, die insgesamt 145 Mrd. Yen (1,45 Mrd. Euro) bei AIJ angelegt hatten. Die Fonds von AIJ waren auf den Kaimaninseln in der Karibik domiziliert. Investoren bekamen aber gefälschte Angaben über die Wertentwicklung ihrer Anlagen. Mehr als zwei Drittel der Anlagesumme sind durch Azakawas Verluste aufgezehrt. Jetzt müssen rund 880 000 Menschen um ihre Betriebsrenten bangen. Der Betrugsfall hat in ganz Japan Sorgen um die Sicherheit von Rentenansprüchen ausgelöst. Japan zählt zu den am schnellsten alternden Gesellschaften der Welt. Die Pensionsfonds des Landes verwalten laut Daten der Beratungsfirma Towers Watson mit umgerechnet insgesamt 2550 Mrd. Euro den weltweit zweitgrößten Topf an Altersvorsorgebeiträgen. Da Japans Staatsanleihen nur Minizinsen abwerfen, sind die Fonds stets auf der Suche nach Renditebringern. Internationale Hedge-Fonds nutzen die Lage und werben nun verstärkt um Geld von japanischen Pensionsfonds, darunter Neuberger Berman, Winton Capital und Financial Risk Management. Bloomberg, DPa, FTD AIJ soll Gelder von Pensionsfonds durch Vortäuschung von hohen Renditen auf Investmentanlagen erschwindelt haben. 153 Japan WSJ.com BUSINESS July 29, 2012, 2:07 p.m. ET insurers have paid out more than ¥150 billion for insurance claims. Nippon Life Insurance has been on top of the Japanese lifeinsurance industry for decades. It is one of the world's largest institutional investors, with more than ¥50 trillion, or about $637 billion, in assets, yet the unlisted insurer, known as Nissay, has been relatively low profile in overseas strategy. Mr. Tsutsui, who has worked at the insurance company for 35 years, sat down with Atsuko Fukase in Tokyo to discuss the company's strategy in a challenging market, in one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries. Keeping a Low Profile At the Top of the Heap The following interview has been edited. Yoshinobu Tsutsui, who took the helm of Japan's No. 1 lifeinsurance company in April last year, said the company is still at an early stage for making a big overseas acquisition and will stick to minority investments or business tie-ups for now. WSJ: Japanese insurers once dominated the world's insurance industry in terms of market capital in the late 1980s to early 1990s. Do you feel Japanese life-insurance companies are losing a position as a global player? Nippon Life has a capital alliance with global insurers including Prudential Financial Inc., Allianz and AIA Group Ltd. Mr. Tsutsui: Japan has the most rapid and serious aging problem in the world, so we, insurers, have diversified products over years. As an insurance company in an aging society, we would like to share our experience and a knowhow with our peers in other countries. He's bullish on the domestic market, which has faced a shrinking population and aging society. The downward trend in the industry, he says, is inevitable, but he sees opportunity in a range of products for seniors. As a matter of fact, a lot of Asian insurance firms have asked for advice and experience on how we deal with rising longevity. So, yes, we still have place to play an international role. Mr. Tsutsui became Nippon Life's president shortly after the Japan's devastating earthquake and tsunami last year, and played a key role in coordinating the industry's response as chairman of the Life Insurance Association of Japan, a post he left earlier this month. Since the March 11 disaster, life 154 Japan WSJ: What is your perspective on the Japanese life-insurance industry? because it brings risk, so we always form a long-term partnership with a strong financial institution. Mr. Tsutsui: It's been said for a while that our industry will see a downward trend due to the country's shrinking population. But I have an opposing view on that. Yes, it's true—the downward trend is inevitable—but I see a big potential for business opportunities in the domestic market, too. Seniors' demand for insurance products diversifies in a range of health insurance, nursing insurance and savings insurance. There are certain phases in global expansion. The first phase would be coordination of financial products and services and personnel exchange with a company. After that, we may enter the next phase—something close to mergers and acquisitions, but we don't set a time frame on that. We'll continue looking for new alliances as there are still some high-growth areas where we haven't found a partner. Our business strategy and sales approach are different from foreign players like American Family Life Assurance Company (Aflac) and Prudential that have boosted their presence in Japan since the late '90s but their presence made us feel that we again need to build a solid position. There's still room for us to make extra efforts in this market. Still, we're not jumping at deals, even when the investments look reasonable. We've built a trust in a relationship with India's Reliance Life and Prudential over a couple of years, sharing our business philosophy. That's our approach for overseas expansion. WSJ: Rival insurance firms are aggressively making acquisitions to beef up international operations. How do you want to explore overseas business opportunities? WSJ: With tighter regulations, how do you manage your portfolio? Are you considering cutting back risky assets such as stockholdings? Mr. Tsutsui: We're not targeting a particular area, but currently we offer life-insurance business outside Japan only in the U.S., China, Thailand and India through a capital tie-up or a joint venture. We're not expanding overseas by ourselves 155 Japan Mr. Tsutsui: I see some other life and nonlife insurers are decreasing equity holdings because of current market instability and regulatory constraints. But we have to think what it means for institutional investors to cut back their holdings in Japanese stock market. It's important to play a role as a stable shareholder and revitalize the market. But we will have to consider how we deal with new solvency rules in the future. We also would like to propose our thoughts about regulatory issues including new solvency rules and accounting standards [to global regulators]. WSJ: We had a big earthquake last year in Japan. How did it affect your business? Mr. Tsutsui: I'm from Kobe, and when an earthquake hit in 1995 I felt that it's really our responsibility to make sure that people were covered by insurance. And I realized again the importance of our role—that we need to make sure for our customers that our insurance services help them. 156 Japan Résumé Education: B.A. in Economics, Kyoto University, 1977 Career:Joined Nippon Life in 1977. Worked in various departments including research and public relations before becoming president in 2011. Extracurriculars:Golf, reading 157 Japan WSJ.com DEALS & DEAL MAKERS Updated August 10, 2012, 10:45 a.m. ET A 20% stake in Janus would be worth about $288 million based on the U.S. shares' closing price in New York on Thursday. Janus Sets Alliance With Japanese Insurer By KENNETH MAXWELL And JEREMY HARTLEY TOKYO—Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co. and Janus Capital Group Inc. unveiled a strategic alliance under which Japan's secondlargest life insurer will invest $2 billion and acquire a 15% to 20% stake in the Denver-based money manager. In a statement, Dai-ichi Life said it is "very confident in the long-term prospects of Janus" and plans to use the alliance to increase know-how in global asset management. It said the tie-up is its first overseas alliance in asset management since its demutualization and listing on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in August 2010. The deal comes as money managers with heavy exposure to stocks feel the pressure of weak markets world-wide. With about 90% of its $150 billion-plus assets in stocks, Janus has a greater focus on stocks than other fund managers and is particularly vulnerable when investors move to the sidelines. As part of the alliance, Dai-ichi Life will support Janus's distribution initiatives in Japan. Once the insurer has built at least a 15% stake in Janus, it will nominate a candidate to serve on the money manager's board. Dai-ichi Life's investment of $2 billion in general-account assets will be a boost for Janus, whose shares closed Thursday more than 20% below their 52-week high hit March 26. The money manager's shares leapt Friday on the news. The deal comes as Janus keeps bolstering its financial profile, using a hedging program in recent years to buffer its balance sheet from the market volatility of its "seeded" investment products it develops. Under terms of the deal, Dai-ichi Life, ranked second among Japan's insurers with assets of about $400 billion, will acquire at least 15%, and no more than 20%, of outstanding Janus shares through open-market purchases. Dai-ichi Life will also be able to buy new shares through an option issued by Janus. Earnings have been weak so far this year. Last month Janus reported second-quarter profit fell 44% as it recorded a double-digit fall in revenue and saw assets under management decline. 158 Japan Still, in May this year Moody's Investors Service raised its outlook on Janus to stable from negative, pointing to the company's improving debt picture. The money manager's ratings will benefit if Janus succeeds in re-establishing positive inflows across its equity business lines, reverses its negative performance fees and sustains favorable debt-to-earnings levels, Moody's said. 159 Japan FuW.ch MÄRKTE / MAKRO 10:39 28. AUG 2012 japanische Unternehmen mit starkem Engagement in der Volksrepublik beinhaltet, ist um 1,2% gesunken. Japans Regierung sieht Wachstum bedroht ALEXANDER TRENTIN Kiyohiko Nishimura, stellvertretender Gouverneur der Bank of Japan, erklärte gestern in einem Vortrag, dass der Raum für «unkonventionelle» geldpolitische Massnahmen – also monetäre Lockerung durch den Ankauf von Staatsanleihen – noch nicht ausgeschöpft sei. Insbesondere Japan, das langfristig wegen der demografischen Entwicklung wohl nur schwaches Wachstum zeigen wird, müsse sich durch eine aktive Geldpolitik vor negativen Schocks schützen. Die exportabhängige Nation leidet unter dem globalen Wachstumsrückgang. Die Wirkung der konjunkturellen Impulse, die durch den Wiederaufbau nach der Naturkatastrophe entstanden waren, lässt nach. Der monatliche Bericht des Kabinettsbüros der japanischen Regierung zeigt sich besorgt über die Aussichten der japanischen Wirtschaft. Die bisher starke Binnennachfrage werde wohl weniger steigen, aber besonders würden die Exporte durch die schwächere Weltwirtschaft bedroht. FuW.ch 28.08.2012 Die Regierung hat ihre Aussichten für die USA, China, Europa und den Rest Asiens ausser Indien zurückgenommen. Die Industrieproduktion werde wohl nicht weiter wachsen. Bisher wurde das Wachstum durch den Wiederaufbau nach dem Tsunami im vergangenen Jahr unterstützt, doch diese Sondereffekte geben nun langsam nach. Das Handelsdefizit war im Juli grösser als erwartet. Die Ausfuhren nach Europa fielen vergangenen Monat um 25%, nach China um 12%. Der Nikkei 225 fiel gestern um 0,6% auf ein Zweiwochentief. Belastend sind die weiter schlechter werdenden Aussichten für die chinesische Wirtschaft. Der Nikkei China 50, der 160 Kanada FT.com May 15, 2012 9:23 pm Sun Life considers selling UK arm By Alistair Gray and Anousha Sakoui Life assurers cease writing new business because profitability is disappointing, capital positions inadequate, or they are making strategic changes. Sun Life Financial, the Canadian insurer, is examining plans to sell its UK business in the latest sign that overseas operators are retreating from the market. Darko Mihelic, analyst at Cormark Securities in Toronto, said the UK was absent from Sun Life’s list of “core” areas. A sale would aid Asian expansion. The Toronto-listed company is lining up Morgan Stanley to advise on a possible sale, people familiar with the matter said. The mooted disposal comes as Dean Connor, Sun Life’s new chief executive, attempts to revive the group’s fortunes. “Like all insurance companies in Canada they have been looking to strengthen their capital position,” said Michael Goldberg, analyst at Desjardins Securities in Toronto. “Low interest rates are a disaster for the industry.” Sun Life and Morgan Stanley declined to comment. Sun Life’s century-old UK business, which has £11.8bn of assets under management, stopped writing new business in December 2010. It is among the 77 UK life assurance companies that have over the past 15 years or so stopped writing new policies, according to Ned Cazalet, the financial services consultant. 161 Kanada WSJ.com EARNINGS August 9, 2012, 2:33 p.m. ET Sun Life's net income plunged to C$51 million, or nine Canadian cents a share, from C$408 million, or 68 Canadian cents a share, a year earlier. Canada's third-largest life insurer last quarter introduced a new operating net income measure that strips out market-related factors that create volatile earnings. On this metric, Sun Life said it earned C$379 million, up from C$357 million in the first quarter. Weak Markets Hit Canada Insurers Manulife, Sun Life By CAROLINE VAN HASSELT TORONTO—Two of the Canada's largest life insurers, Manulife Financial Corp. and Sun Life Financial Inc., posted poor second-quarter results Thursday, underscoring the damage being done to global insurers as falling financial markets hurt their profit. The Canadian firm's woes reflect wider troubles in the global life-insurance market, as falling shares and low interest rates crimp profits and tie up capital. Insurers invest the insurance premiums paid by customers in financial markets. Equity volatility and low interest rates has made it difficult for insurers to turn profits, including on the annuities that guarantee minimum levels of lifetime income. Manulife, Canada's biggest life insurer, posted its third loss in four quarters and warned its target of four billion Canadian dollars (US$4.02 billion) in earnings in 2015 is a "stretch" because of "unfavorable economic conditions." Given weak markets, analysts had been expecting an ugly quarter. Life-insurance earnings are more volatile in Canada than in the U.S. because Canadian accounting standards require them to mark to market assets backing policy obligations. That leads to a mismatch in yield between assets and long-dated policy liabilities and exceptionally volatile earnings. The company said it swung to a loss of C$300 million, or 18 Canadian cents a share, from a year-earlier profit of C$490 million, or 26 Canadian cents, largely due to a charge of more than C$700 million related to volatile equity markets and lower interest rates. Manulife said it earned C$551 million, down from C$673 million a year earlier, when results are adjusted to exclude items such as a C$677 million charge for long-term interestrate assumptions. 162 Kanada "The expectations were very low," said John Kinsey, a portfolio manager at Caldwell Securities Ltd. "Patience is going to be key with regard to these Canadian life-insurance companies, and we'll need to plod along until we get some traction in the markets." through the end of 2015. "It's manageable," Sun Life Chief Executive Dean Connor said in an interview. One bright spot for Sun Life was the performance of U.S. mutual-fund unit MFS Investment Management, where profit rose 52% to C$67 million. The two life insurers, both based in Toronto, expect future earnings hits as they cope with superlow interest rates. Manulife said it expects a third-quarter charge of up to C$1 billion following an annual review of actuarial methods and assumptions. Most of the charge relates to products and businesses that aren't a substantial part of the company's new business plans, it said. "While both Manulife and Sun Life reported weak earnings based on the impact of the markets, they were both better than expectations," said Barclays analyst John Aiken in a note. Its minimum continuing capital and surplus requirements, or MCCSR, ratio, a closely watched regulatory measure of capital adequacy, was 213% versus 241% a year earlier. Sun Life's MCCSR ratio declined to 210% from 231% a year earlier. If current rates persist, Sun Life said its net income in the second half will be reduced by C$50 million per quarter due to declines in fixed-income reinvestment rates in its policyholder liabilities. It also said net income for the 2013 to 2015 period will be reduced by about C$500 million if rates stay at June 30 levels 163 Österreich 164 Österreich 165 Österreich Wirtschaftsblatt.at rechnet vor, dass bei einem Gebäude im Wert von 300.000 € etwa 60 € pro Jahr zusätzlich anfallen würden. Neue Forderung nach Pflichtversicherung 24.07.2012 | 09:32 | Christian Kreuzer (Wirtschaftsblatt) Steigende Zahl von Schadensfällen Die Assekuranzen kämpfen heuer wieder mit steigenden Schäden. Die Generali verzeichnet bisher Schäden aus Unwettern von rund 40 Millionen €, bei der Städtischen liegen ohne die Unwetter der vergangenen Tage mehr als 8000 Fälle vor. Die Uniqa weist ein doppelt so hohes Volumen wie im Vorjahr auf. Insgesamt dürften sich die Schäden auf bis zu 300 Millionen € summieren, schätzen Branchenvertreter. Versicherungen. Wegen der steigenden Unwetterschäden wird über eine Pflichtversicherung diskutiert. Versicherer sehen nun die "die Politik am Ball". Wien. Die massiven Unwetterschäden vor allem in der Steiermark bringen einen alten Vorschlag der Versicherungen wieder aufs Tapet: Sie wollen eine Pflichtversicherung, da Gefahren wie etwa Hochwasser weder vom Staat über den Katastrophenfonds noch von der privaten Versicherungswirtschaft abgesichert werden können. "Diese Modelle gibt es bereits in der Schweiz, in Spanien und Frankreich", sagt Harald Steirer, Vorstand der Generali Versicherung. Kooperation verlängert Die Generali Versicherung hat indes ihre Kooperation mit der Bawag bis zum Jahr 2023 verlängert. Neben der Lebensversicherung sollen in Zukunft auch Sachversicherungen wie Unfall- und Haushaltspolizzen über den Bankschalter verkauft werden. Konkrete Vorschläge wurden dem Finanzministerium bereits vor Jahren unterbreitet, doch bisher gab es keine Bewegung. "Der Ball liegt bei der Politik, die den rechtlichen Rahmen dafür schaffen muss", heißt es aus dem Versicherungsverband. Die Ziele der Bawag PSK Versicherung, die zu 75 Prozent der Generali gehört, sind jedenfalls ehrgeizig: Bis 2015 soll das Prämienvolumen auf 350 Millionen € anwachsen - im Vorjahr lag es bei 207 Millionen €. Für die konkrete Form der Umsetzung der Pflichtversicherung gibt es mehrere Modelle. Eine Variante wäre eine Prämienerhöhung der Haushaltsversicherung. Die Generali 166 Österreich Die Hoffnung, dieses Ziel zu erreichen, liegt in erster Linie in den neuen Bawag-Post-Filialen. "380 von insgesamt 515 Standorten wurden österreichweit bereits umgebaut", sagt Wolfgang Klein, Privatkunden-Vorstand der Bawag. Bis Jahresende sollen die restlichen Filialen folgen. © Wirtschaftsblatt.at 167 Russland Ingosstrach: Streit um einen Goldesel finanzieren. So kaufte er die Minderheitsaktionäre ignorierend Anteile seiner 2008 fast pleite gegangenen Bank Sojus über Ingosstrach zurück und will sie nun wieder ganz übernehmen. Zudem musste Ingosstrach mehrfach als Kreditgeber für Deripaskas Firmen einspringen. 29.07.2011 | 00:29 | Andre Ballin (Wirtschaftsblatt) Moskau. Russland ist für Ausländer ein Abenteuer, auch für Versicher. Es ist aber ein Abenteuer, das sich lohnt, denn der 26 Milliarden € schwere russische Versicherungsmarkt gewährt glänzende Chancen. "Mittel-und langfristig bietet der russische Markt eine Wachstumsstory, weil die Russen systematisch unterversichert sind", sagte Boris Tawakkoli, Senior Relationship Manager der zur Allianz gehörenden Versicherungsgesellschaft ROS- NO, dem WirtschaftsBlatt. Freilich werden nicht alle der über 600 Versicherer in Russland diesen Boom noch erleben, viele stehen vor finanziellen Schwierigkeiten, aber "die großen Player machen Gewinne", ist Tawakkoli überzeugt. Schlichter VTB Generali versucht nun, die Staatsbank VTB als Schlichter zu gewinnen. Die Italiener haben ein Joint Venture mit der VTB im Versicherungsbereich gegründet, in das auch die Anteile an der Ingosstrach einfließen sollen. Die VTB ist einer der größten Gläubiger des hochverschuldeten DeripaskaImperiums. Der russischen Staatsbank dürfte es also deutlich leichter fallen, Deripaska zum Einlenken zu bewegen, zumal sie notfalls ihre Rechte vor russischen Gerichten leichter durchsetzen kann als Ausländer. Sollte das gelingen, könnte sich das Investment am Ende doch auszahlen, schon weil Ingosstrach über Deripaskas Imperium auch zahlreiche Kunden gewinnen kann. Seit Juli sollen sich so RusalMitarbeiter (61.000) bei Ingosstrach krankenversichern können. Auch die tschechische Finanzholding PPFI des Milliardärs Petr Kellner hielt den Einstieg in Russland 2007 daher für eine lukrative Sache. Gemeinsam mit der italienischen Generali besitzt die PPFI nun 38,5 Prozent an Ingosstrach, einem der ältesten und größten Versicherer Russlands. Viel Freude haben sie jedoch nicht daran, denn Aktionär Oleg Deripaska (besitzt 60 Prozent) versuchte erst den Anteil der Minderheitsaktionäre durch eine Kapitalerhöhung zu verwaschen, dann sie aus dem Aufsichtsrat zu drängen. Bis zuletzt nutzte Deripaska Ingosstrach auch als Geldkuh, die er molk, um weniger lukrative Geschäftsbereiche zu 65,2 Millionen € Reingewinn hat Ingosstrach 2010 erzielt. Im Gegensatz zu den Vorjahren wird heuer weder eine Dividende noch ein Bonus für den Aufsichtsrat gezahlt. Ingosstrach führt beim Verkauf von Kfz-Haftpflichtversicherungen. Der Marktanteil liegt bei 8,7 Prozent. 168 Schweiz BVG entschlossen verbessern Was Bâloise-Schweiz-Chef Michael Müller am Vorsorgesystem ändern würde Menschen immer gewohnter sind, in beinahe jedem Lebensbereich Wahlmöglichkeiten zu haben. Damit verbunden wäre aber auch die Übernahme des Anlageschwankungsrisikos Sparbeiträge Skala der lohnabhängigen Beitragssätze flacher, d. h. weniger progressiv halten, um ältere Personen im Arbeitsmarkt weniger zu benachteiligen und den öfter bogenförmigen Karriereverläufen besser zu entsprechen Teilvariable Rente Eine zu Teilen vom jährlichen Anlageertrag abhängige Rentenzahlung läuft gegen die Vorsorgezielsetzung der Gewissheit und Berechenbarkeit der finanziellen Leistung FuW Nr. 48, 16.06.2012, p. 9 Prämienhöhe Die minimal vorgeschriebenen Prämiensätze erhöhen, damit das Vorsorgeniveau trotz absehbarer und nötiger Umwandlungssatzsenkung gehalten bleibt Beginn der Beitragspflicht Von derzeit 25 auf 20 Jahre bzw. auf Beschäftigungsaufnahme vorziehen, um zumindest den Berufsgebildeten ein rascheres Vorsorgesparen zu ermöglichen Pensionierungszeitpunkt Möglichst hohe Flexibilisierung zulassen und fördern, da die Bedürfnisse an die Altersvorsorge sehr unterschiedlich sind Wahl der Anlagestrategie Zumindest im Überobligatorium zu ermöglichen, da die 169 Schweiz Helvetia packt die Chance Die Bereiche Lebens- und Sachversicherung standen gemessen am Umsatz im Verhältnis 2 zu 1 zueinander. Auf Niveau des operativen Gewinns waren die beiden Segmente beinahe auf gleicher Höhe. CH Ausbau in Sachversicherung Mit dem Erwerb des Transportversicherungsgeschäfts aus dem Portfolio der französischen Groupama verdreifacht Helvetia ihr dortiges Sachversicherungsgeschäft. Der Schritt folgt auf eine erste ähnliche Transaktion 2009. Die mit 38,5 Mio. € bezifferte Akquisition bringt ein Prämienvolumen von rund 160 Mio. € zusätzlich auf die Bücher der Schweizer Assekuranzgruppe, was einer Einnahmensteigerung um 3% gleichkommt. Der Kaufpreis wird aus vorhandenen Mitteln finanziert. Die Transaktion wird nach Zustimmung der Aufsichtsbehörden im Verlauf des zweiten Semesters abgeschlossen. Die Helvetia-Aktien notieren zu einem Discount von gut 20% gegenüber dem zuletzt veröffentlichten Bilanzwert. Die Papiere sind gemessen an der erwarteten Dividendenrendite von 5,6% ausschüttungsstark. Die Niedrigzinslage drückt zwar auf die Ertragsperspektiven, doch der nachteilige Einfluss sollte begrenzt bleiben (...). TH, FuW Nr. 57, 18.07.2012, p. 9 Akquisitorisches Wachstum über kleine Schritte gehört seit Jahren zur Strategie von Helvetia. Der Ausbau des Transportversicherungsgeschäfts bekräftige die Ambition, in ausgewählten Marktsegmenten bedeutender zu werden, wird Konzernchef Stefan Loacker in der Medienmitteilung zitiert. Helvetia hat im zurückliegenden Jahr 4,1 Mrd. Fr. in der Schweiz und weitere 2,8 Mrd. Fr. in den Einheiten in Deutschland, Italien, Spanien, Österreich und Frankreich eingenommen. 170 Schweiz Versicherer investieren aggressiver vier Fünftel des Gesamtvermögens aus. Immobilien und weitere Alternativanlagen sowie Aktien haben begrenztes Gewicht (...). Schweiz Moderate Anlageumschichtungen summieren sich – Lieber Unternehmens- als Staatsanleihen – Aktien eng begrenzt Thomas Hengartner Solvenzregime ändert wenig An der Grundausrichtung der Vermögensanlagen halten die Versicherer auch zur Mitte des Jahres fest, wie eine Umfrage per Mail von «Finanz und Wirtschaft» ergibt. Im 120 Mrd. Fr. Portefeuille von Swiss Life haben Unternehmensanleihen nicht zuletzt dank der zinsmarktbedingten Preisavance an Gewicht zugelegt, wie Anlagechef Patrick Frost im ... Interview darlegt. Anhaltende und gar zunehmende Beachtung fänden Investments mit dauerhaft hohem laufenden Geldfluss, etwa Immobilien und Infrastrukturvorhaben. Die Versichererbranche ist einer der ganz grossen Sparhäfen. Über das Lebensversicherungs- und Vorsorgegeschäft poolen die Assekuranzhäuser die enorme Summe von 25 Bio. $. Das ist ähnlich viel, wie global von der Anlagefondsbranche verwaltet wird und nur leicht weniger, als staatliche und betriebliche Träger der Altersvorsorge kollektiv betreuen (hochgerechnet 29 Bio. $). Die Anlagen der Versicherer nehmen jährlich zu, vor allem wegen des steigenden Bedarfs an finanzieller Altersvorsorge in den Industrie- und den Schwellenländern. Selbst wenn die Anlagestrategie im Kern über Jahre bestehen bleibt und nur moderate Anlageumschichtungen vorgenommen werden, verschieben die Versicherer an den Finanzmärkten leicht Milliardenbeträge. Befürchtungen, aufsichtsrechtliche oder sonstige Einflüsse würden den Anlagemix massgeblich verändern, sind also übertrieben. Aufsichtsregimes wie der Schweizer Solvenztest SST und die im restlichen Europa vorgesehenen Solvenz-IIRegeln verlangen, dass die Vermögensanlagen abhängig vom Ausmass der historischen Preisschwankungsbreite mit Risikokapital zu bedecken sind. Das würde die Versicherer gleich reihenweise aus den Immobilieninvestments drängen, war zeitweise spekuliert worden. Allein die kotierten Schweizer Versicherer führen Investments von 600 Mrd. Fr. Bedeutendste Anlageklasse sind Unternehmensanleihen (inkl. pfandgesicherte Obligationen), noch vor Staatsanleihen und Hypothekar- sowie sonstigen Darlehen. Insgesamt machen die zinstragenden Investments 171 Schweiz Der Vermieterlös von Bestandesliegenschaften sei als «stabiler, wiederkehrender Ertrag» für Bâloise wesentlich, begründet der Versicherer vom Rheinknie. Ein Verkauf grösserer Portfolioteile sei deshalb keine Option. «Alternativen zu Immobilien als Anlageklasse stehen derzeit nicht zur Verfügung.» hätten sich Immobilienanlagen als «stabil und nachhaltig» erwiesen. Aus Hedge Funds habe sich Helvetia verabschiedet. Anlagen in Infrastruktur würden beobachtet: «Wegen der Illiquidität und der teilweise rechtlichen Intransparenz der Anlagevehikel sind wir jedoch zurückhaltend», begründet die Medienstelle. Im Bereich der Obligationen würden aus Bonitätsüberlegungen strenge Richtlinien angewendet. «Wesentliche Umschichtungen zu Emittenten mit geringerer Benotung sind nicht geplant.» Bleibt das Aktiensegment, in das die Schweizer Versicherer lediglich 2 bis 5% des Vermögens – mithin zusammen knapp 20 Mrd. Fr. – investieren. Wegen der Schwankungsanfälligkeit von Aktieninvestments verlangen die erwähnten Aufsichtsbestimmungen der Assekuranzbranche eine hohe Unterlegung mit Eigenkapital. Deshalb ist das Aktiengewicht in den Vermögen der Versicherer begrenzt. Gleichwohl wird nach Optimierungen gesucht. Helvetia hat sich «auf eine stärker dividendenorientierte Aktienselektion» ausgerichtet. Renditejagd mit Vorsicht Zurich Insurance, die umgerechnet 200 Mrd. Fr. Vermögen bilanziert, bestimme die Gewichte der Anlageklassen in Hinsicht auf Fristen, Währungen und Zinsverpflichtungen der Versicherungsverbindlichkeiten (Asset-Liability-Match). Das habe «in den vergangenen Jahren der fortdauernden Finanzmarktkrisen als nützlicher Kompass» gedient. Die eigentliche Anlageumsetzung bzw. Wertpapierselektion überlässt Zurich übrigens auf Mandatsbasis externen Spezialisten. Auch Bâloise betont die Fokussierung auf ausschüttungsstabile Beteiligungsrechte: «Das bewährt sich gerade im derzeit volatilen Marktumfeld.» Die mit der Vermögensanlage verbundenen Unwägbarkeiten gelten als bremsende Faktoren der Börsenbewertung von Versicherungsunternehmen. Helvetia will an der bestehenden Mischung von Staats- und Unternehmensanleihen qualitativ guter Emittenten festhalten und sie «keineswegs einer Jagd nach Rendite opfern». Weiter investiert werde auch in Wohnobjekte. Über all die Jahre 172 Schweiz Die Zinsbaisse untergräbt mit zunehmender Dauer den künftigen Anlageertrag der Versicherer. Ein massgebliche Störung von Ertragskraft und Ausschüttungsfähigkeit ist allein deswegen dennoch wenig wahrscheinlich. So gesehen sind die Papiere von Bâloise, Helvetia und Swiss Life mit Aussicht auf gut 5% Dividendenrendite und einem Discount gegenüber Buchwert von mehr als 20% fundamental günstig bewertet. Die ebenfalls ausschüttungsstarken ZurichValoren sind wegen der Internationalität und der breiteren Geschäftsabstützung des Konzerns teurer. Sie notieren leicht über Buchwert. FuW Nr. 57, 18.07.2012, p. 9 173 Schweiz 174 Schweiz 175 Schweiz FTD.de 18.07.2012, 11:12 Übernahme: Helvetia kauft Gan-Transportgeschäft Das Transportversicherungsgeschäft der französischen Gan Eurocourtage geht an die Schweizer Versicherungsgesellschaft Helvetia. Der vereinbarte Kaufpreis beträgt 39 Mio. Euro. von Herbert Fromme Der Schweizer Versicherer Helvetia übernimmt das Transportversicherungsgeschäft der französischen Gan Eurocourtage. Verkäufer ist der angeschlagene Versicherer Groupama. Das Maklergeschäft der Gan Eurocourtage hatte im Juni bereits die Allianz übernommen. Helvetia zahlt 39 Mio. Euro, kauft dafür aber nicht eine bestehende Versicherungsgesellschaft, sondern den Vertragsbestand mit einem Prämienvolumen von 166 Mio. Euro. Damit verdreifachen die Schweizer ihre Präsenz im französischen Transportversicherungsmarkt, wo sie bislang auf 83 Mio. Euro Prämie kommen. Der zum Genossenschaftslager gehörende Versicherer Groupama hatte sich mit einer expansiven Auslandsstrategie verhoben. 176 Schweiz Helvetia Holding AG : Helvetia becomes number two in the French transport insurance market The purchase price is EUR 38.5 million - without equity capital, which is not the object of the portfolio. This remains subject to adjustments in balance sheet performance up to 30 September 2012. The purchase will be financed through the capital resources of Helvetia. 07/17/2012 | 12:17pm US/Eastern The Helvetia Group is to take over the French transport insurance portfolio of Gan Eurocourtage, a subsidiary of Groupama SA. The transaction will lead to Helvetia becoming the number two in the French transport insurance business. This is the second expansion step in quick succession on the French market after the purchase of L'Européenne d'Assurance Transport (CEAT) in 2009. With this acquisition, Helvetia France, the former number five on the French transport insurance market, will become the strong number two. Its existing position will be strengthened by the portfolio acquisition especially in the maritime transport insurance business and will thus ensure even better insurance coverage for the French transport industry. Alain Tintelin, Director of Helvetia France, does not just see this strategic move from the perspective of growth: "The management and employees of Gan Eurocourtage enjoy an excellent reputation on the market. In addition to growth, this acquisition reinforces our know-how and our innovative drive." St. Gallen, 17th July 2012- The Helvetia Group is to buy the French transport insurance portfolio of Gan Eurocourtage, a subsidiary of Groupama SA. In 2011, the portfolio of Gan Eurocourtage, domiciled in Le Havre, France, comprised a premium volume of approximately EUR 150 million. Stefan Loacker, Chief Executive Officer of the Helvetia Group, underlines the significance of the acquisition: "The purchase of the French transport insurance portfolio of Gan Eurocourtage confirms the ambitions of the Helvetica Group to systematically strengthen its position in selected markets, in particular in the traditional transport insurance business." As a result, the existing portfolio of the transport insurance specialist Helvetia France, whose premium volume had amounted to EUR 82.5 million at the end of 2011, will be tripled. Provided that the responsible regulatory authorities grant their approval, the transaction will be completed in the second half of 2012. 177 Schweiz Analysts Media Helvetia Group Nicola Maria Breitschopf Head of Investor Relations Dufourstrasse 40 9001 St.Gallen T +41 (0)58 280 56 04 F +41 (0)58 280 55 89 E-Mail: Nicola Maria Breitschopf www.helvetia.com in the life, property and casualty and reinsurance business, and almost 4,900 employees provide services to more than 2.5 million customers. With a business volume of CHF 7.2 billion, Helvetia posted a net profit of CHF 288.7 million in the 2011 financial year. The Helvetia Holding registered share is traded on the SIX Swiss Exchange under the symbol HELN. ... Helvetia Group Andreas Notter Corporate Communications and Brand Management Dufourstrasse 40 9001 St.Gallen Tel.: +41 58 280 57 61 Fax: +41 58 280 55 89 E-Mail: Andreas Notter www.helvetia.com In over 150 years, Helvetia Group has grown from a number of Swiss and foreign insurance companies into a successful insurance group that does business everywhere in Europe. Today, Helvetia has branch offices in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Spain, Italy and France, and routes some of its investment and financing activities through subsidiaries and fund companies in Luxembourg and Jersey. The Group is headquartered in St. Gallen in Switzerland. Helvetia is active 178 Schweiz Nationale Suisse 29. August 2012 18:34 nach Kräften weiter ausgebaut und vertieft", so Hans Künzle, CEO von Nationale Suisse. Verschiebungen im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse: Helvetia erwirbt 7.69 % der Aktien Helvetia wird neuer Kernaktionär Die Helvetia hat mit dem Erwerb dieses Aktienpakets ihren Anteil auf total 12.05 % erhöht und wird damit grösster Einzelaktionär von Nationale Suisse. "Offensichtlich werden wir als attraktives, erfolgreiches Unternehmen beurteilt", hält Hans Künzle fest. "Gerne werden wir unsere Zusammenarbeit mit der Helvetia weiter ausbauen." Die Helvetia gehört neu zu den Kernaktionären des Versicherers. Die Helvetia Beteiligungen AG hat von der Basler Kantonalbank zusätzliche Aktien im Umfang von 7.69 % an Nationale Suisse erworben. Damit ist die Helvetia Beteiligungen AG neu im Besitz von einem Anteil an Nationale Suisse von insgesamt 9.59 %; die Patria Genossenschaft hält weitere 2.46 %. Die Helvetia wird so grösster Einzelaktionär der international tätigen Schweizer Versicherungsgesellschaft. Nationale Suisse wird ihren Weg auf Basis ihrer erfolgreichen Strategie auch mit der neuen Aktionariatsstruktur eigenständig weitergehen. Die Kooperation zwischen Nationale Suisse und der Bank Coop wird durch diese Transaktion nicht beeinträchtigt. Mit dem Erwerb des zusätzlichen Anteils hält die Helvetia Beteiligungen AG nun 2'115'980 Namenaktien der Schweizerischen National-Versicherungs- Gesellschaft AG (Nationale Suisse), was 9.59 % des im Handelsregister eingetragenen Aktienkapitals entspricht. Zusätzlich ist die Patria Genossenschaft im Besitz von 2.46 %. An der Stimmrechtsbeschränkung für Aktionäre von 5.0 % wird Nationale Suisse festhalten. Die Basler Kantonalbank ist mit dem Verkauf ihres Aktienanteils von 7.69 % an die Helvetia nicht mehr Grossaktionär von Nationale Suisse. Der Entscheid der Basler Kantonalbank wird die strategische Partnerschaft von Nationale Suisse mit der Bank Coop, die zu 57.6 % (per 31.12.2011) der Basler Kantonalbank gehört, aber nicht beeinflussen. Nationale Suisse als feste Grösse in der Branche etabliert Hans Künzle unterstreicht: "Die Verschiebung im Aktionariat wird keinen Einfluss auf unser Geschäft haben und ändert nichts an unserer Überzeugung: Nationale Suisse hat als eigenständiger und erfolgreicher Player im Markt eine Zukunft." "Die seit 2007 bestehende Kooperation mit der Bank Coop zur Erweiterung der Marktpräsenz unserer Gesellschaften wird 179 Schweiz Dank der konsequenten Ausrichtung auf ausgewählte Zielgruppen und der zielgerichteten Entwicklung der Specialty Lines, aber auch dank den Anstrengungen bei der Optimierung aller Geschäftsprozesse, hat sich Nationale Suisse als feste Grösse in der Versicherungsbranche etabliert. Das Unternehmen ist hervorragend aufgestellt und verfügt über eine exzellente finanzielle Solidität. Der Halbjahresbericht 2012 wird am 5. September 2012 publiziert. Ihre Ansprechspartner Remo Meier Investor Relations Tel. +41 61 275 22 45 Fax +41 61 275 22 21 [email protected] Christina Hartmann Media Relations Tel. +41 61 275 23 40 Fax +41 61 275 22 21 [email protected] Kurzprofil Nationale Suisse ist eine innovative, international tätige und unabhängige Schweizer Versicherungsgruppe, die attraktive Risiko- und Vorsorgelösungen in den Bereichen Nichtleben und Leben sowie zunehmend auch massgeschneiderte Specialty-Lines-Deckungen anbietet. Die Bruttoprämien belaufen sich konsolidiert auf 1.5 Milliarden Schweizer Franken (2011). Die Gruppe umfasst das Stammhaus und rund 20 Tochtergesellschaften und Niederlassungen, die mit fokussierten Produktlinien in den Versicherungsmärkten Schweiz, Italien, Spanien, Deutschland, Belgien, Liechtenstein, Malaysia, Lateinamerika und Türkei tätig sind. Der Hauptsitz der Schweizerischen National-VersicherungsGesellschaft AG ist in Basel. Die Aktie der Gesellschaft ist an der SIX Swiss Exchange kotiert (NATN). Am 31. Dez. 2011 beschäftigte die Gruppe 1 874 Mitarbeiterinnen und Mitarbeiter (Vollzeitstellen). 180 Schweiz Nationale Suisse 29. August 2012 18:39 Mobiliar in Zukunft besonders im Heimmarkt Schweiz weiter verstärken." Verschiebungen im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse: Mobiliar erwirbt 11.35 % der Aktien Neu hält die Schweizerische Mobiliar Holding AG (Mobiliar) 2'503'137 Namenaktien der Schweizerischen NationalVersicherungs-Gesellschaft AG (Nationale Suisse) was 11.35 % des im Handelsregister eingetragenen Aktienkapitals entspricht. An der Stimmrechtsbeschränkung für Aktionäre von 5.0 % wird Nationale Suisse festhalten. Die Mobiliar hat Aktien im Umfang von 11.35 % an Nationale Suisse erworben und wird damit neuer Kernaktionär der Schweizer Versicherungsgruppe. Die Aktien wurden bisher von der Landesbank Baden-Württemberg (LBBW) gehalten. Nationale Suisse wird ihren Weg auf Basis ihrer erfolgreichen Strategie auch mit der neuen Aktionariatsstruktur eigenständig weitergehen. Nationale Suisse als feste Grösse in der Branche etabliert Hans Künzle unterstreicht: "Die Verschiebung im Aktionariat wird keinen Einfluss auf unser Geschäft haben und ändert nichts an unserer Überzeugung: Nationale Suisse hat als eigenständiger und erfolgreicher Player im Markt eine Zukunft." Dank der konsequenten Ausrichtung auf ausgewählte Zielgruppen und der zielgerichteten Entwicklung der Specialty Lines, aber auch dank den Anstrengungen bei der Optimierung aller Geschäftsprozesse, hat sich Nationale Suisse als feste Grösse in der Versicherungsbranche etabliert. Das Unternehmen ist hervorragend aufgestellt und verfügt über eine exzellente finanzielle Solidität. ... Die LBBW hat ihren Aktienanteil von 11.35 % an Nationale Suisse der Mobiliar veräussert. Mit dieser Transaktionen gehört die LBBW nicht mehr zu den Grossaktionären von Nationale Suisse. Die Bank hat die strategische Neuausrichtung der Versicherungsgruppe über die letzten Jahre mit einem soliden Fundament massgeblich unterstützt. "In der Zwischenzeit haben wir Nationale Suisse aber im Markt nachhaltig positioniert", hält Hans Künzle, CEO von Nationale Suisse, fest. Mobiliar wird neuer Kernaktionär Die Mobiliar gehört nun mit einem Anteil von 11.35 % zu den Kernaktionären von Nationale Suisse. "Offensichtlich werden wir als attraktives, erfolgreiches Unternehmen beurteilt", so Hans Künzle. "Gerne werden wir die Zusammenarbeit mit der 181 Schweiz FuW.ch UNTERNEHMEN / FINANZ 16:18 30. AUG 2012 Unterschiedliche Definitionen Gleichzeitig hat die Landesbank Baden-Württemberg (LBBW) ihren 2006 erworbenen Nationale-Anteil von 11,4% an die Mobiliar veräussert. Der Schritt der grössten Landesbank Deutschlands überrascht nicht, musste sie doch während der Finanzkrise Staatshilfe in Anspruch nehmen und baut nicht strategische Beteiligungen ab. Kuriose Konstellation im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse ARNO SCHMOCKER Im Kernaktionariat haben Helvetia und Mobiliar zwei Banken abgelöst. Damit wird die Mehrheit des Nationale-Kapitals von sechs Versicherern gehalten. Das minimiert die Gefahr einer unerwünschten Übernahme. Die Mobiliar sieht ihr Engagement «strategischer Natur», wie sich Pressesprecher Peter Marthaler ausdrückt. Die beiden Unternehmen arbeiten im Bereich Motorfahrzeuge zusammen, wo die Mobiliar für Nationale die Schadeninspektion wahrnimmt. Umgekehrt werden Ideen gewälzt, dass Nationale für die Berner ihre Spezialität Kunstversicherung anbietet. Nationale Suisse versucht sich als Anbieter von Spezialversicherungen zu profilieren. Speziell sind auch die Verhältnisse im Aktionariat des kleineren Basler Versicherers. Neu dazugekommen im Club der Kernaktionäre sind Helvetia und Mobiliar. Damit halten nun sechs Versicherer, zum Teil Konkurrenten, 55% des Kapitals von Nationale. Was steckt hinter den Verschiebungen im Aktionariat? Zum grössten Einzelaktionär von Nationale Suisse mit 12,05% rückt Helvetia vor . Es handle sich um ein «Finanzengagement», kommentiert Martin Nellen, Mediensprecher von Helvetia. Nationale sei solide finanziert und wie Helvetia in einigen Märkten positioniert, die Wachstum versprächen. Die Helvetia-Gruppe hat von der Basler Kantonalbank eine Beteiligung von 7,7% übernommen. Die Bank verbucht mit der Transaktion einen Gewinn von knapp 15 Mio. Fr. Während für die Basler KB der strategische Charakter der Beteiligung nicht mehr gegeben war, wird die seit 2007 bestehende Produktkooperation zwischen ihrer Tochter Bank Coop und Nationale weitergeführt. Bislang beschränkt sich die Kooperation der beiden Versicherer auf den IT- Bereich in Italien. Weiter gehende Vorschläge würden 182 Schweiz «Es muss etwas passieren» Weniger zurückhaltend ist der CEO von Nationale Suisse, Hans Künzle, im Gespräch mit «Finanz und Wirtschaft»: «Es muss etwas passieren.» Konkret setzt Künzle darauf, dass die Zusammenarbeit mit jedem «Kernaktionär» erweitert wird. Nationale habe sich als Spezialversicherer positioniert, und es zähle zur Schlüsselkompetenz des Unternehmens, Partnerschaften einzugehen. vieles richtig macht und die Titel, besonders bezogen auf den Buchwert, unterbewertet sind. Übernahmespekulationen sind fehl am Platz. Die Unabhängigkeit des Unternehmens dürfte mit den zwei Transaktionen gestärkt worden sein, die sechs Grossaktionäre halten sich gegenseitig in Schach. Und an der Stimmrechtsbeschränkung für Aktionäre von 5% hält Nationale Suisse fest. Für eine Zusammenarbeit braucht es immer zwei. Mit Bâloise, die seit gut zehn Jahren 10% hält, haben sich offenbar keine Anknüpfungspunkte ergeben. Künzle zählt den Konkurrenten auf dem Platz Basel denn auch nicht zur Kategorie der «Kernaktionäre». An der Telefonkonferenz zum Halbjahresergebnis sagte CEO Martin Strobel zu den Transaktionen in Nationale lediglich, es handle sich um markante Veränderungen im Aktionariat, die man prüfen werde. Dass Bâloise vor einigen Jahren eine Erhöhung des genehmigtes Kapitals von Nationale abgelehnt hat, deutet ebenfalls auf ein distanziertes Verhältnis hin. Stimmrechtsbeschränkung bleibt Die Nationale-Aktien reagierten am Donnerstag mit einem Kursgewinn. Die Beteiligung von Helvetia und Mobiliar lässt sich als Anerkennung interpretieren, dass Nationale Suisse 183 Schweiz FuW.ch UNTERNEHMEN / SCHWEIZ 09:06 5. SEP 2012 Der Ausstieg aus dem Pensionsgeschäft, das im Vorjahressemester einen Gewinn von 6 Mio. Fr. beisteuerte, hat das Profil von Nationale als Sach- und Haftpflichtversicherer geschärft. In der Schweiz ist das Geschäft hochprofitabel. Nationale Suisse stärkt das Profil ARNO SCHMOCKER Der Schweizer Versicherer hat den Gewinn in einem schwierigen wirtschaftlichen Umfeld 7,4% gesteigert. Die Prämieneinnahmen haben die Erwartungen der Analysten aber verfehlt. Mit sogenannten Specialty Lines (Spezialversicherungen wie Engineering, Marine, Kunst etc.) ist Nationale bestrebt, sich ein unverwechselbares Profil zu geben. Der Anteil von 30% am Prämienvolumen der Gruppe soll bis 2014 auf 40% ausgedehnt werden. Der Einstieg von Mobiliar und das verstärkte Engagement von Helvetia haben zu einer «Beruhigung und Stabilisierung» im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse beigetragen. CEO Hans Künzle verfocht an der Präsentation zum Halbjahresergebnis die Meinung, das Ziel des Versicherers, eigenständig zu bleiben, sei gestärkt worden. Der Semesterausweis liefert keinen konkreten Anlass, an der Selbständigkeit von Nationale zu zweifeln. Im Ausland halfen Sanierungsmassnahmen in Belgien, wieder einen kleinen Gewinn zu erwirtschaften. Das Verhältnis Kosten zu Prämien der Gruppe ging auf 91,5% (94,7) zurück, wozu die erwähnte Reduktion des Diskontsatzes 1,2 Prozentpunkte beitrug. Trotz Verbesserung unbefriedigend bleibt das Auslandgeschäft mit 101,5% (111,3). Auch die grösseren Helvetia und Bâloise bekunden Mühe, ausserhalb des Heimmarktes auf einen grünen Zweig zu kommen. Ohne Sondereffekte stieg der Gewinn 6,8%, mit waren es 7,4%: Im ersten Semester 2011 hatte ein Gewinn aus dem Verkauf des Kollektivlebengeschäfts (BVG) das Resultat verbessert, dieses Jahr kam Nationale eine Änderung im Pensionskassenreglement (Senkung des Diskontsatzes zur Berechnung der Vorsorgeverbindlichkeiten) in der Schweiz zugute. Schweiz hochprofitabel 184 Schweiz Das Lebengeschäft trägt wenig zum Gesamtgewinn bei. Niedrige Zinsen, verschärfte behördliche Auflagen und intensiver Wettbewerb belasten die Rentabilität. Nach der Bereinigung des Portfolios lautet das Ziel, den Bereich mit der Lancierung kapitalschonender Produkte besser zu positionieren. Das Anlageresultat fiel mit einer annualisierten Rendite von 3,4% solide aus. Bemerkenswert: Nationale hat den Aktienanteil von 3,1 auf 4,9% erhöht, indem sie Qualitätstitel mit hoher Dividendenrendite zugekauft hat. Nicht schlafraubend Einen Sondereffekt gab es auch im Eigenkapital. Weil Nationale neue IAS-Regeln zur Personalvorsorge vorzeitig anwendete, schrumpfte das Eigenkapital 120 Mio. Fr. Finanzchef Thomas Widmer hat deswegen aber «keine schlaflosen Nächte». Die Gruppe sei auch im Swiss Solvency Test (SST) gemäss Finma-Vorgabe ausreichend kapitalisiert. Der Fortsetzung der Dividendenpolitik stehe nichts im Weg. Eine durchdachte Strategie und der hohe Anteil mehrerer Wettbewerber mit meldepflichtigen Anteilen sprechen dafür, dass ein Engagement in Nationale nicht ganz falsch ist. 185 Schweiz Nationale Suisse verzeichnet im ersten Halbjahr 2012 einen höheren Gewinn bei nachhaltigem Prämienwachstum und eine Solvency 1 Ratio auf konstant hohem Niveau Exzellente Combined Ratio von 91.5 % (94.7 % im ersten Semester 2011) Zunahme des Eigenkapitals gegenüber Ende 2011 um 2.7 % auf CHF 816.7 Mio. Hohe annualisierte Eigenkapitalrendite von 14.2 % (15.9 % im ersten Semester 2011) Solvency 1 Ratio auf einem konstant sehr soliden Niveau von 249.4 % (234.4 % per Ende 2011) Nationale Suisse erzielte im ersten Halbjahr 2012 einen erfreulichen Gewinnanstieg. Trotz dem nach wie vor sehr schwierigen Umfeld weist die Versicherungsgruppe ein nachhaltiges, rein organisches Prämienwachstum aus. Sämtliche Zahlen sind um die Einmaleffekte, welche sich durch die vorzeitige Anwendung des geänderten IFRSStandards IAS 19 ergaben, bereinigt. Dieses war insbesondere getrieben vom Segment Nichtleben Schweiz. Gleichzeitig zeigt Nationale Suisse im Nichtlebengeschäft eine exzellente Combined Ratio. Zudem verbesserte sich die bereits hohe Solvency 1 Ratio erneut. Für das Geschäftsjahr 2012 bleibt Nationale Suisse verhalten optimistisch. Die wichtigsten Kennzahlen des Semesterergebnisses 2012 auf einen Blick: Gesteigerter Gewinn und Solvency 1 Ratio auf konstant hohem Niveau Nationale Suisse erzielte im ersten Semester 2012 einen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr um 7.4 % höheren Gewinn von CHF 56.8 Mio. "Diese Steigerung konnten wir trotz dem nach wie vor sehr schwierigen Wirtschaftsumfeld erzielen", hält CEO Hans Künzle fest. Steigerung des Konzerngewinns um 7.4 % auf CHF 56.8 Mio. Nachhaltiges, rein organisches Wachstum der Bruttoprämien um währungsbereinigt 3.4 % Stattliches Prämienwachstum der Specialty Lines von 14.6 % ohne Berücksichtigung des konjunkturabhängigen Credit-LifeGeschäfts "Gerade in den Auslandmärkten spürten wir die europäische Schuldenkrise, konnten aber dennoch auf Gruppenstufe ein nachhaltiges, rein organisches Wachstum der Bruttoprämie verzeichnen." Währungsbereinigt resultierte ein Prämienanstieg von 3.4 % auf CHF 909.9 Mio. (VJ CHF 894.3 Mio.). 186 Schweiz Gegenüber Ende 2011 konnte das Eigenkapital per 30.06.2012 um 2.7 % auf CHF 816.7 Mio. gesteigert werden. Die Solvency 1 Ratio liegt damit trotz der Belastung aus der vorzeitigen Anwendung des geänderten Standards von IAS 19 auf einem konstant sehr soliden Niveau von 249.4 %. stiegen, ist auf die Steigerung von beeindruckenden 9.4 % im von den Schweizer Nichtlebeneinheiten gezeichneten Geschäft zurückzuführen. Die Specialty Lines haben ohne Berücksichtigung des konjunkturabhängigen Credit-Life-Geschäfts mit einem stattlichen zweistelligen Wachstum von 14.6 % entscheidend zum Gesamtwachstum der Gruppe beigetragen (inklusive Credit Life +4.1 %). Vorzeitige Anwendung von IAS 19 revised und Anpassung im Pensionskassen-Reglement Der Halbjahresabschluss 2012 ist von zwei Besonderheiten geprägt: Einerseits wurde der geänderte IFRS-Standard IAS 19 für das Geschäftsjahr 2012 bereits umgesetzt. Durch die Anpassung der Vorperioden resultiert per 31.12.2011 daher ein um CHF 119.5 Mio. tieferes Konzerneigenkapital von CHF 795.0 Mio. Zudem führte die Anpassung in der Vorperiode zu höheren Vorsorgekosten, welche den Halbjahresgewinn 2011 um CHF 1.0 Mio. auf CHF 53.0 Mio. schmälerten. Im Halbjahresabschluss 2012 wurde das HNWI-Geschäft (High Net Worth Individuals) von der Specialty Line HNWI/Art in das Zielgruppengeschäft umgegliedert, was den Anteil der Specialty-Lines-Prämien am Gesamtvolumen entsprechend beeinflusste. Er konnte von 30.6 % (angepasst um HNWI) auf aktuell 30.8 % gesteigert werden. Anderseits wurde das Pensionskassen-Reglement in der Schweiz angepasst, was den Semestergewinn 2012 einmalig um CHF 6.8 Mio. (nach Steuern) erhöhte. Der Gewinn des fortgeführten Geschäfts verbesserte sich ohne diesen Einmaleffekt um 6.8 % auf CHF 50.0 Mio. Nichtlebengeschäft mit exzellenter Combined Ratio Im ersten Halbjahr 2012 konnte Nationale Suisse im Nichtlebengeschäft die Combined Ratio dank einer anhaltend tiefen Schadenbelastung sowie erheblich tieferen Kosten auf ein exzellentes Niveau von 91.5 % senken (VJ 94.7 %). Starkes Prämienwachstum Nichtleben getrieben vom Segment Nichtleben Schweiz Dass die Bruttoprämien Nichtleben der Gruppe insgesamt im ersten Halbjahr 2012 währungsbereinigt stark um 6.7 % 187 Schweiz Der Schadensatz der Gruppe fiel um 0.6 Prozentpunkte auf 60.0 %, was unter anderem auf die im vergangenen Jahr abgeschlossene Portfoliosanierung in Belgien zurückzuführen ist. beabsichtigt Nationale Suisse, im Lebensegment zu profitablem Wachstum zurückzufinden. Starkes Anlageresultat ohne Einmaleffekte - merkliche Spuren der rekordtiefen Zinsen Die kontinuierliche Ausrichtung des Portfolios auf Anlagen mit guter Kreditqualität ermöglichte ungeachtet der Schulden- und Finanzkrise der Eurozone ein starkes Anlageresultat ohne Einmaleffekte. Der Kostensatz konnte sogar um 2.6 Prozentpunkte auf 31.5 % gesenkt werden. Hier zeigen sich insbesondere die positiven einmaligen Auswirkungen der Änderung im Schweizer Pensionskassen-Reglement, aber auch die Ergebnisse aus den Massnahmen zur Verbesserung der Effizienz im Kundenservice und Vertrieb im Schweizer Geschäft. Mit CHF 83.2 Mio. lag der Nettoertrag aus Kapitalanlagen 10.9 % tiefer als im ersten Semester 2011. Die annualisierte Kapitalanlagerendite erreichte in der Berichtsperiode 3.4 % (VJ 3.6 %). Darin machen sich die Spuren der rekordtiefen Zinsen nun deutlicher bemerkbar. Produktbezogene Neuausrichtung im Lebengeschäft aufgrund historisch tiefer Zinsen Die bewusst selektive Zeichnung von traditionellem Einmalprämiengeschäft mit Zinsgarantien und das aufgrund seiner Konjunkturabhängigkeit rückläufige Credit-Life-Geschäft bewirkten im ersten Semester 2012 einen Rückgang der Lebenprämien um währungsbereinigt 14.5 % auf CHF 118.6 Mio. Der Anteil der Festverzinslichen wurde im ersten Semester 2012 um 1.4 Prozentpunkte auf 69.0 % abgebaut. Im Rahmen der Umschichtung aus dem Finanzsektor zu anderen privaten Schuldnern sind die überdurchschnittliche Qualität des Obligationenportfolios und die hohe Marktgängigkeit erhalten geblieben. Angesichts des historisch tiefen Zinsniveaus setzt Nationale Suisse auf eine Neuausrichtung des Lebengeschäfts. Attraktive und kapitalschonende Produkte - speziell im Bereich Zielgruppen - sind dabei zentral. Mit dieser Neupositionierung 188 Schweiz Die bereits stark reduzierte Exponierung gegenüber GIIPSStaaten wurde weiter abgebaut. Sie besteht grösstenteils aus italienischen Staatsanleihen, welche im Anlagebestand der italienischen Lebengesellschaft gehalten werden. Kapitalanlagerendite. Trotz diesen herausfordernden Bedingungen sind wir für das Geschäftsjahr 2012 verhalten optimistisch." ... Kurzprofil Nationale Suisse ist eine innovative, international tätige und unabhängige Schweizer Versicherungsgruppe, die attraktive Risiko- und Vorsorgelösungen in den Bereichen Nichtleben und Leben sowie zunehmend auch massgeschneiderte Specialty-Lines-Deckungen anbietet. Die Bruttoprämien belaufen sich konsolidiert auf 1.5 Milliarden Schweizer Franken (2011). Die Gruppe umfasst das Stammhaus und rund 20 Tochtergesellschaften und Niederlassungen, die mit fokussierten Produktlinien in den Versicherungsmärkten Schweiz, Italien, Spanien, Deutschland, Belgien, Liechtenstein, Malaysia, Lateinamerika und Türkei tätig sind. Der Hauptsitz der Schweizerischen National-VersicherungsGesellschaft AG ist in Basel. Die Aktie der Gesellschaft ist an der SIX Swiss Exchange kotiert (NATN). Am 30. Juni 2012 beschäftigte die Gruppe 1 877 Mitarbeiterinnen und Mitarbeiter (Vollzeitstellen). Ihre Ansprechspartner Remo Meier Investor Relations Tel. +41 61 275 22 45 Fax +41 61 275 22 21 [email protected] Nationale Suisse Steinengraben 41 4003 Basel Schweiz ... Durch die Aufstockung von Qualitätstiteln mit hohen Dividendenrenditen stieg der Aktienanteil von 3.1 % auf 4.9 % (nach Absicherung 4.2 %). Ausblick: Versicherungstechnik stimmt positiv, tiefe Zinsen erschweren Anlagetätigkeit Die Unsicherheit, welche von der Entwicklung der Europeripherie ausgeht, dürfte das Wirtschaftsumfeld weiterhin beeinträchtigen und die Versicherungsmärkte bleiben unter Druck. Somit haben Versicherungstechnik, insbesondere Risikoselektion, Zielgruppenfokussierung und Preisgestaltung, sowie Kostenbewusstsein nach wie vor hohe Priorität. Aus den Unwettern von Anfang Juli 2012 resultierten für Nationale Suisse in der Schweiz Schäden von brutto rund CHF 8 Mio. CEO Hans Künzle kommentiert: "Für das versicherungstechnische Geschäft im Gesamtjahr 2012 sind wir aber positiv gestimmt. Die Anlagetätigkeit bleibt anspruchsvoll und die rekordtiefen Zinsen nagen weiter an der 189 Schweiz Nationale Suisse stärkt das Profil Mit sogenannten Specialty Lines (Spezialversicherungen wie Engineering, Marine, Kunst etc.) ist Nationale bestrebt, sich ein unverwechselbares Profil zu geben. Der Anteil von 30% am Prämienvolumen der Gruppe soll bis 2014 auf 40% ausgedehnt werden. CH Versicherer auf gutem Weg Der Einstieg von Mobiliar und das verstärkte Engagement von Helvetia haben zu einer «Beruhigung und Stabilisierung» im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse beigetragen. CEO Hans Künzle verfocht an der Präsentation zum Halbjahresergebnis die Meinung, das Ziel des Versicherers, eigenständig zu bleiben, sei gestärkt worden. Der Semesterausweis liefert keinen konkreten Anlass, an der Selbständigkeit von Nationale zu zweifeln. Im Ausland halfen Sanierungsmassnahmen in Belgien, wieder einen kleinen Gewinn zu erwirtschaften. Das Verhältnis Kosten zu Prämien der Gruppe ging auf 91,5% (94,7) zurück, wozu die erwähnte Reduktion des Diskontsatzes 1,2 Prozentpunkte beitrug. Ohne Sondereffekte stieg der Gewinn 6,8%, mit waren es 7,4%: Im ersten Semester 2011 hatte ein Gewinn aus dem Verkauf des Kollektivlebengeschäfts (BVG) das Resultat verbessert, dieses Jahr kam Nationale eine Änderung im Pensionskassenreglement (Senkung des Diskontsatzes zur Berechnung der Vorsorgeverbindlichkeiten) in der Schweiz zugute. Trotz Verbesserung unbefriedigend bleibt das Auslandgeschäft mit 101,5% (111,3). Auch die grösseren Helvetia und Bâloise bekunden Mühe, ausserhalb des Heimmarktes auf einen grünen Zweig zu kommen. Das Lebengeschäft trägt wenig zum Gesamtgewinn bei. Niedrige Zinsen, verschärfte behördliche Auflagen und intensiver Wettbewerb belasten die Rentabilität. Nach der Bereinigung des Portfolios lautet das Ziel, den Bereich mit der Lancierung kapitalschonender Produkte besser zu positionieren. Schweiz hochprofitabel Der Ausstieg aus dem Pensionsgeschäft, das im Vorjahressemester einen Gewinn von 6 Mio. Fr. beisteuerte, hat das Profil von Nationale als Sach- und Haftpflichtversicherer geschärft. In der Schweiz ist das Geschäft hochprofitabel. 190 Schweiz Das Anlageresultat fiel mit einer annualisierten Rendite von 3,4% solide aus. Bemerkenswert: Nationale hat den Aktienanteil von 3,1 auf 4,9% erhöht, indem sie Qualitätstitel mit hoher Dividendenrendite zugekauft hat. Nicht schlafraubend Einen Sondereffekt gab es auch im Eigenkapital. Weil Nationale neue IAS-Regeln zur Personalvorsorge vorzeitig anwendete, schrumpfte das Eigenkapital 120 Mio. Fr. Finanzchef Thomas Widmer hat deswegen aber «keine schlaflosen Nächte». Die Gruppe sei auch im Swiss Solvency Test (SST) gemäss Finma-Vorgabe ausreichend kapitalisiert. Der Fortsetzung der Dividendenpolitik stehe nichts im Weg. Eine durchdachte Strategie und der hohe Anteil mehrerer Wettbewerber mit meldepflichtigen Anteilen sprechen dafür, dass ein Engagement in Nationale nicht ganz falsch ist. As, FuW Nr. 71, 08.09.2012, p. 7 191 Schweiz Schutzwall um Nationale gefestigt Deutschlands überrascht nicht, musste sie doch während der Finanzkrise Staatshilfe in Anspruch nehmen und ist dabei, nicht strategische Beteiligungen abzubauen. Schweiz Sechs Versicherer halten die Aktienmehrheit – Helvetia und Mobiliar neue Kernaktionäre – Stimmrecht auf 5% beschränkt Arno Schmocker Die Mobiliar betrachtet ihr Engagement «strategischer Natur», wie sich Pressesprecher Peter Marthaler ausdrückt. Die beiden Unternehmen arbeiten im Bereich Motorfahrzeuge zusammen, indem die Mobiliar für Nationale Suisse die Schadeninspektion wahrnimmt. Umgekehrt wird die Idee gewälzt, dass Nationale für die Berner ihre Spezialität Kunstversicherung anbietet. Wenn sich im Aktionariat von Nationale Suisse etwas tut, horchen die Anleger auf. Der Anbieter von Spezialversicherungen gilt seit Jahren als Übernahmeziel in der Branche. Nun sind Helvetia und Mobiliar neu zum Club der Kernaktionäre gestossen. Damit halten sechs Versicherer, zum Teil Konkurrenten, 55% des Kapitals von Nationale – eine an der Schweizer Börse einmalige Konstellation. Was steckt hinter den Verschiebungen im Aktionariat? Zum grössten Einzelaktionär von Nationale Suisse mit 12,05% rückt Helvetia vor. Es handle sich um ein «Finanzengagement», kommentiert Martin Nellen, Mediensprecher von Helvetia. Nationale sei solide finanziert und wie Helvetia in einigen Märkten positioniert, die Wachstum versprächen. Bislang beschränkt sich die Kooperation der beiden Versicherer auf den IT-Bereich in Italien. Weiter gehende Vorschläge würden geprüft, sagt Nellen. Die Helvetia-Gruppe hat von der Basler Kantonalbank eine Beteiligung von 7,7% übernommen. Die Bank verbucht mit der Transaktion einen Gewinn von knapp 15 Mio. Fr. Während für die Basler KB der strategische Charakter der Beteiligung nicht mehr gegeben war, wird die seit 2007 bestehende Produktkooperation zwischen ihrer Tochter Bank Coop und Nationale weitergeführt. Weniger zurückhaltend ist der CEO von Nationale Suisse, Hans Künzle, im Gespräch mit «Finanz und Wirtschaft»: «Es muss etwas passieren.» Unterschiedliche Motive Gleichzeitig hat die Landesbank Baden-Württemberg (LBBW) ihren 2006 erworbenen Nationale-Anteil von 11,4% an die Mobiliar veräussert. Der Schritt der grössten Landesbank 192 Schweiz Konkret setzt Künzle darauf, dass die Zusammenarbeit mit jedem «Kernaktionär» erweitert wird. Nationale habe sich als Spezialversicherer positioniert. Es zähle zur Schlüsselkompetenz des Unternehmens, Partnerschaften einzugehen. Am Willen von Nationale werde es nicht fehlen, betont Künzle. Helvetia erneut auf eine Übernahme des kleineren Basler Versicherers spekuliert wird. Bâloise auf Distanz Für eine Zusammenarbeit braucht es immer zwei. Mit Bâloise, die seit gut zehn Jahren 10% des Aktienkapitals hält, haben sich offenbar keine Anknüpfungspunkte ergeben. Künzle zählt den Konkurrenten auf dem Platz Basel denn auch nicht zur Kategorie der «Kernaktionäre». Das Engagement von Helvetia und Mobiliar ist vielleicht einfach Ausdruck dafür, dass Nationale Suisse vieles richtig macht, die Aktien bezogen auf den Buchwert unterbewertet und mit über 4% Dividendenrendite im heutigen Niedrigzinsumfeld nicht zu verachten sind. Doch die sechs Grossaktionäre halten sich gegenseitig in Schach. Ausserdem hält Nationale Suisse an der Stimmrechtsbeschränkung von 5% für Aktionäre eisern fest. FuW Nr. 69, 01.09.2012, p. 6 An der Telefonkonferenz von Bâloise zum Halbjahresergebnis sagte CEO Martin Strobel zu den Transaktionen in Nationale lediglich, es handle sich um eine markante Veränderung im Aktionariat, deren Auswirkungen man prüfen werde. Dass Bâloise vor einigen Jahren eine Erhöhung des genehmigten Kapitals von Nationale abgelehnt hat, deutet ebenfalls auf ein distanziertes Verhältnis hin. Die Nationale-Aktien wurden am Donnerstag reger als üblich gehandelt und reagierten mit einem Kursgewinn. Seit Anfang Jahr haben sie 15% gewonnen. Gut möglich, dass mit dem Einstieg von Mobiliar und dem Ausbau der Beteiligung durch 193 Schweiz 194 Schweiz 195 Schweiz 196 Schweiz www.fuw.ch UNTERNEHMEN / FINANZ 09:19 3. SEP 2012 Höhere Naturgrossschäden wegen Frost, Sturm und Hagel In der Nichtlebensparte verschlechterte sich die Combined Ratio (netto) leicht auf 93,1%, nach 92,5%. Der Gewinn der Nichtlebensparte ging auf 84,2 Mio. Fr., nach zuvor 90,1 Mio., zurück. Robustes Ergebnis von Helvetia Der Erstversicherer erlitt als Folge von Grossschäden einen Gewinnrückgang. Die Erwartungen der Analysten wurden dennoch übertroffen. Naturereignisse wie der Frost im Februar, der «Andrea»Sturm im Januar, Hagel und Erdbeben hätten den SchadenKosten-Satz der Gruppe mit insgesamt 2,1 Prozentpunkten belastet, während 2011 keine derartigen Grossschäden stattfanden. Aus den Hagelunwetter im Juli dürfte eine Schadenbelastung im Gesamtjahr von 0,5 bis zu 1 Prozentpunkt entstehen. (AWP/CD) Die Versicherungsgruppe Helvetia weist für das erste Halbjahr 2012 ein robustes und über den Erwartungen liegendes Ergebnis aus. In einem herausfordernden Marktumfeld gingen Gewinn sowie Geschäftsvolumen nur leicht zurück, und die Gruppe bleibt weiterhin stark kapitalisiert. Robust zeigte sich die Gewinnentwicklung im Lebengeschäft: Der Gewinn stieg um 7% auf 66,3 Mio. Fr. Diese Stärke nutzt Helvetia, um den Wachstumskurs mit gezielten Akquisitionen fortzusetzen. Die Aktien notieren im frühen Handel 0,2% höher. Hoher Ertrag aus Anlagen Mit den Kapitalanlagen erwirtschaftete die Gruppe eine direkte Rendite von annualisiert 2,9% und eine Anlageperformance von 2,3%. Das Ergebnis aus Anlagen und Liegenschaften stieg auf 543 Mio. Fr., nach 454 Mio. Fr. im Vorjahr. Der Gewinn sank in der Berichtsperiode um 5,2% auf 162,7 Mio. Fr., übertraf damit aber die Analystenprognosen von 155,7 Mio. Die Helvetia- Gruppe habe erneut ein robustes Ergebnis erzielt, wird CEO Stefan Loacker in der Mitteilung vom Montag zitiert. Gute operative Resultate und eine solide Anlagepolitik hätten dazu beigetragen. Die annualisierte Eigenkapitalrendite wird mit 8,9%, nach 10,4% im Vorjahr, angegeben. Auch im ersten Halbjahr 2012 habe die europäische Schuldenkrise für das Anlage- und Risikomanagement von Helvetia eine Bewährungsprobe dargestellt. 197 Schweiz Mit dem breit diversizierten Anlageportfolio seien so stabile laufende Erträge und Bewertungsgewinne erzielt worden. Der moderate Wertrückgang auf italienischen und spanischen Staatsanleihen sei durch den Anstieg der Eidgenossen sowie von erstklassigen Emittenten bei weitem kompensiert worden. (AS) Seit vergangener Woche ist Helvetia mit 12,1% der grösste Einzelaktionär von Nationale Suisse. «Uns ist ein Paket angeboten worden, und wir haben die Gelegenheit gern genutzt», erläuterte Stefan Loacker, CEO der St. Galler Versicherungsgruppe, an einer Telefonkonferenz zum ersten Semester. Das Geschäftsvolumen der Gruppe sank in Franken um 2,4% auf 4,53 Mrd. Fr. im Vergleich zum Vorjahr. In Lokalwährungen betrug der Rückgang 0,7%. Der Preis habe sich am Substanzwert des Basler Versicherers orientiert. Er übertrifft den Börsenkurs derzeit um 12%. Helvetia dürfte für das zusätzliche 7,7%- Engagement also etwa 70 Mio. Fr. bezahlt haben; sie war zuvor schon seit Jahren mit 4,4% an Nationale beteiligt gewesen. In der Nichtlebensparte wuchsen die Prämieneinnahmen währungsbereinigt um 2,1%, in der Lebensversicherung gingen sie um 2% zurück. Aufgrund der tiefen Neuanlagenzinsen in der Schweiz zeichnete die Helvetia BVG-Neugeschäft deutlich selektiver als im Vorjahr. Ein erfreuliches Wachstum in den übrigen Sparten habe den daraus entstandenen Prämienrückgang weitgehend kompensiert. Helvetia wird die Beteiligung laut Loacker langfristig halten. Die bislang erst in Ansätzen bestehende Kooperation soll vor allem in Auslandmärkten «selektiv vertieft» werden. NationaleChef Hans Künzle hatte versichert, an seinem Unternehmen werde es nicht liegen, wenn es um eine Ausweitung von Partnerschaften gehe. Akquisitionen werden noch 2012 abgeschlossen Die beiden Akquisitionen – ein Transportversicherungsportfolio in Frankreich und ein Einzellebenportfolio im Schweizer Heimmarkt werden, die Zustimmung der Aufsichtsorgane vorausgesetzt, noch 2012 abgeschlossen. Ob daraus einmal mehr wird, ist offen. Helvetia ist auf jeden Fall nicht abgeneigt, Gelegenheiten beim Schopf zu packen. 2010 übernahm sie in der Schweiz die beiden Versicherungsgesellschaften Alba und Phenix. In diesem Jahr hat sie zwei weitere Zukäufe angekündigt. Beteiligung an Nationale Suisse 198 Schweiz In Frankreich verbessert sich die Gruppe im Bereich Transportversicherung durch die Integration eines Portfolios von 150 Mio. € von der fünften auf die zweite Position, mit einem Marktanteil von 20%. Den Kaufpreis von 38,5 Mio. € berappte Helvetia aus frei verfügbaren Eigenmitteln. Vergangene Woche folgte die Ankündigung, die SEV Versicherung zu übernehmen – gemäss Philipp Gmür, CEO Schweiz von Helvetia, «eine der seltenen Möglichkeiten, im ertragsstarken Markt Schweiz akquisitorisch zu wachsen». Zusammen werden die beiden Übernahmen das Prämienvolumen um 200 Mio. Fr. bzw. 3% erhöhen und bereits 2013 einen Gewinnbeitrag liefern. 199 Schweiz Helvetia packt die Gelegenheiten 2010 übernahm sie in der Schweiz die beiden Versicherungsgesellschaften Alba und Phenix. Schweiz Beteiligung an Nationale ist «langfristig» – Ergänzende Zukäufe – Aktien sind kaufenswert In diesem Jahr hat sie zwei weitere Zukäufe angekündigt. In Frankreich verbessert sich die Gruppe im Bereich Transportversicherung durch die Integration eines Portfolios von 150 Mio. € von der fünften auf die zweite Position, mit einem Marktanteil von 20%. Den Kaufpreis von 38,5 Mio. € berappte Helvetia aus frei verfügbaren Eigenmitteln. Seit vergangener Woche ist Helvetia mit 12,1% der grösste Einzelaktionär von Nationale Suisse. «Uns ist ein Paket angeboten worden, und wir haben die Gelegenheit gern genutzt», erläuterte Stefan Loacker, CEO der St. Galler Versicherungsgruppe, an einer Telefonkonferenz zum ersten Semester. Der Preis habe sich am Substanzwert des Basler Versicherers orientiert. Er übertrifft den Börsenkurs derzeit um 12%. Helvetia dürfte für das zusätzliche 7,7%-Engagement also etwa 70 Mio. Fr. bezahlt haben; sie war zuvor schon seit Jahren mit 4,4% an Nationale beteiligt gewesen. Vergangene Woche folgte die Ankündigung, die SEV Versicherung zu übernehmen – gemäss Philipp Gmür, CEO Schweiz von Helvetia, «eine der seltenen Möglichkeiten, im ertragsstarken Markt Schweiz akquisitorisch zu wachsen». Zusammen werden die beiden Übernahmen das Prämienvolumen um 200 Mio. Fr. bzw. 3% erhöhen und bereits 2013 einen Gewinnbeitrag liefern. Helvetia wird die Beteiligung laut Loacker langfristig halten. Die bislang erst in Ansätzen bestehende Kooperation soll vor allem in Auslandmärkten «selektiv vertieft» werden. NationaleChef Hans Künzle hatte versichert, an seinem Unternehmen werde es nicht liegen, wenn es um eine Ausweitung von Partnerschaften gehe. Wende in Deutschland Im ersten Semester sei Helvetia nach dem zweistelligen Wachstum 2011 in einer Konsolidierungsphase, sagte Loacker. Namentlich im Bereich der beruflichen Vorsorge (BVG) wurde Neugeschäft selektiver gezeichnet. Das gesamte Prämienvolumen war leicht rückläufig. Der 5% niedrigere Gewinn entsprach den Erwartungen der Finanzanalysten. Schlag auf Schlag Ob daraus einmal mehr wird, ist offen. Helvetia ist auf jeden Fall nicht abgeneigt, Gelegenheiten beim Schopf zu packen. 200 Schweiz Rund 12% weniger, aber immer noch zwei Drittel des Gewinns stammten aus dem Heimmarkt. In Deutschland gelang, nach Tarifanpassungen im Motorfahrzeugbereich, die Rückkehr in die schwarzen Zahlen. Im Nichtlebengeschäft blieb der Kosten-Schaden-Satz (Combined Ratio) mit 93,1% (92,5) auf sehr gutem Niveau. Naturereignisse beeinträchtigten das Verhältnis um 2,1 Prozentpunkte. Der Segmentgewinn ging 84 (91) Mio. Fr. zurück. Im Lebensegment resultierte hingegen, trotz Niedrigzinsumfeld, mit 66 (62) Mio. Fr. ein höheres Resultat. Wiederum solide war die Rendite der Kapitalanlagen mit annualisiert 3%. Sie ermöglicht eine «gesunde Marge» (Loacker) nach Abzug der Zinsgarantien an die Versicherten. Solvenz und Bilanz erlauben weitere Ergänzungsakquisitionen und eine Fortsetzung der grosszügigen Dividendenpolitik. Mit einem Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis von 0,8 sind die Aktien fundamental unterbewertet, zählt Helvetia doch zu den risikoarmen Branchenvertretern. AS, FuW Nr. 70, 05.09.2012, p. 6 201 Schweiz 202 Schweiz 203 Schweiz FuW.ch UNTERNEHMEN / SCHWEIZ 16:22 28. AUG 2012 Die jährliche inländische Prämiensumme von rund 55 Mrd. Fr. bzw. fast 7000 Fr. je Bewohner wirkt dennoch enorm. «Versicherer sind finanzsystemstützend» THOMAS HENGARTNER Wir sind eines der bestversicherten Länder der Welt, was mit dem überdurchschnittlichen Wohlstand unserer Bevölkerung zusammenhängt. Ein erheblicher Teil der vereinnahmten Prämien fliesst jedoch als Versicherungsleistungen – nach Sach- oder Haftpflichtschäden bzw. durch Ablauf von Lebensund Vorsorgeverträgen – zurück an die Menschen und in die Wirtschaft. Nach Bezahlung von Gehältern, Betriebskosten und Steuern bleiben 5 bis 10% der Wertschöpfung als Gewinn zur Verzinsung des Risikokapitals und für die Innovation. Urs Berger, der Präsident des Schweizer Versicherungsverbandes, fordert im Interview mit «Finanz und Wirtschaft» angepasste Aufsichtsregeln und verteidigt die Ertragsaufteilung im Vorsorgegeschäft. Versicherer sind, gemessen an der Pro-Kopf-Wertschöpfung, die produktivste Branche der Schweiz. Knapp 50 000 Mitarbeitende – also lediglich 1% der landesweit Erwerbstätigen – erwirtschaften 24,3 Mrd. Fr. bzw. 4,3% des gesamten Bruttoinlandprodukts. Was setzen Sie dem Vorwurf entgegen, auf dem Pensionsgeschäft würden unverhältnismässige Überschüsse erzielt? Herr Berger, streichen die Versicherer überhöhte Gewinnmargen ein? Die im BVG-Segment aktiven Unternehmen legen jährlich eine detaillierte Betriebsrechnung vor. Daraus geht hervor, dass von den Bruttoeinnahmen des Vorsorgegeschäfts in der Regel um die 95% – und somit deutlich mehr als die vorgeschriebenen mindestens 90% – über Leistungen und Rückstellungen an die Kunden gehen. Nein, der Wettbewerbsdruck begrenzt die erzielbare Verdienstspanne. Durch unseren Wirtschaftssektor fliessen jedoch sehr grosse Geldmittel, weshalb wir Versicherer wie auch die Banken hochproduktive Zweige sind. Wesentlich für die volkswirtschaftliche Wertschöpfungsrechnung unserer Branche ist wohl, dass die Unternehmen die Dienste in grossem Umfang selbst erbringen und nur geringe externe Vorleistungen abzuziehen sind. 204 Schweiz Dabei garantieren die Versicherer, anders als die Pensionskassen, vollständig für Kapital und Zinsen. Bezogen auf das dafür zu reservierende Risikokapital ist die Gewinnmarge im Vergleich zu anderen Versicherungssparten unterdurchschnittlich. Wir lehnen deshalb das Begehren der politischen Linken strikt ab, den vorerwähnten Ertragsschlüssel zulasten der Versicherer abzuändern. gegenüber Branche und Land vorgegangen wird. Wichtig ist mir festzuhalten, dass die Schweizer Versicherer solche Insurance Wrapper nur für Vermögen anbieten, die im Domizilland des Kunden versteuert sind. Diesen Ansatz transparent zu machen und durchzusetzen, ist wichtig und richtig für das Mantelgeschäft, das latent immer wieder in Zusammenhang mit angeblicher Steuerhinterziehung gebracht wird. Droht deshalb Ihre Branche mit dem Rückzug aus dem Vorsorgegeschäft? Wechseln wir zu den Sach-, Haftpflicht- und Unfallversicherungen, deren Volumen seit Jahren nur mehr schwach wächst. Wird die Konjunkturverlangsamung gar eine Stagnation provozieren? Nein. Ich höre von keinem unserer Mitglieder, dass ein Ausstieg erwogen wird. Allerdings wird diese Frage im Falle geänderter Rahmenbedingungen sicher neu gestellt werden. Es ist auch die anhaltende Niedrigzinslage, die das garantielastige Pensionsgeschäft – aber auch Teile der übrigen Lebensversicherungen – massiv erschwert. Nur noch schwer findet sich eine risikoarme und dennoch genügend einträgliche Anlagestrategie. Unsere Branche bemüht sich, mit innovativen Produkten veränderte Bedürfnisse abzudecken. Zudem geht ein Nachfrageimpuls von der Zunahme der Landesbevölkerung und der Gesundheitskostenentwicklung aus. Angegriffen werden die Versicherer, die über ausländische Tochtergesellschaften sogenannte Versicherungsmäntel um Grossvermögen begüterter Privater anbieten. Wie verteidigen Sie diese politisch heikle Geschäftssparte? Stossend ist in diesem Zusammenhang die Expansion einiger öffentlich-rechtlicher Wettbewerber. Die kantonale Gebäudeversicherung von Glarus und von Bern und auch die Schweizerische Unfallversicherung Suva stossen mit staatlicher Rückendeckung zunehmend in bislang den Privatversicherern vorbehaltene Geschäftssegmente vor. Aus den Besprechungen mit den betreffenden Unternehmen habe ich den Eindruck gewonnen, dass verantwortungsvoll 205 Schweiz In der Gesundheitsversicherung wollen politische Kreise erneut die Einheitskrankenkasse schaffen, womit die untereinander in nützlicher Konkurrenz stehenden privaten Anbieter ausgebootet würden. Da stellt sich auch die Frage nach der Systemrelevanz der Versicherungswirtschaft, da gerade die grossen Branchenunternehmen Verpflichtungen von Hunderten von Milliarden Franken auf dem Buch haben. Während Monaten hat Ihr Verband sich beschwert, die Finanzmarktaufsicht würde den Schweizer Solvenztest SST zu rigide durchführen. Hat die Branche nun Erleichterungen erhalten? Selbst die Grössten unserer Branche haben in keinem Geschäftsfeld eine dominante Stellung. Der Ausfall eines dieser Unternehmen wäre nicht ansteckend, da die Versicherer untereinander nur wenige Geschäftsbeziehungen haben. Es sind noch nicht alle strittigen Punkte geregelt, aber wir stehen mit der Finma in einem konstruktiven Dialog. Mit dem SST sind wir in der Schweiz erheblich weiter als die anderen europäischen Länder, die noch am ähnlich konzipierten Solvenz-II-Regime arbeiten. Schweizer Anbieter mit EuropaAktivitäten sind somit zwischen zwei ungleichen Aufsichtsnormen eingeklemmt. Dies betrifft auch die Rückversicherung, weil Erstversicherer ihren Bedarf immer auf mehrere Rückversicherer aufteilen. Illiquidität bzw. Zahlungsunfähigkeit ist in unserer Branche selbst für ein angeschlagenes Unternehmen – anders als im Banksektor – unwahrscheinlich, da Versicherungsverpflichtungen nur im Schadenfall bzw. bei Fristablauf einverlangt werden können. Wir fordern, die hiesige Finanzmarktbeaufsichtigung besser mit der erst entstehenden neuen europäischen Norm abzustimmen. Absehbar ist, dass dazu das Versicherungsaufsichtsgesetz geändert werden muss. Wenn der politische Prozess im Parlament die nötige Anpassung verzögert, entsteht unseren Unternehmen unnötigerweise ein Wettbewerbsnachteil gegenüber europäischen Konkurrenten. Eine systemische Gefährdung kann jedoch dann geschehen, wenn die Versicherer ihre milliardenhohen Investments wegen Vorkommnissen am Finanzmarkt gesamthaft und gleichzeitig umschichten würden. 206 Schweiz Unsere Unternehmen haben die Anlagestrategie langfristig stabil ausgelegt, sodass auch heftige kurzfristige Bewegungen am Finanzmarkt keine volumenreichen Umschichtungen provozieren. Berger begann seine Laufbahn in einem Versicherungsbroker. Danach wechselte er zur Zurich-Gruppe und später zur Bâloise, wo er 1999 die Leitung des Heimmarktgeschäfts übertragen erhielt. Er wirkt u. a. im Verwaltungsrat der deutschen Gothaer Versicherungsgenossenschaft. Die Planbarkeit eines Grossteils der Versicherungsverpflichtungen macht unsere Branche vielmehr zu einem Stabilisator des Finanzsystems. Das trifft derzeit besonders für den Immobilienmarkt zu. Einzelne Banken stossen selbst genutzte Liegenschaften ab, um das Eigenkapital zu stärken. Die Assekuranz ist am Erwerb solcher Objekte interessiert, da sie eine wertstabile Geldanlage mit langfristig vertraglich gesichertem Vermietertrag sind. FuW.ch 28.08.2012 Zur Person Urs Berger ist seit Mitte 2011 Präsident des Schweizerischen Versicherungsverbands, der die Interessen der Erst-, Rückund Krankenversicherer vertritt. Im gleichen Jahr wurde der 61-Jährige auch zum Präsidenten der Mobiliar Versicherung und ihrer Besitzergenossenschaft gewählt. Zuvor hatte der Ökonom die Mobiliar während acht Jahren operativ geleitet. 207 Schweiz 208 Schweiz NZZ.CH langem sehr niedrigen Zinsen und um Lockerungen hinsichtlich aufsichtsrechtlicher Interventionen gehe. Zum Ersten kann in den Jahren 2013, 2014 und 2015 die Bewertung von Verbindlichkeiten auch anhand einer risikobehafteten Zinskurve – und nicht der risikolosen Zinskurve – vorgenommen werden. In der Praxis führt dies dazu, dass Altbestände dank höherem Diskontzins leichter werden. Swiss Solvency Test Luft zum Atmen für die Lebensversicherer Die Eidgenössische Finanzmarktaufsicht lässt eine laxere Bewertung von Verpflichtungen zu, was vor allem Lebensversicherern helfen soll. Die ultraniedrigen Zinsen und Verzögerungen bei der «EU Solvency II» sind Gründe für die Aufweichung. nz. Schnieper erinnert daran, dass die Zinsen, gemessen an der Rendite zehnjähriger Bundesobligationen, innerhalb eines Jahres nochmals stark abschmolzen, und zwar von 1,5% auf unter 0,7%. Die schwierigen Marktverhältnisse lassen es bei der Umsetzung des Swiss Solvency Test (SST) als ratsam erscheinen, mit Augenmass und einem Schuss Pragmatik ans Werk zu gehen. Wie der Direktor der Eidgenössischen Finanzmarktaufsicht (Finma), Patrick Raaflaub, bereits Anfang Monat hatte durchblicken lassen (NZZ 4. 9. 12), werden jetzt temporär geltende Erleichterungen des SST vorgeschlagen. Ein entsprechendes Rundschreiben ist soeben veröffentlicht worden, nachdem der Bundesrat einer Änderung der Aufsichtsverordnung bezüglich der Definition der für das Diskontieren von Verbindlichkeiten verwendeten Zinskurve zugestimmt hatte. Neu sollen zur Herleitung des Diskontsatzes Swapsätze, mit einem Abschlag von 10 Basispunkten für das Gegenparteirisiko, zum Zuge kommen. Allerdings ist vorgesehen, 2016 – doch wer kennt schon die Zukunft? – wieder zur risikolosen Zinskurve zurückzukehren. Viel Wert legt die Finma auf die Differenzierung zwischen Altund Neugeschäft. Man wolle keine falschen Anreize setzen, sagt dazu Schnieper. Wenn es um neu zu zeichnende Versicherungskontrakte gehe, solle zu den harten SSTKonditionen kalkuliert und bewertet werden. Nicht im luftleeren Raum René Schnieper, Leiter der Finma-Versicherungsaufsicht, erläutert, dass es im Kern um die Rücksichtnahme auf die seit 209 Schweiz Die Finma betont, die Erleichterungen seien temporär, somit reversibel. Die Assekuranz ist skeptisch, wenn Verbindlichkeiten mit zwei verschiedenen Zinssätzen diskontiert werden; vermutlich wird sie in der soeben lancierten Anhörung zum Rundschreiben auf ihrem Standpunkt beharren. einige Schweizer Versicherungen hätten mit Blick auf den SST schon zuvor Kapitalerhöhungen durchgeführt und/oder Risiken abgebaut, was insgesamt allen genützt haben dürfte. Eine Errungenschaft des SST, der auf Anfang 2006 im Versicherungsaufsichtsgesetz festgeschrieben wurde, ist es denn auch, die Sinne der Versicherer für diverse Risiken früh geschärft zu haben. Warten auf «EU Solvency II» Doch nicht nur die niedrigen Zinsen veranlassen die Aufsichtsbehörde dazu, punktuelle Erleichterungen zuzulassen. Die Finma weist explizit darauf hin, dass die neuen Solvenzbestimmungen der EU (Stichwort: «EU Solvency II») nicht gemäss dem ursprünglichen Fahrplan in Kraft gesetzt werden. Was Anfang 2012 hätte realisiert werden sollen, wird sich voraussichtlich um mindestens zwei Jahre verzögern – und in der Substanz wird es ohne Zweifel lange Übergangsfristen geben. Laut Schnieper ist selbst der Einführungstermin 1. 1. 2014 nicht in Stein gemeisselt. Es sei überdies nicht klar, was wann wie komme; zurzeit würden in Europa diverse Erleichterungen bei der Kapitalunterlegung diskutiert. Die Finma geht noch einen Schritt weiter, wenn es um temporäre Entlastungen geht. So werden die Interventionsschwellen angepasst, das heisst, es wird auf Massnahmen bei der Unterschreitung bisher gesetzter SSTSchwellenwerte verzichtet. Auch werden längere Fristen eingeräumt, um anvisierte Werte – definiert als risikotragendes Kapital in Prozent des SST-Zielkapitals – zu erreichen. Konkret könnte bei SST-Werten zwischen 80% und 100% das Auszahlen einer Dividende oder die Zuteilung von Überschüssen an Versicherte zulässig bleiben. Ein SSTQuotient von mindestens 60% würde das Schreiben von Neugeschäft erlauben. Doch bestünde die Finma in derartigen Konstellationen darauf, dass klar dargelegt wird, wie eine Versicherungsgesellschaft Remedur schaffen will. Die neuste Finma-Initiative erklärt sich nicht zuletzt damit, virulenter werdende Wettbewerbsnachteile der Schweizer Versicherungswirtschaft zu verkleinern bzw. nicht zu gross werden zu lassen. Der SST ist seit 2011 in Kraft, damit hat die Schweiz einen zeitlichen Vorsprung. Schnieper hält fest, 210 Schweiz Finma kommt den Versicherern entgegen Schweiz Aufsicht plant Zugeständnisse an die Branche – Zinsproblematik wird entschärft – Wettbewerbsnachteile verhindern – Solvenztest SST weniger streng Arno Schmocker Dramatische Zuspitzung Die Assekuranz ächzt seit Jahren unter den historisch niedrigen Zinsen. Sie erschweren es vor allem Lebensversicherern zunehmend, den notwendigen Kapitalertrag zu erwirtschaften, um die relativ hohen Garantieversprechen aus der Vergangenheit zu decken. Die Finma lässt den Versicherungen mehr Luft zum Atmen. Die Aufsichtsbehörde nimmt Rücksicht auf die Klagen der Branche über die Folgen der niedrigen Zinsen und die wachsenden Wettbewerbsnachteile gegenüber der Konkurrenz in der EU. Vorübergehend will sie zwei Zugeständnisse im Schweizer Solvenztest SST machen. Bis 19. Oktober läuft eine Anhörung unter den Betroffenen. Die Branche bewirtschaftet in der Schweiz insgesamt 303 Mrd. Fr. gebundenes Vermögen. Zudem: Je niedriger die Zinsen, desto geringer in der Solvenzbetrachtung das risikotragende Kapital und damit letztlich die Risikofähigkeit eines Versicherers. Gemäss dem Vorschlag der Finma können die Versicherungsverpflichtungen zwischen 2013 und 2016 mit höheren Zinsen bewertet werden. Dadurch erhöht sich das risikotragende Kapital der Unternehmen indirekt deutlich. Risikotragendes Kapital ist im Wesentlichen die Differenz zwischen marktnah bewerteten Aktiven und marktnah bewerteten Verpflichtungen. Besonders 2011 hat sich das Zinsumfeld für Lebensversicherer dramatisch verschärft. So fiel die Rendite für eine zehnjährige Bundesanleihe von rund 1,7 auf circa 0,7%. «Wegen der dadurch weiter akzentuierten und generell ausserordentlichen Zinssituation sowie der Verzögerungen in der Einführung des europäischen Regelwerks Solvency II haben wir Erleichterungsmassnahmen beschlossen», erläutert René Schnieper, Leiter des Geschäftsbereichs Versicherungen der Finma. Zudem schränkt die Finma ihre Interventionsmöglichkeiten bei Unterschreiten der Mindestausstattung von risikotragendem Kapital ein. Sie erfüllt damit zwei wichtige Anliegen eines Wunschkatalogs des Versicherungsverbands. Konkret sollen die Unternehmen ihre Versicherungsverpflichtungen nicht mehr mit der risikolosen Rendite von Bundesobligationen diskontieren müssen. 211 Schweiz Stattdessen können sie höhere Swapsätze anwenden, die – wie in der EU vorgesehen – um zehn Basispunkte reduziert sind. Durch die geringere Bewertung der Verpflichtungen in der Solvenzbilanz wachse das risikotragende Kapital bis ein Drittel, sagt Schnieper. Konkret ist es weniger, weil die Finma für die Berechnung von sehr langfristigen Verpflichtungen schon 2011 ein weniger strenges Verfahren anwandte. nach neusten Meldungen von dieser Woche wohl erst 2015 fallen. Die Erleichterungen der Finma würden auf jeden Fall für drei Jahre gelten. Die fixe Dauer soll den Versicherern eine verlässliche Kapitalplanung ermöglichen. Das Zugeständnis gilt aber nicht für das Neugeschäft ab Anfang 2013. Damit soll vermieden werden, dass die Versicherer verlustbringendes Neugeschäft zeichnen und zu viele Risiken eingehen. Auch die Solvenzquote der Lebensversicherer gemäss SST (Swiss Solvency Test, ...) wird aufgepeppt. Das scheint nötig: 2011 hat sich die SST-Quote der zwanzig überwachten Lebensversicherer von 145 auf 105% verschlechtert (die der Sachversicherer von 225 auf 188). 100% sind die Mindestvorgabe der Finma. Mehr Flexibilität Die zweite temporäre Erleichterung im Solvenztest betrifft die Interventionsschwellen. Unter einer SST-Quote von 100% sind die Interessen der Versicherten gefährdet, die Finma kann einschreiten. Neu gilt ab Anfang 2013 für drei Jahre, dass die Finma im «gelben» Bereich (Solvenzquote 80 bis 100%) unter bestimmten Voraussetzungen darauf verzichtet, Dividendenzahlungen an die Aktionäre und die Auszahlung von Überschüssen an die Versicherten zu unterbinden. Mit dieser Massnahme reagiert die Finma auch darauf, dass die Solvenzanforderungen für Lebensversicherer in der EU auf Druck der Branche laufend aufgeweicht werden. Der SST wird laut René Schnieper «nicht im luftleeren Raum umgesetzt. Wir behalten die internationale Entwicklung im Auge.» Die Konkurrenzfähigkeit der Schweizer Anbieter soll erhalten bleiben. Zudem sieht sie davon ab, bei einer Solvenzquote von 60 bis 80% das Neugeschäft zu verbieten. Die verbindliche Einführung des Regelwerks Solvency II ist in der EU zudem mehrmals verschoben worden. Ursprünglich auf den 1. November 2012 anberaumt, wird der Startschuss Drittens wird die Frist für die Rückkehr in den «grünen» Bereich (über 100%) von einem auf drei Jahre verlängert. 212 Schweiz «Damit räumen wir den Versicherungsunternehmen mehr Flexibilität ein und signalisieren den Finanzmärkten, dass eine vorübergehende Unterschreitung von 100% in den jetzigen Märkten keine Katastrophe ist», kommentiert der Leiter Versicherungsaufsicht der Finma. Die Massnahmen sind aus Sicht der Finma nicht ohne Risiken. Sie schränken vorübergehend ihre Interventionsmöglichkeiten ein, auch wenn das an Bedingungen geknüpft ist. Dennoch werde es anspruchsvoller, die Hauptaufgabe der Finma, den Schutz der Versicherten vor Insolvenzrisiken von Versicherungsunternehmen, zu erfüllen, sagt René Schnieper. Wie dem auch sei: Die Erleichterungen der Finma sind gute Nachrichten für Lebensversicherer – und ihre Aktionäre. FuW Nr. 75, 22.09.2012, p. 9 213 Schweiz Versicherer nur teilweise zufrieden Folglich werde es kaum zu einer forschen oder gar unvorsichtigen Expansion der Assekuranzunternehmen kommen, wie kritische Beobachter vielleicht befürchteten, meint Chuard. Die Versichererbranche hat in Gesprächen mit der Finma über Erleichterungen im Solvenztest SST weitere Anliegen ohne Erfolg vorgebracht, u. a. eine ebenfalls befristete Aussetzung der verlangten Stresstests bzw. Szenarioberechnungen. «Obwohl die Finma mehrere unserer Vorschläge abgelehnt hat, ist der Versichererverband mit den vorgeschlagenen temporären Regulierungserleichterungen zufrieden», sagt Marc Chuard, der im Verband das Ressort Finanz und Regulierung leitet. TH, FuW Nr. 75, 22.09.2012, p. 9 Die bis 2015 angebotenen Lockerungen machten die Schweizer Aufsichtsnorm immer noch strenger als das von der EU angestrebte Solvenz-II-Regime, das voraussichtlich erst 2015 bindend wird, betont Chuard: «Von den zur Verpflichtungsdiskontierung anzuwendenden Swap-Sätzen wird hierzulande ein Sicherheitsabzug von 0,1 Prozentpunkten vorgeschrieben, während die Aufsichtsbehörden anderer europäischer Länder gar Zuschläge zulassen.» Mit den geplanten Erleichterungen werde keinesfalls eine zu wenig risikoorientierte Darstellung des Versicherungsgeschäfts einhergehen, entgegnet der Verbandsvertreter: «Wegen der wie erwähnt im Vorschlag eingebauten Sicherheitsmarge werden die Versicherer die Verpflichtungen auch im erleichterten Regime konservativ bewerten.» 214 Schweiz SST besteht Test Zinsrisiken und niedrigerer Kapitalbindung entwickelt haben. Einige Anbieter sind sogar so weit gegangen, dass sie aus einem Geschäftszweig (z. B. Zurich Insurance, Generali und Nationale Suisse aus der beruflichen Vorsorge) ausgestiegen sind. Das vergleichbare aufsichtsrechtliche Rahmenwerk in der EU, Solvency II, sollte im November 2012 eingeführt werden. Nun ist das wohl erst 2015 der Fall. Dann, ebenfalls mit Verspätung, dürfte nach Einschätzung von René Schnieper auch die sogenannte Äquivalenz erreicht werden, die Anerkennung des schweizerischen Aufsichtssystems durch die EU als gleichwertig mit Solvency II. Der Solvenztest SST gilt für die Schweizer Versicherer seit Anfang 2011 verbindlich. Den Zweck hat er erfüllt, sagt René Schnieper, Leiter Geschäftsbereich Versicherungen der Finma: «Wir sind extrem froh, dass wir mit dem SST ein viel besseres Instrument für die Risikomessung in der Hand haben als in der Vergangenheit», betont er. Die Finma kann eingreifen, sobald ein Versicherungsunternehmen in Schieflage gerät. Das Vorgängerregime, Solvenz I, hätte laut Schnieper während der Finanzkrise 2008/09 verunmöglicht, die Stabilität der Assekuranz zu beurteilen. Während Solvenz I auf Volumen und historischen Kosten beruhte, reagiert der SST rasch auf Veränderungen an den Finanzmärkten. Er gründet auf marktnahen Bewertungen, risikobasierten Kapitalanforderungen und einem Gesamtbilanzansatz (Asset & Liability Management). Sowohl Anlagen wie auch Verpflichtungen in der Bilanz werden nach einem ökonomischen Prinzip bewertet. Der SST liefert mithin ein akkurateres Bild der Risikosituation eines Versicherers, allerdings zum Preis höherer Wertschwankungen (Volatilität). In einer Prüfung durch die Eiopa (Europäische Aufsichtsbehörde für Versicherungen und Pensionskassen) wurde schon 2011 eine weitestgehende Gleichwertigkeit festgestellt. Eine Ausnahme seien die Anforderungen zur Offenlegung z. B. der Solvenzquote durch die einzelnen Versicherungen, wie der Leiter Versicherungen der Finma erläutert. Punkto Transparenz habe die Schweiz ein Defizit. Seine Behebung werde die Finma 2013 «in Angriff nehmen». Gut, wenn Medien und Investoren nicht mehr mit der Allerweltsformel «Wir sind im SST-Test im grünen Bereich» abgespeist werden. Die Versicherer hatten ab 2006, also während fünf Jahren, Zeit zur Vorbereitung. Heute windet ihnen Schnieper ein Kränzchen. «Das Risikomanagement ist dank der Auseinandersetzung mit dem SST deutlich besser geworden», sagt er. Die Unternehmen haben die Aktienquote gesenkt und ihr Angebot angepasst, indem sie Produkte mit weniger AS, FuW Nr. 75, 22.09.2012, p. 9 215 Singapur Lex/FT.com Last updated: June 26, 2012 5:28 pm quarter. And as Singapore’s banks face a slowdown and shrinking spreads in regional trade finance, wealth management is an important source of growth. Asian private wealth: rich pickings As the rich in Europe and the US dodge tax and defend unpopular pay rises, wealth creation in Asia looks relatively effortless. Someone living in a smart part of Singapore, for example, is likely to live next to, on top of, or below a millionaire. The country has the highest density of dollar millionaire households in the world. That makes Singapore’s banks, DBS, OCBC and UOB, well connected enough to benefit. Yet private banking is still a small part of their overall business. It accounts for 30 per cent of revenues at OCBC, compared with less than a 10th at DBS and UOB, but it includes sales from its life assurance arm Great Eastern Holdings. Moreover, staff and compliance costs are a challenge. The cost-to-income ratios of Asia’s wealth managers hit 80 per cent in 2011, BCG estimates – 4 percentage points above offshore managers in Europe. Singapore’s advantages make for rich pickings, but watch to whom they accrue. Private wealth in Asia excluding Japan grew more than five times faster than the 2 per cent global average in 2011, to $24tn, or a fifth of global wealth, according to Boston Consulting Group. That proportion is projected to grow to 27 per cent by 2016. Singapore’s location, regulated economy and favourable tax system have helped its banks to gain share. Growth in assets under management at the private banking divisions of DBS, OCBC and UOB outpaced the 11 per cent growth in regional private wealth in 2011. OCBC has made some of the biggest inroads, helped by its purchase of ING’s Asian wealth business in 2009, which it used to create Bank of Singapore. The private bank’s AUM jumped by 25 per cent from a year ago to $35bn in the first 216 Spanien Grupo Catalana Occidente buys Groupama Spain unit Tue, Jun 19 2012 PARIS (Reuters) - Grupo Catalana Occidente (...) and majority shareholder INOCSA have agreed to buy French insurer Groupama's Spanish unit in a deal valuing it at 404.5 million euros ($512.77 million), the companies said in a statement on Tuesday. Groupama Seguros y Reaseguros, the business being sold, had revenue of 940 million euros last year, with 1,000 staff. "This transaction further consolidates Grupo Catalana Occidente as a leading independent insurance group in the Spanish market for family and small and medium enterprise," the companies said in the statement. (Reporting by James Regan; Editing by Elena Berton) © Thomson Reuters 2011. 217 Südafrika THE MONDAY INTERVIEW “Ja,” he says in his softly spoken South African accent, before quickly checking himself. “Well no, I’m not a health freak, that’s too strong a word. I’m obsessed with staying fit. I’m obsessive ... I run fire escapes ... Whenever I travel, I find the fire escape in the hotel.” The running man of insurance By Andrew England FT.com April 8, 2012 2:03 pm Fit for purpose: Adrian Gore’s Discovery offers incentives to policyholders to keep in shape As a child growing up in Johannesburg, Adrian Gore helped pack cigarettes for the family business, which bought from wholesalers and sold on to cafés around the city. The irony of this in the light of the quest he pursues today is not lost on him. “It’s bizarre that I’ve spent my life trying to reverse that,” he says. Over the past 20 years, he has built Discovery into a company that tries to pass that passion on to millions of others. It provides health and life cover to 4.5m people across South Africa, the UK, the US and China. In the UK, it owns 75 per cent of PruHealth and PruProtect in a venture with Prudential, while in China it has a 20 per cent stake in Ping An Insurance. In each of these markets it is experimenting with products to incentivise healthier lifestyles. “People over-consume healthcare but they under-consume wellness,” he says. The founder and chief executive of Discovery, South Africa’s largest health insurer, has turned his job into something of a crusade for healthier lifestyles. “So we figured, if you could create incentives around wellness, you could break that cycle – people would see the benefits immediately of giving up that chocolate or going to the gym.” To prove his point, he quotes research that indicates that 50 per cent of mortality in the UK is avoidable through lifestyle change. “So there’s a massive shift in policy towards trying to make people healthy, and at the same time the realisation you have to incentivise people,” he says. The company’s flagship product, a policy called Vitality, offers incentives for those covered to maintain better lifestyles, with discounts on healthy food items and gym memberships. For his own part, Mr Gore – the grandson of Jewish immigrants who fled Poland in the 1930s – can lay claim to completing the London, New York and Berlin marathons. So is the amiable 47-year-old something of a health freak? 218 Südafrika During his schooling, Mr Gore’s passion was for mathematics. He considered deploying it either in engineering or in actuarial science. He chose the latter, studying through the Faculty of Actuaries in Scotland before joining Liberty Life. Yet when Discovery was in embryonic stages, it was unclear what direction South Africa would take, with many forecasting doom and gloom. But Mr Gore spoke to a friend at Rand Merchant Bank, which had inherited a dormant life insurance licence, and after a few meetings the investment bank agreed to provide R10m in seed capital. That was in the 1980s, when South Africa was still under apartheid, with a health system that mirrored segregation in the country, focusing on minority whites while non-whites, who account for around 90 per cent of the population, suffered with the most basic of care. It proved a sound investment: nearly 20 years on, Rand Merchant Insurance retains a 25 per cent stake in Discovery, which has swelled to boast a market capitalisation of about R25bn ($3.2bn). In the financial year to June 2011, the group’s gross income rose 44 per cent to R17.85bn, while its profit before tax was up 38 per cent to R3.45bn. As the country inched towards democracy in the early 1990s, that health system was clearly going to change. “The state healthcare system was really a microcosm of apartheid – these public sector hospitals in Johannesburg that were brilliant, and then you had absolutely no healthcare or very poor primary healthcare in the then black areas,” Mr Gore says. “It’s big social shifts like this that take place during times of uncertainty,” he says. “That’s the choice you’ve got to make. Either you run from it, or you run in to it. I took a view that with these massive social changes, there’s a big opportunity.” But there was also “chaos on the streets” as the business was being set up – the 1992 Bisho and Boipatong massacres, in which dozens of people were killed, spring to Mr Gore’s mind as he reflects on the early days. “There was an explicit refocusing of spending into a broaderbased primary care,” he adds. “And with that ... anyone who could afford private healthcare would up and out and buy a medical scheme cover to get maximum private healthcare.” For Mr Gore, the transformation created an opportunity and in 1992 – two years before the first democratic election – he launched Discovery to fill the gaps in a public health system that still struggles. 219 Südafrika “For white South Africans this was like the Mau Mau uprising [in Kenya]; this is the beginning of the end,” he says. “It was hairy times, but the truth of it is that while my mates were messing around and running, I was building. I had a kind of a free run for a while, and it’s always taught me that it’s in tough times that the biggest opportunities emerge.” learning comes from that experience of what competitive markets are like,” he says. The future business model is likely to be similar partnerships to the one it has with Prudential in the UK and China’s Ping An, although he does not rule out acquisitions. “We have just started to internationalise,” he says. “The truth of it is I’d say in the last two or three years we’ve been really starting to understand how to do it.” Indeed, Mr Gore is an optimist on his country’s broader outlook, choosing to see the glass half-full rather than halfempty, while others in corporate South Africa question the direction the young democracy is taking. That is likely to mean more international travel for Mr Gore, particularly to Asia, where he sees a “whole number” of markets with potential. He says he is scared of being “bullish and naively optimistic”, but believes South Africa has “unbelievable potential”. “Whenever I read any article about South Africa ... there’s always [the question] ‘will it last?’ Most countries you don’t get that. I actually don’t buy it, I don’t believe it. I figured it’s going to last, it’s just the form it’s going to take and how do I maximise my position and add to society.” And he stills sees his home country – “our engine room” – as a growth area for Discovery as he looks to build overseas. But there have been tough lessons along the way. In 2000 Discovery sought to establish itself in the US market through the launch of Destiny Health. But nearly eight years and $100m later the plug was pulled, after Destiny struggled to compete against established American players. “All of our 220 Südafrika The CV ● Born: May 16 1964 ● Education: Bachelor of science, actuarial science, University of Witwatersrand ● Career: 1986 joins Liberty Life as a trainee actuary and goes on to become actuary responsible for product development ● 1992 sets up Discovery Holdings. He is also chairman of Prudential Health and PruProtect in the UK and the Vitality Group in the US ● 2009 invited on to the Global Health Advisory Board of the World Economic Forum ● 2010 appointed director of PingAn Health Insurance ● 2011 joins Massachusetts General Hospital Center for Global Health Advisory Board ● Family: Married with two daughters and a son ● Interests: Running and cycling; has completed the London, New York and Berlin marathons 221 Südkorea WSJ.com BUSINESS Updated May 13, 2012, 11:00 a.m. ET Insurance He held the buy rating through 2011, a year when Hyundai Marine & Fire shares grew 35%. The company gained market share through the year, closing the gap with industry leader Samsung Fire & Marine Co., and its net income more than doubled. South Korea's insurance industry is on the verge of being shaken up by the arrival of more competitors from Europe and the U.S. as free-trade agreements from those regions go into effect. Also in late 2010, Mr. Yun issued a buy call on Dongbu Insurance, which experienced a 21% jump in share price through 2011 and a 1.5% jump in market share. In late April 2011, he issued buy ratings on Korean Reinsurance and Tongyang Life Insurance Co. Shares in both companies were up nearly 30% for the year. But the top analyst in the sector in the Asia's Best Analysts survey, C.J. Yun of Macquarie Securities, a unit of Macquarie Group Ltd., in Seoul, found success by becoming an early believer in a turnaround at the nation's No. 2 nonlife insurance company, Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co. Mr. Yu, who is 31 years old and has been at Macquarie for two years, said he's now keeping an eye out for when South Korea's central bank will start to raise interest rates, which have held steady for nearly a year. Higher interest rates are likely to improve insurers' savings margins. The company's net profit for fiscal 2010 fell 14% versus 2009, hurt in part by a 17% jump in net claims paid and a 44% increase in provisions for policy reserves. The company is led by the seventh son of the founder of the Hyundai empire, one of South Korea's largest collections of businesses. It operates separately from the three Hyundai conglomerates—Hyundai Motor Group, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Hyundai Group— led by other offspring and in-laws of the Hyundai founder. The impact of the free-trade agreements, meanwhile, is a longer-term competiveness issue for South Korea's insurers, as the pacts call for the gradual opening of the market. —Evan Ramstad Mr. Yun in late November 2010 put a buy rating on Hyundai Marine & Fire. "We made a strong push for the stock in anticipation of a turnaround in the auto insurance cycle and improvement in underwriting efficiency," he said. 222